- Lead
- 2,060
- Total
- 7,027
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- 73.9%
Iron County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.9% of 9,590 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,723
- Total
- 6,789
- vs nation
- R+29.8
- Turnout
- 74.1%
- Lead
- 1,671
- Total
- 5,960
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- 63.9%
- Lead
- 537
- Total
- 6,012
- vs nation
- R+12.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 133
- Total
- 6,162
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9
- Total
- 6,511
- vs nation
- D+2.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 47
- Total
- 6,188
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,218
- Total
- 6,059
- vs nation
- D+11.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,6672024 5-year
- Population density
- 10 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,166 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $55,9402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+82.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Gogebic County, MI · twin score 90.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 73.9%7,086 participants ÷ 9,590 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 59.1%–64.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,086 | 9,590 ± 80 | 73.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 5,684 | 9,581 ± 70 | 59.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,839 | 9,230 ± 72 | 74.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,551 | 9,315 ± 79 | 59.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,038 | 9,452 ± 52 | 63.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 6,012 | 9,754 | 61.6% | Derived | — | |
| 6,162 | 9,684 | 63.6% | Derived | — | |
| 6,511 | 9,614 extrapolated | 67.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Iron County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Iron County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 25 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 7,027 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Crystal Falls Township, Precinct 1Crystal Falls Township, Precinct 1 | 427 | 620 | 11 | 1,058 | 40.4% | 58.6% | R+18.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Crystal Falls, Precinct 1City of Crystal Falls, Precinct 1 | 339 | 487 | 10 | 836 | 40.6% | 58.3% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -Stambaugh Township, Precinct 1Stambaugh Township, Precinct 1 | 273 | 526 | 8 | 807 | 33.8% | 65.2% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -City of Iron River, Precinct 1City of Iron River, Precinct 1 | 259 | 503 | 15 | 777 | 33.3% | 64.7% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -Iron River Township, Precinct 1Iron River Township, Precinct 1 | 195 | 527 | 7 | 729 | 26.7% | 72.3% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -Bates Township, Precinct 1Bates Township, Precinct 1 | 212 | 466 | 8 | 686 | 30.9% | 67.9% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -City of Iron River, Precinct 2City of Iron River, Precinct 2 | 237 | 420 | 9 | 666 | 35.6% | 63.1% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -Mastodon Township, Precinct 1Mastodon Township, Precinct 1 | 168 | 312 | 8 | 488 | 34.4% | 63.9% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -City of Caspian, Precinct 1City of Caspian, Precinct 1 | 167 | 254 | 3 | 424 | 39.4% | 59.9% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -Mansfield Township, Precinct 1Mansfield Township, Precinct 1 | 51 | 140 | 3 | 194 | 26.3% | 72.2% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -City of Gaastra, Precinct 1City of Gaastra, Precinct 1 | 50 | 133 | 3 | 186 | 26.9% | 71.5% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -Hematite Township, Precinct 1Hematite Township, Precinct 1 | 63 | 113 | 0 | 176 | 35.8% | 64.2% | R+28.4 |
| Bates Township 00001071-05860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caspian City 00001071-13860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Falls City 00001071-19140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Falls Township 00001071-19150-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gaastra City 00001071-31160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hematite Township 00001071-37580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Iron River City 00001071-40980-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Iron River City 00002071-40980-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Iron River Township 00001071-41000-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mansfield Township 00001071-50860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mastodon Township 00001071-52300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mastodon Township 00002071-52300-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stambaugh Township 00001071-76080-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Iron County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
71.4%
6,011 votes · D+42.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.1%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
90.5%
1,620 votes · R+82.7
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · 85.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
6,011votes
71.4% of the vote · D+42.9
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 5,232 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
4,955votes
52.4% of the vote · R+4.9
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 4,766 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+21.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+1.6 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +21.3 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1908
+65.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+74.8 · U.S. R+9.6
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +63.4 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Iron County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 36.7%2,469 | 63.3%4,265 | 6,734 |
| 2020 | R | 34.8%2,306 | 65.2%4,318 | 6,624 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,680 |
| 2018 | 9,715 |
| 2020 | 10,523 |
| 2022 | 10,756 |
| 2024 | 11,002 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+76 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +817 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,534 in average income, against $58,530 for residents who stayed — 3% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.3 on average — 7.0 points more Republican-leaning than Iron County, MI itself (R+29.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dickinson County, MI28R+36.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Dickinson County, MI34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +59 |
| 2012 | −90 |
| 2013 | +32 |
| 2014 | −48 |
| 2015 | +50 |
| 2016 | −42 |
| 2017 | +39 |
| 2018 | +89 |
| 2019 | +48 |
| 2021 | +135 |
| 2022 | +219 |
| 2023 | +157 |
| 2024 | +93 |
| 2025 | +76 |
Iron County sits in Michigan's sparsely populated Upper Peninsula, where the logging and mining economy that once drew immigrant labor has given way to an aging, rural electorate that has shifted decisively rightward over the past four presidential elections.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 82.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.3 points.
A population of 11,667, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,940 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gogebic County and Dickinson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Iron County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26071/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.