Genesee County, Michigan: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted D+4%. Republican peak: R+73 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 403,3052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,2812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Surry County, VA · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Genesee CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Genesee County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −11.2% |
| 1896 | −6.7% |
| 1900 | −23.3% |
| 1904 | −44.9% |
| 1908 | −35.5% |
| 1912 | −3.2% |
| 1916 | −0.2% |
| 1920 | −52.1% |
| 1924 | −73.5% |
| 1928 | −59.1% |
| 1932 | +12.8% |
| 1936 | +38.9% |
| 1940 | +13.2% |
| 1944 | +12.0% |
| 1948 | +7.8% |
| 1952 | −4.6% |
| 1956 | −9.1% |
| 1960 | −2.0% |
| 1964 | +35.0% |
| 1968 | +6.8% |
| 1972 | −7.3% |
| 1976 | +5.2% |
| 1980 | +6.4% |
| 1984 | −1.9% |
| 1988 | +19.2% |
| 1992 | +28.7% |
| 1996 | +32.6% |
| 2000 | +27.9% |
| 2004 | +20.8% |
| 2008 | +32.5% |
| 2012 | +28.1% |
| 2016 | +9.4% |
| 2020 | +9.3% |
| 2024 | +4.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 114,670 | 105,303 | 223,268 | ||
| D | 119,390 | 98,714 | 221,360 | ||
| D | 102,751 | 84,175 | 197,641 | ||
| D | 128,978 | 71,808 | 203,742 | ||
| D | 143,927 | 72,451 | 219,896 | ||
| D | 128,334 | 83,870 | 213,775 | ||
| D | 119,833 | 66,641 | 190,865 | ||
| D | 106,065 | 49,332 | 174,056 | ||
| D | 105,156 | 47,834 | 199,998 | ||
| D | 104,880 | 70,922 | 176,859 | ||
| R | 89,491 | 92,943 | 183,387 | ||
| D | 90,393 | 78,572 | 183,900 | ||
| D | 88,967 | 80,004 | 171,438 | ||
| R | 73,896 | 85,747 | 162,449 | ||
| D | 75,174 | 63,948 | 164,013 | ||
| D | 100,346 | 48,311 | 148,878 | ||
| R | 72,059 | 74,940 | 147,457 | ||
| R | 62,808 | 75,431 | 138,474 | ||
| R | 56,753 | 62,220 | 119,712 | ||
| D | 45,032 | 38,270 | 86,228 | ||
| D | 52,444 | 41,145 | 94,116 | ||
| D | 50,300 | 38,495 | 89,283 | ||
| D | 49,891 | 21,097 | 73,931 | ||
| D | 36,860 | 28,231 | 67,267 | ||
| R | 10,910 | 42,743 | 53,853 | ||
| R | 4,225 | 34,264 | 40,878 | ||
| R | 7,408 | 24,543 | 32,873 | ||
| R | 9,311 | 9,353 | 19,315 | ||
| O | 3,005 | 3,426 | 13,313 | ||
| R | 3,234 | 7,211 | 11,213 | ||
| R | 2,281 | 6,594 | 9,605 | ||
| R | 3,934 | 6,478 | 10,901 | ||
| R | 4,915 | 5,638 | 10,843 | ||
| R | 3,712 | 4,785 | 9,543 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.2%
English
11.8%
Irish
11.0%
Polish
5.2%
American
4.9%
French
3.3%
Italian
2.8%
African American
15.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,281
Genesee County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Genesee County$62,281
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Genesee County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1822.6%
Working age (18–64)15.1%
Seniors (65+)9.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.1%
speak English only
Spanish1.4%
Other languages1.0%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Home to Flint, Genesee County built its political identity around auto-industry labor, but deindustrialization and the 2014–15 water crisis reshaped its electorate — it backed Democrats by 4.2 points in 2024, a narrower margin than a decade prior.
The Democratic margin here peaked at thirty-nine points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was four points.
A population of 403,305, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,281 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Surry County and Rock Island County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Genesee County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Genesee County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Genesee County, Michigan voted Democratic by 4.2 points (D+4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 223,268 votes cast, 114,670 went Democratic and 105,303 went Republican.
What is Genesee County, Michigan's political typology?
Akashic places Genesee County, Michigan in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 14 times, and other 1 times.
When did Genesee County, Michigan last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Genesee County, Michigan voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Genesee County, Michigan?
Genesee County, Michigan has a population of 403,305 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Genesee County, Michigan?
Median household income in Genesee County, Michigan is $62,281 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Genesee County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Genesee County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.