- Lead
- 4,116
- Total
- 12,990
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- 72.1%
Lyon County, MN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.1% of 18,101 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,345
- Total
- 12,893
- vs nation
- R+30.4
- Turnout
- 71.1%
- Lead
- 3,431
- Total
- 12,215
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- 66.7%
- Lead
- 1,129
- Total
- 12,388
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 205
- Total
- 12,708
- vs nation
- R+8.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,911
- Total
- 12,673
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,350
- Total
- 11,489
- vs nation
- R+12.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 130
- Total
- 11,477
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,5032024 5-year
- Population density
- 36 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 714 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,3032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Polk County, MN · twin score 87.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 72.1%13,058 participants ÷ 18,101 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 55.6%–57.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13,058 | 18,101 ± 292 | 72.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 9,857 | 18,072 ± 239 | 54.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,948 | 18,220 ± 224 | 71.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 10,084 | 18,467 ± 212 | 54.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,367 | 18,536 ± 185 | 66.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 12,388 | 18,631 | 66.5% | Derived | — | |
| 12,708 | 18,442 | 68.9% | Derived | — | |
| 12,673 | 18,253 extrapolated | 69.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Lyon County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Lyon County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 7 candidates
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 66 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
66 precincts · 12,990 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MARSHALL W-2MARSHALL W-2 | 981 | 1,458 | 62 | 2,501 | 39.2% | 58.3% | R+19.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MARSHALL W-3MARSHALL W-3 | 800 | 1,153 | 53 | 2,006 | 39.9% | 57.5% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -MARSHALL W-1MARSHALL W-1 | 763 | 1,045 | 49 | 1,857 | 41.1% | 56.3% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct -TRACYTRACY | 301 | 614 | 17 | 932 | 32.3% | 65.9% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -MINNEOTAMINNEOTA | 219 | 498 | 19 | 736 | 29.8% | 67.7% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -COTTONWOODCOTTONWOOD | 187 | 464 | 13 | 664 | 28.2% | 69.9% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -LAKE MARSHALL TWPLAKE MARSHALL TWP | 105 | 233 | 11 | 349 | 30.1% | 66.8% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -BALATONBALATON | 97 | 239 | 8 | 344 | 28.2% | 69.5% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -LYND TWPLYND TWP | 81 | 191 | 4 | 276 | 29.3% | 69.2% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -FAIRVIEW TWPFAIRVIEW TWP | 40 | 180 | 8 | 228 | 17.5% | 78.9% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -GHENTGHENT | 74 | 147 | 6 | 227 | 32.6% | 64.8% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -LYNDLYND | 56 | 136 | 8 | 200 | 28.0% | 68.0% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -RUSSELLRUSSELL | 41 | 149 | 2 | 192 | 21.4% | 77.6% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -ROCK LAKE TWPROCK LAKE TWP | 30 | 145 | 4 | 179 | 16.8% | 81.0% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -SODUS TWPSODUS TWP | 30 | 143 | 3 | 176 | 17.0% | 81.3% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -GRANDVIEW TWPGRANDVIEW TWP | 36 | 133 | 2 | 171 | 21.1% | 77.8% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -COON CREEK TWPCOON CREEK TWP | 35 | 118 | 2 | 155 | 22.6% | 76.1% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -CLIFTON TWPCLIFTON TWP | 35 | 108 | 8 | 151 | 23.2% | 71.5% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -STANLEY TWPSTANLEY TWP | 32 | 117 | 1 | 150 | 21.3% | 78.0% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -WESTERHEIM TWPWESTERHEIM TWP | 39 | 109 | 2 | 150 | 26.0% | 72.7% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -VALLERS TWPVALLERS TWP | 24 | 111 | 2 | 137 | 17.5% | 81.0% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -LYONS TWPLYONS TWP | 14 | 117 | 0 | 131 | 10.7% | 89.3% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -LUCAS TWPLUCAS TWP | 30 | 100 | 0 | 130 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -NORDLAND TWPNORDLAND TWP | 39 | 86 | 0 | 125 | 31.2% | 68.8% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -AMIRET TWPAMIRET TWP | 14 | 102 | 3 | 119 | 11.8% | 85.7% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -ISLAND LAKE TWPISLAND LAKE TWP | 23 | 91 | 3 | 117 | 19.7% | 77.8% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -EIDSVOLD TWPEIDSVOLD TWP | 25 | 86 | 3 | 114 | 21.9% | 75.4% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -CUSTER TWPCUSTER TWP | 42 | 68 | 3 | 113 | 37.2% | 60.2% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -SHELBURNE TWPSHELBURNE TWP | 23 | 88 | 2 | 113 | 20.4% | 77.9% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -MONROE TWPMONROE TWP | 22 | 81 | 4 | 107 | 20.6% | 75.7% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -TAUNTONTAUNTON | 24 | 39 | 3 | 66 | 36.4% | 59.1% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -GARVINGARVIN | 16 | 41 | 1 | 58 | 27.6% | 70.7% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -FLORENCEFLORENCE | 6 | 10 | 0 | 16 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+25.0 |
| Amiret Twp. Voting District27_270830005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Balaton Voting District27_270830010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clifton Twp. Voting District27_270830015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coon Creek Twp. Voting District27_270830020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cottonwood Voting District27_270830025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Custer Twp. Voting District27_270830030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eidsvold Twp. Voting District27_270830035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairview Twp. Voting District27_270830040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Florence Voting District27_270830045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Garvin Voting District27_270830050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ghent Voting District27_270830055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grandview Twp. Voting District27_270830060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Island Lake Twp. Voting District27_270830065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Marshall Twp. Voting District27_270830070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lucas Twp. Voting District27_270830075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lynd Twp. Voting District27_270830085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lynd Voting District27_270830080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lyons Twp. Voting District27_270830090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marshall W-127_270830095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marshall W-227_270830105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marshall W-327_270830115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minneota Voting District27_270830125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Monroe Twp. Voting District27_270830130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nordland Twp. Voting District27_270830135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rock Lake Twp. Voting District27_270830140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Russell Voting District27_270830145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shelburne Twp. Voting District27_270830150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sodus Twp. Voting District27_270830155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stanley Twp. Voting District27_270830160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taunton Voting District27_270830165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tracy Voting District27_270830170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vallers Twp. Voting District27_270830180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Westerheim Twp. Voting District27_270830185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Lyon County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.7%
6,649 votes · D+35.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 67.6%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
81.8%
2,394 votes · R+70.5
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 73.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
7,122votes
57.2% of the vote · D+16.7
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 6,649 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,400votes
64.7% of the vote · R+31.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,979 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
+28.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +21.4 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+50.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+70.5 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +30.4 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Lyon County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 30.6%3,890 | 69.4%8,832 | 12,722 |
| 2020 | R | 41.9%4,958 | 58.1%6,861 | 11,819 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,431 |
| 2018 | 14,002 |
| 2020 | 15,094 |
| 2022 | 14,786 |
| 2024 | 15,811 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−197 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,211 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,854 in average income, against $83,995 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+24.6 on average — 7.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Lyon County, MN itself (R+31.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Yellow Medicine County, MN41R+40.5
- Redwood County, MN32R+43.2
- Lincoln County, MN28R+37.7
- Hennepin County, MN24D+42.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hennepin County, MN52
- Minnehaha County, SD41
- Redwood County, MN39
- Murray County, MN31
- Lincoln County, SD31
- Ramsey County, MN28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −249 |
| 2012 | −398 |
| 2013 | −123 |
| 2014 | −204 |
| 2015 | −223 |
| 2016 | −157 |
| 2017 | −295 |
| 2018 | −569 |
| 2019 | −319 |
| 2021 | −36 |
| 2022 | −306 |
| 2023 | −149 |
| 2024 | +14 |
| 2025 | −197 |
Lyon County sits in southwest Minnesota's agricultural flatlands, where a farm-dependent economy and a predominantly white, non-college electorate have produced some of the state's most consistent Republican presidential margins over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 70.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.7 points.
A population of 25,503, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,303 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Polk County and Brown County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lyon County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27083/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.