Marshall County, Minnesota: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+52%. Republican peak: R+64 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 8,9092024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,5432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Iowa County, IA · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Marshall CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Marshall County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +9.1% |
| 1896 | +0.9% |
| 1900 | −22.6% |
| 1904 | −64.2% |
| 1908 | −33.4% |
| 1912 | +8.1% |
| 1916 | +1.6% |
| 1920 | −61.3% |
| 1924 | −34.5% |
| 1928 | −25.3% |
| 1932 | +25.5% |
| 1936 | +42.3% |
| 1940 | +30.0% |
| 1944 | +30.3% |
| 1948 | +31.3% |
| 1952 | −5.7% |
| 1956 | +16.0% |
| 1960 | +11.1% |
| 1964 | +41.6% |
| 1968 | +13.3% |
| 1972 | −7.7% |
| 1976 | +17.6% |
| 1980 | −14.8% |
| 1984 | −11.7% |
| 1988 | +4.3% |
| 1992 | +3.0% |
| 1996 | +5.1% |
| 2000 | −19.3% |
| 2004 | −15.8% |
| 2008 | +0.5% |
| 2012 | −12.2% |
| 2016 | −41.2% |
| 2020 | −47.4% |
| 2024 | −51.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,177 | 3,774 | 5,031 | ||
| R | 1,295 | 3,721 | 5,113 | ||
| R | 1,225 | 3,208 | 4,817 | ||
| R | 1,998 | 2,569 | 4,698 | ||
| D | 2,311 | 2,285 | 4,739 | ||
| R | 2,308 | 3,187 | 5,562 | ||
| R | 1,910 | 2,912 | 5,199 | ||
| D | 2,333 | 2,068 | 5,154 | ||
| D | 2,309 | 2,136 | 5,803 | ||
| D | 3,001 | 2,752 | 5,811 | ||
| R | 2,705 | 3,433 | 6,207 | ||
| R | 2,636 | 3,638 | 6,775 | ||
| D | 3,744 | 2,605 | 6,489 | ||
| R | 2,790 | 3,264 | 6,190 | ||
| D | 3,161 | 2,367 | 5,956 | ||
| D | 4,594 | 1,893 | 6,490 | ||
| D | 3,759 | 3,006 | 6,777 | ||
| D | 3,478 | 2,519 | 6,007 | ||
| R | 3,132 | 3,516 | 6,733 | ||
| D | 4,126 | 2,090 | 6,507 | ||
| D | 3,808 | 2,029 | 5,864 | ||
| D | 4,549 | 2,441 | 7,034 | ||
| D | 4,802 | 1,904 | 6,852 | ||
| D | 3,259 | 1,866 | 5,463 | ||
| R | 2,200 | 3,738 | 6,070 | ||
| O | 290 | 2,100 | 5,246 | ||
| R | 885 | 4,738 | 6,283 | ||
| D | 1,513 | 1,461 | 3,266 | ||
| O | 567 | 331 | 2,930 | ||
| R | 731 | 1,648 | 2,747 | ||
| R | 275 | 1,720 | 2,252 | ||
| R | 905 | 1,457 | 2,442 | ||
| D | 1,222 | 1,200 | 2,452 | ||
| O | 526 | 354 | 1,885 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.2%
Polish
10.1%
French
5.8%
Irish
5.0%
English
3.1%
American
2.6%
Scottish
0.8%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,543
Marshall County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Marshall County$72,543
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Marshall County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 189.8%
Working age (18–64)7.5%
Seniors (65+)10.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.8%
speak English only
Spanish2.9%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 36.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Marshall County, anchored by the Red River Valley's flat agricultural plains, has shifted toward lopsided Republican presidential margins over the past decade, with 2024's R+51.6 result reflecting the broader rural realignment across the Upper Midwest's farming communities.
The Democratic margin here peaked at forty-two points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-two points.
A population of 8,909, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,543 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Iowa County and Nobles County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Marshall County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Marshall County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Marshall County, Minnesota voted Republican by 51.6 points (R+52), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,031 votes cast, 1,177 went Democratic and 3,774 went Republican.
What is Marshall County, Minnesota's political typology?
Akashic places Marshall County, Minnesota in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 15 times, and other 3 times.
When did Marshall County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Marshall County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Marshall County, Minnesota?
Marshall County, Minnesota has a population of 8,909 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Marshall County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Marshall County, Minnesota is $72,543 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Marshall County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Marshall County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.