- Lead
- 2,309
- Total
- 30,835
- vs nation
- R+6.0
- Turnout
- 60.0%
Isabella County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.0% of 51,782 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 743
- Total
- 29,421
- vs nation
- R+7.0
- Turnout
- 52.0%
- Lead
- 934
- Total
- 25,540
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Turnout
- 45.4%
- Lead
- 2,238
- Total
- 24,260
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,459
- Total
- 28,350
- vs nation
- D+12.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 580
- Total
- 24,390
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 175
- Total
- 21,069
- vs nation
- D+0.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,175
- Total
- 19,342
- vs nation
- D+2.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,5652024 5-year
- Population density
- 113 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 573 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $55,2372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Vigo County, IN · twin score 86.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 60.0%31,067 participants ÷ 51,782 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +5.6 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off vs state
- -9.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 54.4%–54.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31,067 | 51,782 ± 307 | 60.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 24,401 | 52,652 ± 359 | 46.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 29,623 | 57,022 ± 272 | 52.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 22,852 | 57,029 ± 358 | 40.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 25,797 | 56,813 ± 334 | 45.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 24,260 | 56,551 | 42.9% | Derived | — | |
| 28,350 | 53,525 | 53.0% | Derived | — | |
| 24,390 | 50,499 extrapolated | 48.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 52 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 30,835 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 2City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 2 | 1,928 | 1,184 | 56 | 3,168 | 60.9% | 37.4% | D+23.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Union Township, Precinct 1Union Township, Precinct 1 | 1,499 | 1,483 | 45 | 3,027 | 49.5% | 49.0% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct -City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 1City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 1 | 1,672 | 950 | 54 | 2,676 | 62.5% | 35.5% | D+27.0 |
| Precinct -Union Township, Precinct 2Union Township, Precinct 2 | 1,190 | 948 | 41 | 2,179 | 54.6% | 43.5% | D+11.1 |
| Precinct -City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 3City of Mount Pleasant, Precinct 3 | 1,369 | 654 | 36 | 2,059 | 66.5% | 31.8% | D+34.7 |
| Precinct -Coe Township, Precinct 1Coe Township, Precinct 1 | 679 | 1,012 | 26 | 1,717 | 39.5% | 58.9% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -Chippewa Township, Precinct 1Chippewa Township, Precinct 1 | 625 | 777 | 32 | 1,434 | 43.6% | 54.2% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct -Nottawa Township, Precinct 1Nottawa Township, Precinct 1 | 457 | 899 | 23 | 1,379 | 33.1% | 65.2% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -Deerfield Township, Precinct 1Deerfield Township, Precinct 1 | 631 | 694 | 15 | 1,340 | 47.1% | 51.8% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct -Lincoln Township, Precinct 1Lincoln Township, Precinct 1 | 377 | 847 | 18 | 1,242 | 30.4% | 68.2% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -Isabella Township, Precinct 1Isabella Township, Precinct 1 | 510 | 649 | 20 | 1,179 | 43.3% | 55.0% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -Broomfield Township, Precinct 1Broomfield Township, Precinct 1 | 388 | 671 | 15 | 1,074 | 36.1% | 62.5% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -Sherman Township, Precinct 1Sherman Township, Precinct 1 | 310 | 639 | 8 | 957 | 32.4% | 66.8% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -Chippewa Township, Precinct 2Chippewa Township, Precinct 2 | 331 | 492 | 17 | 840 | 39.4% | 58.6% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -Sherman Township, Precinct 2Sherman Township, Precinct 2 | 314 | 508 | 10 | 832 | 37.7% | 61.1% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -Gilmore Township, Precinct 1Gilmore Township, Precinct 1 | 233 | 573 | 13 | 819 | 28.4% | 70.0% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -Fremont Township, Precinct 1Fremont Township, Precinct 1 | 213 | 583 | 13 | 809 | 26.3% | 72.1% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -Deerfield Township, Precinct 2Deerfield Township, Precinct 2 | 260 | 514 | 19 | 793 | 32.8% | 64.8% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -Vernon Township, Precinct 1Vernon Township, Precinct 1 | 250 | 534 | 7 | 791 | 31.6% | 67.5% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -Rolland Township, Precinct 1Rolland Township, Precinct 1 | 226 | 470 | 9 | 705 | 32.1% | 66.7% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -Wise Township, Precinct 1Wise Township, Precinct 1 | 168 | 509 | 13 | 690 | 24.3% | 73.8% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -Denver Township, Precinct 1Denver Township, Precinct 1 | 240 | 429 | 8 | 677 | 35.5% | 63.4% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -Coldwater Township, Precinct 1Coldwater Township, Precinct 1 | 141 | 301 | 6 | 448 | 31.5% | 67.2% | R+35.7 |
| Broomfield Township 00001073-11140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chippewa Township 00001073-15580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chippewa Township 00002073-15580-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clare City 00001073-15920-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coe Township 00001073-16880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coe Township 00002073-16880-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coldwater Township 00001073-17060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deerfield Township 00001073-21140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deerfield Township 00002073-21140-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Denver Township 00001073-21680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fremont Township 00001073-30680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gilmore Township 00001073-32200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Isabella Township 00001073-41160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Township 00001073-47660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Pleasant City 00001073-56020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Pleasant City 00002073-56020-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Pleasant City 00003073-56020-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Pleasant City 00004073-56020-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Pleasant City 00005073-56020-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Pleasant City 00006073-56020-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Pleasant City 00007073-56020-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nottawa Township 00001073-59360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rolland Township 00001073-69300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherman Township 00001073-73200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Charter Township 00001073-81340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Charter Township 00002073-81340-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Charter Township 00003073-81340-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vernon Township 00001073-82000-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wise Township 00001073-88040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Isabella County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.0%
7,040 votes · D+20.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 58.8%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
77.1%
5,245 votes · R+59.3
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 73.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
16,679votes
58.8% of the vote · D+19.3
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 14,072 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
16,320votes
52.9% of the vote · R+7.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,815 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+12.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+19.3 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +11.0 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+52.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.4 · U.S. D+9.9
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +50.3 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Isabella County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 43.5%12,636 | 56.5%16,398 | 29,034 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 43,606 |
| 2018 | 42,971 |
| 2020 | 46,411 |
| 2022 | 47,940 |
| 2024 | 49,935 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−316 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −4,236 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,383 in average income, against $69,829 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+16.9 on average — 9.4 points more Republican-leaning than Isabella County, MI itself (R+7.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Gratiot County, MI180R+31.3
- Clare County, MI173R+37.6
- Midland County, MI146R+15.2
- Mecosta County, MI86R+30.0
- Kent County, MI74D+5.4
- Montcalm County, MI69R+39.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Gratiot County, MI162
- Midland County, MI147
- Clare County, MI136
- Oakland County, MI94
- Mecosta County, MI86
- Kent County, MI85
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −69 |
| 2012 | −377 |
| 2013 | −898 |
| 2014 | −624 |
| 2015 | +229 |
| 2016 | +119 |
| 2017 | −513 |
| 2018 | −933 |
| 2019 | −921 |
| 2021 | −215 |
| 2022 | +250 |
| 2023 | −256 |
| 2024 | +288 |
| 2025 | −316 |
Isabella County anchors the Saginaw Chippewa Indian Tribe's sovereign territory and Central Michigan University's campus, yet the county has shifted toward Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, finishing 2024 at R+7.5.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.5 points.
A population of 64,565, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,237 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Vigo County and Cortland County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Isabella County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.