- Lead
- 21,206
- Total
- 62,473
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- 68.0%
Ascension Parish, LA
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.0% of 92,387 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 20,288
- Total
- 62,325
- vs nation
- R+37.0
- Turnout
- 70.6%
- Lead
- 19,667
- Total
- 54,678
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Turnout
- 66.6%
- Lead
- 17,507
- Total
- 51,073
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,614
- Total
- 46,571
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,706
- Total
- 39,100
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,433
- Total
- 30,844
- vs nation
- R+11.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,378
- Total
- 29,400
- vs nation
- D+6.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 130,3142024 5-year
- Population density
- 449 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 290 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $91,5492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 22.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.8 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36.0 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Charles Parish, LA · twin score 93.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 68.0%62,852 participants ÷ 92,387 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 50.2%–50.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,852 | 92,387 ± 920 | 68.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 48,033 | 90,660 ± 619 | 53.0% | Audited | C/A |
| 62,879 | 89,006 ± 632 | 70.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 41,893 | 86,035 ± 498 | 48.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 55,182 | 82,794 ± 490 | 66.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 51,073 | 75,063 | 68.0% | Derived | — | |
| 46,571 | 68,745 | 67.7% | Derived | — | |
| 39,100 | 62,427 extrapolated | 62.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Ascension Parish only. The complete district Class 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Ascension Parish result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District Class 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 68 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
68 precincts · 62,456 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000026000026 | 260 | 1,827 | 30 | 2,117 | 12.3% | 86.3% | R+74.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000011000011 | 594 | 1,324 | 21 | 1,939 | 30.6% | 68.3% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -000071000071 | 643 | 1,122 | 48 | 1,813 | 35.5% | 61.9% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -000037000037 | 1,099 | 394 | 35 | 1,528 | 71.9% | 25.8% | D+46.1 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 674 | 821 | 28 | 1,523 | 44.3% | 53.9% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 343 | 1,122 | 27 | 1,492 | 23.0% | 75.2% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -000006000006 | 416 | 1,041 | 28 | 1,485 | 28.0% | 70.1% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -000076000076 | 323 | 1,127 | 18 | 1,468 | 22.0% | 76.8% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -000040000040 | 572 | 765 | 37 | 1,374 | 41.6% | 55.7% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 334 | 1,025 | 11 | 1,370 | 24.4% | 74.8% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 238 | 1,064 | 18 | 1,320 | 18.0% | 80.6% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -000033000033 | 171 | 1,127 | 19 | 1,317 | 13.0% | 85.6% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -000018000018 | 263 | 995 | 30 | 1,288 | 20.4% | 77.3% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 131 | 1,122 | 18 | 1,271 | 10.3% | 88.3% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -000035000035 | 111 | 1,139 | 7 | 1,257 | 8.8% | 90.6% | R+81.8 |
| Precinct -000063000063 | 347 | 877 | 21 | 1,245 | 27.9% | 70.4% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 374 | 830 | 12 | 1,216 | 30.8% | 68.3% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -000036000036 | 708 | 429 | 16 | 1,153 | 61.4% | 37.2% | D+24.2 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 251 | 860 | 30 | 1,141 | 22.0% | 75.4% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -000034000034 | 269 | 830 | 11 | 1,110 | 24.2% | 74.8% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -000014000014 | 129 | 960 | 12 | 1,101 | 11.7% | 87.2% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -000008000008 | 309 | 765 | 19 | 1,093 | 28.3% | 70.0% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 329 | 742 | 21 | 1,092 | 30.1% | 67.9% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -000077000077 | 296 | 707 | 9 | 1,012 | 29.2% | 69.9% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -000025000025 | 140 | 853 | 12 | 1,005 | 13.9% | 84.9% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 249 | 693 | 14 | 956 | 26.0% | 72.5% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 343 | 584 | 27 | 954 | 36.0% | 61.2% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -000047000047 | 841 | 86 | 23 | 950 | 88.5% | 9.1% | D+79.5 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 231 | 684 | 32 | 947 | 24.4% | 72.2% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -000066000066 | 254 | 677 | 11 | 942 | 27.0% | 71.9% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -000078000078 | 200 | 707 | 28 | 935 | 21.4% | 75.6% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -000043000043 | 109 | 798 | 21 | 928 | 11.7% | 86.0% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -000072000072 | 292 | 628 | 2 | 922 | 31.7% | 68.1% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 183 | 675 | 16 | 874 | 20.9% | 77.2% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -000041000041 | 109 | 742 | 5 | 856 | 12.7% | 86.7% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -000044000044 | 614 | 225 | 12 | 851 | 72.2% | 26.4% | D+45.7 |
| Precinct -6969 | 100 | 735 | 12 | 847 | 11.8% | 86.8% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -000058000058 | 300 | 510 | 16 | 826 | 36.3% | 61.7% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -000031000031 | 412 | 392 | 7 | 811 | 50.8% | 48.3% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -6868 | 174 | 610 | 21 | 805 | 21.6% | 75.8% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -1919 | 256 | 526 | 11 | 793 | 32.3% | 66.3% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -000061000061 | 142 | 628 | 14 | 784 | 18.1% | 80.1% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -000022000022 | 69 | 698 | 12 | 779 | 8.9% | 89.6% | R+80.7 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 234 | 501 | 14 | 749 | 31.2% | 66.9% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -000032000032 | 356 | 373 | 19 | 748 | 47.6% | 49.9% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -000064000064 | 187 | 501 | 16 | 704 | 26.6% | 71.2% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -000028000028 | 358 | 285 | 11 | 654 | 54.7% | 43.6% | D+11.2 |
| Precinct -6565 | 267 | 380 | 4 | 651 | 41.0% | 58.4% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct -000051000051 | 541 | 42 | 27 | 610 | 88.7% | 6.9% | D+81.8 |
| Precinct -000027000027 | 80 | 510 | 12 | 602 | 13.3% | 84.7% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -000062000062 | 122 | 471 | 9 | 602 | 20.3% | 78.2% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 114 | 482 | 4 | 600 | 19.0% | 80.3% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -3838 | 443 | 128 | 7 | 578 | 76.6% | 22.1% | D+54.5 |
| Precinct -000030000030 | 365 | 197 | 11 | 573 | 63.7% | 34.4% | D+29.3 |
| Precinct -000054000054 | 369 | 199 | 5 | 573 | 64.4% | 34.7% | D+29.7 |
| Precinct -000023000023 | 196 | 357 | 5 | 558 | 35.1% | 64.0% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct -000021000021 | 91 | 457 | 9 | 557 | 16.3% | 82.0% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct -000053000053 | 191 | 308 | 4 | 503 | 38.0% | 61.2% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -000050000050 | 296 | 190 | 9 | 495 | 59.8% | 38.4% | D+21.4 |
| Precinct -000055000055 | 412 | 65 | 5 | 482 | 85.5% | 13.5% | D+72.0 |
| Precinct -000042000042 | 231 | 197 | 5 | 433 | 53.3% | 45.5% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -000048000048 | 136 | 239 | 11 | 386 | 35.2% | 61.9% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -000039000039 | 180 | 199 | 2 | 381 | 47.2% | 52.2% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct -000024000024 | 73 | 283 | 5 | 361 | 20.2% | 78.4% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -000052000052 | 129 | 176 | 4 | 309 | 41.7% | 57.0% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct -000073000073 | 45 | 253 | 7 | 305 | 14.8% | 83.0% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -000057000057 | 278 | 16 | 5 | 299 | 93.0% | 5.4% | D+87.6 |
| Precinct -000045000045 | 211 | 35 | 7 | 253 | 83.4% | 13.8% | D+69.6 |
presidential history
Party record book
Ascension Parish, LA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
90.9%
2,099 votes · D+81.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 87.0%
Republican
John McCain2008
67.1%
31,239 votes · R+35.7
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 66.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
20,399votes
32.7% of the vote · R+32.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 20,113 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
41,319votes
66.1% of the vote · R+33.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 40,687 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
+80.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+81.8 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +76.1 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+42.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.7 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +38.1 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Ascension Parish, LA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 2 state senate and 4 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 27.5%10,308 | 72.5%27,161 | 37,469 |
| 2018 | R | 30.2%11,676 | 69.8%26,938 | 38,614 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 25 points more Republican than the rolls.
86,317 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+69 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +12,498 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,933 in average income, against $92,699 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.7 on average — 26 points more Democratic-leaning than Ascension Parish, LA itself (R+33.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA952D+11.1
- Livingston Parish, LA277R+68.5
- St. James Parish, LA162R+0.9
- Jefferson Parish, LA137R+13.0
- St. John the Baptist Parish, LA122D+29.1
- Assumption Parish, LA102R+35.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA884
- Livingston Parish, LA367
- Iberville Parish, LA94
- Harris County, TX81
- Assumption Parish, LA80
- St. James Parish, LA76
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,073 |
| 2012 | +1,184 |
| 2013 | +1,310 |
| 2014 | +1,604 |
| 2015 | +1,061 |
| 2016 | +1,082 |
| 2017 | +553 |
| 2018 | +806 |
| 2019 | +955 |
| 2021 | +823 |
| 2022 | +1,236 |
| 2023 | +337 |
| 2024 | +405 |
| 2025 | +69 |
Ascension Parish sits along the Mississippi between Baton Rouge and New Orleans, its population swelled by refinery and chemical plant workers. It has shifted from a competitive Cajun-country parish to one of the most reliably Republican suburban counties in Louisiana over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.8 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 36.0 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.9 points.
A population of 130,314, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $91,549 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Charles Parish and Lafayette Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ascension Parish, Louisiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/22005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.