Warren County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 56,891 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -A102A102 | 1,213 | 1,666 | 42 | 2,921 | 41.5% | 57.0% | R+15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -C107C107 | 964 | 1,894 | 63 | 2,921 | 33.0% | 64.8% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct -F107F107 | 762 | 1,860 | 42 | 2,664 | 28.6% | 69.8% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -F109F109 | 637 | 1,965 | 27 | 2,629 | 24.2% | 74.7% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -E105E105 | 534 | 1,914 | 54 | 2,502 | 21.3% | 76.5% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -F105F105 | 756 | 1,628 | 50 | 2,434 | 31.1% | 66.9% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 748 | 1,094 | 30 | 1,872 | 40.0% | 58.4% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -D108D108 | 642 | 1,190 | 31 | 1,863 | 34.5% | 63.9% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -C106C106 | 808 | 1,000 | 33 | 1,841 | 43.9% | 54.3% | R+10.4 |
| Precinct -E106E106 | 536 | 1,234 | 33 | 1,803 | 29.7% | 68.4% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 614 | 1,036 | 26 | 1,676 | 36.6% | 61.8% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct -E101E101 | 411 | 1,239 | 23 | 1,673 | 24.6% | 74.1% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -F104F104 | 490 | 1,135 | 36 | 1,661 | 29.5% | 68.3% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -D104D104 | 651 | 874 | 31 | 1,556 | 41.8% | 56.2% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -D106D106 | 341 | 1,038 | 30 | 1,409 | 24.2% | 73.7% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -D103D103 | 690 | 694 | 15 | 1,399 | 49.3% | 49.6% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -A106A106 | 553 | 774 | 22 | 1,349 | 41.0% | 57.4% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 635 | 580 | 25 | 1,240 | 51.2% | 46.8% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 791 | 394 | 33 | 1,218 | 64.9% | 32.3% | D+32.6 |
| Precinct -D110D110 | 397 | 776 | 8 | 1,181 | 33.6% | 65.7% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 337 | 801 | 17 | 1,155 | 29.2% | 69.4% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -F101F101 | 331 | 786 | 11 | 1,128 | 29.3% | 69.7% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -F106F106 | 295 | 802 | 19 | 1,116 | 26.4% | 71.9% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -E104E104 | 599 | 464 | 23 | 1,086 | 55.2% | 42.7% | D+12.4 |
| Precinct -D107D107 | 427 | 613 | 11 | 1,051 | 40.6% | 58.3% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -E103E103 | 409 | 506 | 13 | 928 | 44.1% | 54.5% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -A105A105 | 440 | 463 | 12 | 915 | 48.1% | 50.6% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 518 | 329 | 17 | 864 | 60.0% | 38.1% | D+21.9 |
| Precinct -E102E102 | 189 | 635 | 7 | 831 | 22.7% | 76.4% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -D105D105 | 168 | 577 | 18 | 763 | 22.0% | 75.6% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -F103F103 | 145 | 605 | 7 | 757 | 19.2% | 79.9% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -F108F108 | 181 | 562 | 12 | 755 | 24.0% | 74.4% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -F102F102 | 282 | 438 | 16 | 736 | 38.3% | 59.5% | R+21.2 |
| Precinct -A104A104 | 358 | 357 | 12 | 727 | 49.2% | 49.1% | D+0.1 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 166 | 505 | 11 | 682 | 24.3% | 74.0% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -C105C105 | 314 | 239 | 10 | 563 | 55.8% | 42.5% | D+13.3 |
| Precinct -A107A107 | 203 | 344 | 9 | 556 | 36.5% | 61.9% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 249 | 227 | 12 | 488 | 51.0% | 46.5% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -C109C109 | 214 | 213 | 13 | 440 | 48.6% | 48.4% | D+0.2 |
| Precinct -B110B110 | 247 | 152 | 6 | 405 | 61.0% | 37.5% | D+23.5 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 216 | 180 | 8 | 404 | 53.5% | 44.6% | D+8.9 |
| Precinct -B111B111 | 190 | 172 | 4 | 366 | 51.9% | 47.0% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -B105B105 | 227 | 112 | 7 | 346 | 65.6% | 32.4% | D+33.2 |
| Precinct -B108B108 | 179 | 150 | 7 | 336 | 53.3% | 44.6% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct -E107E107 | 134 | 172 | 6 | 312 | 42.9% | 55.1% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 220 | 85 | 6 | 311 | 70.7% | 27.3% | D+43.4 |
| Precinct -B104B104 | 232 | 58 | 6 | 296 | 78.4% | 19.6% | D+58.8 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 156 | 74 | 4 | 234 | 66.7% | 31.6% | D+35.0 |
| Precinct -B109B109 | 123 | 103 | 4 | 230 | 53.5% | 44.8% | D+8.7 |
| Precinct -D109D109 | 65 | 89 | 0 | 154 | 42.2% | 57.8% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -B106B106 | 78 | 60 | 2 | 140 | 55.7% | 42.9% | D+12.9 |
| Precinct -C108C108 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +15.3% |
| 1896 | +12.4% |
| 1900 | +8.2% |
| 1904 | +11.7% |
| 1908 | +12.0% |
| 1912 | +31.8% |
| 1916 | +16.8% |
| 1920 | +12.2% |
| 1924 | +10.7% |
| 1928 | −21.8% |
| 1932 | +32.1% |
| 1936 | +30.1% |
| 1940 | +28.6% |
| 1944 | +20.7% |
| 1948 | +25.5% |
| 1952 | −1.1% |
| 1956 | −6.4% |
| 1960 | −9.8% |
| 1964 | +25.1% |
| 1968 | −16.3% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | +1.1% |
| 1980 | −11.2% |
| 1984 | −34.0% |
| 1988 | −26.5% |
| 1992 | −10.8% |
| 1996 | −14.1% |
| 2000 | −24.4% |
| 2004 | −27.1% |
| 2008 | −18.9% |
| 2012 | −21.8% |
| 2016 | −24.2% |
| 2020 | −16.8% |
| 2024 | −24.3% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 40.2%15,403 | 59.8%22,951 | 38,358 |
| 2020 | R | 42.1%23,345 | 53.6%29,718 | 55,430 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Democratic.
96,205 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,198 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +14,908 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,414 in average income, against $78,014 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.8 on average — 13 points more Republican-leaning than Warren County, KY itself (R+24.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Barren County, KY204R+52.8
- Simpson County, KY173R+43.9
- Logan County, KY157R+55.0
- Allen County, KY155R+67.1
- Jefferson County, KY146D+16.5
- Davidson County, TN145D+27.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Barren County, KY190
- Simpson County, KY158
- Allen County, KY157
- Jefferson County, KY155
- Logan County, KY154
- Davidson County, TN143
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +547 |
| 2012 | +425 |
| 2013 | +793 |
| 2014 | +701 |
| 2015 | +1,358 |
| 2016 | +916 |
| 2017 | +1,408 |
| 2018 | +864 |
| 2019 | +1,308 |
| 2021 | +1,508 |
| 2022 | +1,924 |
| 2023 | +892 |
| 2024 | +1,066 |
| 2025 | +1,198 |
Warren County anchors the Bowling Green metro and houses Western Kentucky University, but its growing suburban and exurban population has pushed presidential margins decisively rightward, hitting R+24.3 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 35.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.3 points.
A population of 140,918, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,794 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lee County and Payne County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Warren County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21227/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.