Dakota County, Minnesota: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted D+13%. Republican peak: R+41 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 445,7712024 5-year
- Median household income
- $106,3182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clackamas County, OR · similarity 0.92
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −13.0% |
| 1896 | +3.5% |
| 1900 | −0.7% |
| 1904 | −41.1% |
| 1908 | −15.6% |
| 1912 | +27.2% |
| 1916 | +10.9% |
| 1920 | −39.4% |
| 1924 | −32.3% |
| 1928 | +9.0% |
| 1932 | +33.1% |
| 1936 | +31.5% |
| 1940 | +5.6% |
| 1944 | +5.1% |
| 1948 | +28.9% |
| 1952 | +0.1% |
| 1956 | −1.7% |
| 1960 | +14.5% |
| 1964 | +34.3% |
| 1968 | +18.3% |
| 1972 | −10.0% |
| 1976 | +8.0% |
| 1980 | +2.9% |
| 1984 | −5.7% |
| 1988 | +0.3% |
| 1992 | +7.2% |
| 1996 | +13.0% |
| 2000 | −1.0% |
| 2004 | −2.0% |
| 2008 | +5.5% |
| 2012 | +2.9% |
| 2016 | +4.6% |
| 2020 | +13.9% |
| 2024 | +12.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 143,267 | 109,994 | 259,803 | ||
| D | 146,155 | 109,638 | 262,259 | ||
| D | 110,592 | 99,864 | 231,860 | ||
| D | 116,255 | 109,516 | 230,821 | ||
| D | 116,778 | 104,364 | 225,472 | ||
| R | 104,635 | 108,959 | 215,846 | ||
| R | 85,446 | 87,250 | 182,249 | ||
| D | 77,297 | 57,244 | 154,266 | ||
| D | 63,660 | 52,312 | 157,080 | ||
| D | 61,942 | 61,606 | 124,580 | ||
| R | 49,125 | 55,119 | 104,911 | ||
| D | 43,433 | 40,708 | 94,755 | ||
| D | 44,253 | 37,542 | 84,080 | ||
| R | 28,479 | 34,967 | 64,796 | ||
| D | 28,416 | 19,290 | 49,908 | ||
| D | 28,391 | 13,856 | 42,328 | ||
| D | 20,150 | 15,032 | 35,273 | ||
| R | 12,672 | 13,112 | 25,839 | ||
| D | 11,890 | 11,871 | 23,879 | ||
| D | 12,487 | 6,819 | 19,623 | ||
| D | 8,562 | 7,731 | 16,403 | ||
| D | 9,327 | 8,339 | 17,743 | ||
| D | 8,890 | 4,043 | 15,398 | ||
| D | 8,958 | 4,439 | 13,635 | ||
| D | 7,215 | 6,019 | 13,323 | ||
| O | 929 | 3,931 | 9,284 | ||
| R | 2,190 | 5,373 | 8,086 | ||
| D | 2,373 | 1,881 | 4,508 | ||
| O | 1,777 | 609 | 4,290 | ||
| R | 1,778 | 2,481 | 4,505 | ||
| R | 1,078 | 2,685 | 3,909 | ||
| R | 1,878 | 1,904 | 3,997 | ||
| D | 2,310 | 2,147 | 4,626 | ||
| R | 1,481 | 1,989 | 3,902 | ||
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Demographics
Dakota County shifted from a reliable Republican stronghold into Democratic-leaning territory as its share of college-educated residents climbed alongside suburban expansion from the Minneapolis–Saint Paul metro edge.
The Democratic margin here reached thirty-four points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirteen points.
A population of 445,771, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,318 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clackamas County and Jefferson County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Dakota County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
