- Lead
- 35,361
- Total
- 84,720
- vs nation
- D+43.2
- Turnout
- 64.3%
Hampshire County, MA
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.3% of 132,989 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 41,081
- Total
- 88,332
- vs nation
- D+42.1
- Turnout
- 67.4%
- Lead
- 33,577
- Total
- 85,624
- vs nation
- D+37.1
- Turnout
- 66.1%
- Lead
- 35,879
- Total
- 81,621
- vs nation
- D+40.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 36,251
- Total
- 79,570
- vs nation
- D+38.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 30,365
- Total
- 74,422
- vs nation
- D+43.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 19,341
- Total
- 68,626
- vs nation
- D+27.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 27,057
- Total
- 65,309
- vs nation
- D+32.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+41.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 162,0282024 5-year
- Population density
- 307 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 527 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $87,0012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, MA · twin score 93.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 64.3%85,549 participants ÷ 132,989 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -8.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 49.4%–51.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85,549 | 132,989 ± 940 | 64.3% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2022Mid | 65,329 | 124,440 ± 887 | 52.5% | Audited | B/A |
| 88,332 | 131,002 ± 977 | 67.4% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2018Mid | 71,737 | 129,941 ± 814 | 55.2% | Audited | B/A |
| 85,624 | 129,489 ± 718 | 66.1% | Audited | B/A | |
| 81,621 | 125,994 | 64.8% | Derived | — | |
| 79,570 | 122,202 | 65.1% | Derived | — | |
| 74,422 | 118,410 extrapolated | 62.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 58 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 84,720 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Hadley Precinct 1Hadley Precinct 1 | 2,234 | 968 | 97 | 3,299 | 67.7% | 29.3% | D+38.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Belchertown Precinct BBelchertown Precinct B | 1,361 | 1,175 | 48 | 2,584 | 52.7% | 45.5% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct -Belchertown Precinct CBelchertown Precinct C | 1,361 | 1,026 | 49 | 2,436 | 55.9% | 42.1% | D+13.8 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 5BAmherst Precinct 5B | 2,171 | 152 | 73 | 2,396 | 90.6% | 6.3% | D+84.3 |
| Precinct -Belchertown Precinct ABelchertown Precinct A | 1,477 | 834 | 56 | 2,367 | 62.4% | 35.2% | D+27.2 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct CSouth Hadley Precinct C | 1,351 | 883 | 60 | 2,294 | 58.9% | 38.5% | D+20.4 |
| Precinct -Hatfield Precinct 1Hatfield Precinct 1 | 1,472 | 707 | 51 | 2,230 | 66.0% | 31.7% | D+34.3 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct ESouth Hadley Precinct E | 1,367 | 806 | 57 | 2,230 | 61.3% | 36.1% | D+25.2 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct BSouth Hadley Precinct B | 1,416 | 696 | 70 | 2,182 | 64.9% | 31.9% | D+33.0 |
| Precinct -Belchertown Precinct DBelchertown Precinct D | 1,404 | 685 | 61 | 2,150 | 65.3% | 31.9% | D+33.4 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 5Easthampton Precinct 5 | 1,304 | 782 | 48 | 2,134 | 61.1% | 36.6% | D+24.5 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 3Easthampton Precinct 3 | 1,558 | 444 | 109 | 2,111 | 73.8% | 21.0% | D+52.8 |
| Precinct -Southampton Precinct 2Southampton Precinct 2 | 1,064 | 944 | 56 | 2,064 | 51.6% | 45.7% | D+5.8 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 1Easthampton Precinct 1 | 1,442 | 540 | 58 | 2,040 | 70.7% | 26.5% | D+44.2 |
| Precinct -Ware Precinct CWare Precinct C | 894 | 1,096 | 27 | 2,017 | 44.3% | 54.3% | R+10.0 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 4Easthampton Precinct 4 | 1,520 | 411 | 82 | 2,013 | 75.5% | 20.4% | D+55.1 |
| Precinct -Southampton Precinct 1Southampton Precinct 1 | 1,056 | 882 | 45 | 1,983 | 53.3% | 44.5% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct -Granby Precinct 1Granby Precinct 1 | 1,029 | 886 | 45 | 1,960 | 52.5% | 45.2% | D+7.3 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct ASouth Hadley Precinct A | 1,193 | 683 | 43 | 1,919 | 62.2% | 35.6% | D+26.6 |
| Precinct -Granby Precinct 2Granby Precinct 2 | 878 | 1,013 | 24 | 1,915 | 45.8% | 52.9% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 2Easthampton Precinct 2 | 1,392 | 384 | 107 | 1,883 | 73.9% | 20.4% | D+53.5 |
| Precinct -Williamsburg Precinct 1Williamsburg Precinct 1 | 1,373 | 366 | 72 | 1,811 | 75.8% | 20.2% | D+55.6 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 2BAmherst Precinct 2B | 1,502 | 171 | 57 | 1,730 | 86.8% | 9.9% | D+76.9 |
| Precinct -Ware Precinct BWare Precinct B | 702 | 902 | 32 | 1,636 | 42.9% | 55.1% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 3BAmherst Precinct 3B | 1,397 | 165 | 63 | 1,625 | 86.0% | 10.2% | D+75.8 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 6-ANorthampton Precinct 6-A | 1,165 | 317 | 53 | 1,535 | 75.9% | 20.7% | D+55.2 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 6-BNorthampton Precinct 6-B | 1,259 | 209 | 42 | 1,510 | 83.4% | 13.8% | D+69.5 |
| Precinct -Ware Precinct AWare Precinct A | 702 | 674 | 39 | 1,415 | 49.6% | 47.6% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 7-BNorthampton Precinct 7-B | 1,097 | 164 | 61 | 1,322 | 83.0% | 12.4% | D+70.6 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 4-BNorthampton Precinct 4-B | 1,137 | 105 | 70 | 1,312 | 86.7% | 8.0% | D+78.7 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 5-BNorthampton Precinct 5-B | 1,141 | 113 | 57 | 1,311 | 87.0% | 8.6% | D+78.4 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 1-BNorthampton Precinct 1-B | 1,167 | 90 | 47 | 1,304 | 89.5% | 6.9% | D+82.6 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct DSouth Hadley Precinct D | 910 | 322 | 40 | 1,272 | 71.5% | 25.3% | D+46.2 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 3-ANorthampton Precinct 3-A | 1,017 | 139 | 97 | 1,253 | 81.2% | 11.1% | D+70.1 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 7-ANorthampton Precinct 7-A | 1,057 | 142 | 44 | 1,243 | 85.0% | 11.4% | D+73.6 |
| Precinct -Westhampton Precinct 1Westhampton Precinct 1 | 762 | 434 | 40 | 1,236 | 61.7% | 35.1% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 3-BNorthampton Precinct 3-B | 1,041 | 94 | 100 | 1,235 | 84.3% | 7.6% | D+76.7 |
| Precinct -Huntington Precinct 1Huntington Precinct 1 | 554 | 651 | 24 | 1,229 | 45.1% | 53.0% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 1-ANorthampton Precinct 1-A | 958 | 144 | 43 | 1,145 | 83.7% | 12.6% | D+71.1 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 5-ANorthampton Precinct 5-A | 947 | 128 | 38 | 1,113 | 85.1% | 11.5% | D+73.6 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 1AAmherst Precinct 1A | 871 | 102 | 76 | 1,049 | 83.0% | 9.7% | D+73.3 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 2-ANorthampton Precinct 2-A | 899 | 39 | 51 | 989 | 90.9% | 3.9% | D+87.0 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 4-ANorthampton Precinct 4-A | 864 | 64 | 47 | 975 | 88.6% | 6.6% | D+82.1 |
| Precinct -Worthington Precinct 1Worthington Precinct 1 | 536 | 295 | 44 | 875 | 61.3% | 33.7% | D+27.5 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 4AAmherst Precinct 4A | 751 | 55 | 52 | 858 | 87.5% | 6.4% | D+81.1 |
| Precinct -Pelham Precinct 1Pelham Precinct 1 | 743 | 88 | 19 | 850 | 87.4% | 10.4% | D+77.1 |
| Precinct -Chesterfield Precinct 1Chesterfield Precinct 1 | 497 | 291 | 35 | 823 | 60.4% | 35.4% | D+25.0 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 2-BNorthampton Precinct 2-B | 728 | 52 | 37 | 817 | 89.1% | 6.4% | D+82.7 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 5AAmherst Precinct 5A | 610 | 42 | 34 | 686 | 88.9% | 6.1% | D+82.8 |
| Precinct -Goshen Precinct 1Goshen Precinct 1 | 391 | 257 | 18 | 666 | 58.7% | 38.6% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 2AAmherst Precinct 2A | 552 | 62 | 25 | 639 | 86.4% | 9.7% | D+76.7 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 3AAmherst Precinct 3A | 511 | 63 | 21 | 595 | 85.9% | 10.6% | D+75.3 |
| Precinct -Cummington Precinct 1Cummington Precinct 1 | 399 | 158 | 24 | 581 | 68.7% | 27.2% | D+41.5 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 1BAmherst Precinct 1B | 478 | 49 | 26 | 553 | 86.4% | 8.9% | D+77.6 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 4BAmherst Precinct 4B | 473 | 28 | 31 | 532 | 88.9% | 5.3% | D+83.6 |
| Precinct -Plainfield Precinct 1Plainfield Precinct 1 | 274 | 136 | 18 | 428 | 64.0% | 31.8% | D+32.2 |
| Precinct -Middlefield Precinct 1Middlefield Precinct 1 | 185 | 126 | 4 | 315 | 58.7% | 40.0% | D+18.7 |
| Precinct -Granby Precinct 2AGranby Precinct 2A | 23 | 22 | 0 | 45 | 51.1% | 48.9% | D+2.2 |
presidential history
Party record book
Hampshire County, MA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
73.5%
32,058 votes · D+47.4
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 71.7%
Republican
William McKinley1896
76.4%
6,434 votes · R+57.3
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 70.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
63,362votes
71.7% of the vote · D+46.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 58,617 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
28,111votes
44.0% of the vote · D+11.7
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 26,361 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+43.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.8 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +43.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+51.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+57.3 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +34.3 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Hampshire County, MA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 5 state senate and 7 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%59,000 | 0.0%0 | 59,000 |
| 2020 | D | 87.3%67,427 | 12.7%9,825 | 77,252 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Democratic than the rolls.
111,861 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−698 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +13,887 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $67,955 in average income, against $95,952 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+22.1 on average — 20 points more Republican-leaning than Hampshire County, MA itself (D+41.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hampden County, MA1,063D+8.9
- Franklin County, MA384D+37.6
- Middlesex County, MA290D+39.2
- Worcester County, MA268D+10.0
- Capitol Planning Region, CT115D+20.1
- Suffolk County, MA95D+52.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hampden County, MA1,233
- Franklin County, MA396
- Middlesex County, MA279
- Worcester County, MA223
- Suffolk County, MA157
- Capitol Planning Region, CT130
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +234 |
| 2012 | −393 |
| 2013 | −67 |
| 2014 | −550 |
| 2015 | −621 |
| 2016 | +146 |
| 2017 | −842 |
| 2018 | −208 |
| 2019 | −469 |
| 2021 | +18,410 |
| 2022 | −209 |
| 2023 | −97 |
| 2024 | −749 |
| 2025 | −698 |
With UMass Amherst and four neighboring colleges anchoring its population, Hampshire County produces some of the widest Democratic presidential margins in Massachusetts, reaching D+41.7 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.7 points.
A population of 162,028, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,001 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Dane County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hampshire County, Massachusetts. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/25015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.