Assumption Parish, Louisiana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 10,372 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0009-10009-1 | 109 | 1,258 | 11 | 1,378 | 7.9% | 91.3% | R+83.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0008-10008-1 | 96 | 1,134 | 17 | 1,247 | 7.7% | 90.9% | R+83.2 |
| Precinct -0003-20003-2 | 60 | 771 | 5 | 836 | 7.2% | 92.2% | R+85.0 |
| Precinct -0007-10007-1 | 240 | 489 | 9 | 738 | 32.5% | 66.3% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -0001-20001-2 | 405 | 256 | 18 | 679 | 59.6% | 37.7% | D+21.9 |
| Precinct -0004-20004-2 | 353 | 179 | 8 | 540 | 65.4% | 33.1% | D+32.2 |
| Precinct -0006-10006-1 | 242 | 238 | 6 | 486 | 49.8% | 49.0% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -0002-30002-3 | 54 | 353 | 9 | 416 | 13.0% | 84.9% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -0002-10002-1 | 44 | 362 | 3 | 409 | 10.8% | 88.5% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -0001-10001-1 | 358 | 42 | 5 | 405 | 88.4% | 10.4% | D+78.0 |
| Precinct -0006-20006-2 | 334 | 44 | 3 | 381 | 87.7% | 11.5% | D+76.1 |
| Precinct -0005-20005-2 | 126 | 245 | 5 | 376 | 33.5% | 65.2% | R+31.6 |
| Precinct -0007-30007-3 | 24 | 307 | 5 | 336 | 7.1% | 91.4% | R+84.2 |
| Precinct -0002-40002-4 | 44 | 233 | 3 | 280 | 15.7% | 83.2% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -0004-10004-1 | 154 | 115 | 2 | 271 | 56.8% | 42.4% | D+14.4 |
| Precinct -0005-10005-1 | 188 | 41 | 12 | 241 | 78.0% | 17.0% | D+61.0 |
| Precinct -0004-30004-3 | 92 | 129 | 6 | 227 | 40.5% | 56.8% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct -0007-20007-2 | 18 | 198 | 2 | 218 | 8.3% | 90.8% | R+82.6 |
| Precinct -0005-30005-3 | 29 | 182 | 0 | 211 | 13.7% | 86.3% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -0006-30006-3 | 168 | 23 | 0 | 191 | 88.0% | 12.0% | D+75.9 |
| Precinct -0003-10003-1 | 25 | 142 | 2 | 169 | 14.8% | 84.0% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -4-44-4 | 74 | 32 | 3 | 109 | 67.9% | 29.4% | D+38.5 |
| Precinct -0002-50002-5 | 22 | 70 | 2 | 94 | 23.4% | 74.5% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -0002-20002-2 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 64 | 7.8% | 92.2% | R+84.4 |
| Precinct -1-31-3 | 10 | 45 | 0 | 55 | 18.2% | 81.8% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -0005-50005-5 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +27.0% |
| 1896 | −49.9% |
| 1900 | +7.1% |
| 1904 | +57.4% |
| 1908 | +44.1% |
| 1912 | +36.8% |
| 1916 | +24.7% |
| 1920 | −56.4% |
| 1924 | −32.7% |
| 1928 | +51.1% |
| 1932 | +59.9% |
| 1936 | −21.9% |
| 1940 | +41.8% |
| 1944 | +53.8% |
| 1948 | −5.8% |
| 1952 | +15.3% |
| 1956 | −13.8% |
| 1960 | +53.5% |
| 1964 | +18.3% |
| 1968 | +13.9% |
| 1972 | −26.5% |
| 1976 | +16.7% |
| 1980 | +7.5% |
| 1984 | −7.5% |
| 1988 | +15.9% |
| 1992 | +25.9% |
| 1996 | +36.4% |
| 2000 | +8.3% |
| 2004 | +5.8% |
| 2008 | −11.2% |
| 2012 | −12.1% |
| 2016 | −25.5% |
| 2020 | −30.6% |
| 2024 | −35.6% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 29.0%2,221 | 69.0%5,282 | 7,655 |
| 2020 | R | 29.9%3,172 | 66.4%7,039 | 10,602 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Assumption Parish, LA registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 52-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
14,481 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−226 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,738 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,947 in average income, against $70,212 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.3 on average — 4.7 points more Republican-leaning than Assumption Parish, LA itself (R+35.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lafourche Parish, LA83R+62.1
- Ascension Parish, LA80R+33.9
- St. Mary Parish, LA64R+31.9
- Terrebonne Parish, LA37R+51.8
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA23D+11.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Ascension Parish, LA102
- Lafourche Parish, LA97
- St. Mary Parish, LA70
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA43
- Terrebonne Parish, LA30
- Iberville Parish, LA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −207 |
| 2012 | −174 |
| 2013 | +48 |
| 2014 | −195 |
| 2015 | −210 |
| 2016 | −182 |
| 2017 | −234 |
| 2018 | −308 |
| 2019 | −393 |
| 2021 | −207 |
| 2022 | −109 |
| 2023 | −210 |
| 2024 | −131 |
| 2025 | −226 |
Assumption Parish sits along Bayou Lafourche in south-central Louisiana, where the energy industry and Cajun heritage define a working-class electorate that has moved steadily toward Republican margins since the early 2000s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.6 points.
A population of 20,484, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,423 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Martin Parish and Avoyelles Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Assumption Parish, Louisiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/22007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.