Warren County, Kentucky: Texan Right county. In 2024, voted R+24%. Republican peak: R+35 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Texan RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 140,9182024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,7942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Glynn County, GA · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Warren CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Warren County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +15.3% |
| 1896 | +12.4% |
| 1900 | +8.2% |
| 1904 | +11.7% |
| 1908 | +12.0% |
| 1912 | +31.8% |
| 1916 | +16.8% |
| 1920 | +12.2% |
| 1924 | +10.7% |
| 1928 | −21.8% |
| 1932 | +32.1% |
| 1936 | +30.1% |
| 1940 | +28.6% |
| 1944 | +20.7% |
| 1948 | +25.5% |
| 1952 | −1.1% |
| 1956 | −6.4% |
| 1960 | −9.8% |
| 1964 | +25.1% |
| 1968 | −16.3% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | +1.1% |
| 1980 | −11.2% |
| 1984 | −34.0% |
| 1988 | −26.5% |
| 1992 | −10.8% |
| 1996 | −14.1% |
| 2000 | −24.4% |
| 2004 | −27.1% |
| 2008 | −18.9% |
| 2012 | −21.8% |
| 2016 | −24.2% |
| 2020 | −16.8% |
| 2024 | −24.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 21,065 | 34,862 | 56,891 | ||
| R | 22,479 | 31,791 | 55,401 | ||
| R | 16,966 | 28,673 | 48,454 | ||
| R | 16,805 | 26,384 | 43,903 | ||
| R | 17,669 | 25,993 | 44,145 | ||
| R | 14,326 | 25,100 | 39,711 | ||
| R | 12,180 | 20,235 | 32,975 | ||
| R | 11,642 | 15,784 | 29,406 | ||
| R | 11,529 | 14,748 | 29,896 | ||
| R | 9,684 | 16,703 | 26,484 | ||
| R | 7,937 | 16,167 | 24,178 | ||
| R | 9,643 | 12,184 | 22,604 | ||
| D | 9,657 | 9,439 | 19,291 | ||
| R | 5,934 | 12,481 | 18,691 | ||
| R | 5,200 | 8,084 | 17,665 | ||
| D | 9,887 | 5,915 | 15,831 | ||
| R | 7,457 | 9,074 | 16,531 | ||
| R | 7,143 | 8,123 | 15,310 | ||
| R | 7,106 | 7,267 | 14,407 | ||
| D | 6,768 | 3,919 | 11,189 | ||
| D | 7,528 | 4,944 | 12,509 | ||
| D | 7,569 | 4,195 | 11,800 | ||
| D | 8,113 | 4,347 | 12,514 | ||
| D | 8,932 | 4,569 | 13,578 | ||
| R | 5,092 | 7,931 | 13,024 | ||
| D | 7,005 | 5,634 | 12,771 | ||
| D | 7,010 | 5,474 | 12,599 | ||
| D | 4,228 | 3,002 | 7,295 | ||
| D | 3,447 | 1,342 | 6,614 | ||
| D | 3,742 | 2,929 | 6,795 | ||
| D | 3,484 | 2,737 | 6,402 | ||
| D | 3,455 | 2,928 | 6,460 | ||
| D | 3,716 | 2,866 | 6,830 | ||
| D | 2,867 | 2,053 | 5,307 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.0%
American
10.8%
German
9.2%
Irish
8.9%
Italian
2.8%
Scottish
2.4%
Polish
1.4%
African American
7.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$65,794
Warren County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Warren County$65,794
Kentucky$63,726
United States$80,734
Warren County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.0%
Working age (18–64)16.4%
Seniors (65+)11.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
84.7%
speak English only
Spanish5.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.1%
Other Indo-European3.9%
Other languages2.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Warren County anchors the Bowling Green metro and houses Western Kentucky University, but its growing suburban and exurban population has pushed presidential margins decisively rightward, hitting R+24.3 in 2024.
The Republican margin here reached thirty-five points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-four points.
A population of 140,918, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,794 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Glynn County and Otero County. A non-English-speaking share of 15% reflects a meaningful Latino presence that votes, here, with the Republican grain.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warren County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21227/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Warren County, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warren County, Kentucky voted Republican by 24.3 points (R+24), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 56,891 votes cast, 21,065 went Democratic and 34,862 went Republican.
What is Warren County, Kentucky's political typology?
Akashic places Warren County, Kentucky in the "Texan Right" typology — East Texas and the Piney Woods — solidly Republican, with a meaningful Latino presence. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Warren County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warren County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Warren County, Kentucky?
Warren County, Kentucky has a population of 140,918 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warren County, Kentucky?
Median household income in Warren County, Kentucky is $65,794 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Warren County, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warren County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The county's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.