Pine County, Minnesota: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 29,6402024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,1462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jefferson County, OH · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Pine CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Pine County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +7.2% |
| 1896 | −13.3% |
| 1900 | −20.8% |
| 1904 | −54.5% |
| 1908 | −27.2% |
| 1912 | +8.8% |
| 1916 | −0.7% |
| 1920 | −47.4% |
| 1924 | −34.7% |
| 1928 | −14.4% |
| 1932 | +32.8% |
| 1936 | +38.7% |
| 1940 | +12.1% |
| 1944 | +11.5% |
| 1948 | +22.7% |
| 1952 | −7.0% |
| 1956 | +8.9% |
| 1960 | +9.9% |
| 1964 | +38.3% |
| 1968 | +20.4% |
| 1972 | −1.1% |
| 1976 | +26.8% |
| 1980 | +12.6% |
| 1984 | +7.5% |
| 1988 | +17.7% |
| 1992 | +19.3% |
| 1996 | +22.8% |
| 2000 | +2.2% |
| 2004 | +1.3% |
| 2008 | +1.5% |
| 2012 | −0.7% |
| 2016 | −26.1% |
| 2020 | −30.2% |
| 2024 | −35.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 5,339 | 11,274 | 16,911 | ||
| R | 5,419 | 10,256 | 16,001 | ||
| R | 4,580 | 8,191 | 13,811 | ||
| R | 6,750 | 6,845 | 13,965 | ||
| D | 7,084 | 6,862 | 14,383 | ||
| D | 7,228 | 7,033 | 14,518 | ||
| D | 6,148 | 5,854 | 13,068 | ||
| D | 5,432 | 3,080 | 10,308 | ||
| D | 4,929 | 2,841 | 10,813 | ||
| D | 5,540 | 3,857 | 9,513 | ||
| D | 5,223 | 4,493 | 9,779 | ||
| D | 5,121 | 3,899 | 9,687 | ||
| D | 5,442 | 3,057 | 8,887 | ||
| R | 3,794 | 3,881 | 8,017 | ||
| D | 4,044 | 2,591 | 7,117 | ||
| D | 5,123 | 2,279 | 7,420 | ||
| D | 4,211 | 3,450 | 7,687 | ||
| D | 3,829 | 3,204 | 7,041 | ||
| R | 3,692 | 4,255 | 8,038 | ||
| D | 4,978 | 3,069 | 8,407 | ||
| D | 4,332 | 3,433 | 7,829 | ||
| D | 5,263 | 4,106 | 9,526 | ||
| D | 5,797 | 2,452 | 8,638 | ||
| D | 4,862 | 2,304 | 7,801 | ||
| R | 3,185 | 4,278 | 7,568 | ||
| O | 469 | 2,706 | 6,438 | ||
| R | 1,127 | 3,879 | 5,804 | ||
| R | 1,507 | 1,531 | 3,450 | ||
| O | 777 | 513 | 3,010 | ||
| R | 802 | 1,548 | 2,743 | ||
| R | 463 | 1,743 | 2,348 | ||
| R | 726 | 1,121 | 1,898 | ||
| R | 875 | 1,152 | 2,077 | ||
| D | 538 | 458 | 1,111 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
29.6%
Irish
10.1%
Polish
5.3%
English
4.9%
American
4.1%
French
2.5%
Italian
1.8%
African American
1.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 45.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$71,146
Pine County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Pine County$71,146
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Pine County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.3%
Working age (18–64)10.9%
Seniors (65+)12.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.5%
speak English only
Spanish1.8%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Pine County's economy traces back to logging and small agriculture along the St. Croix watershed, and its largely white, working-class electorate has widened Republican presidential margins by roughly 25 points since 2000.
The Democratic margin here peaked at thirty-nine points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-five points.
A population of 29,640, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,146 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jefferson County and Big Stone County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pine County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Pine County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pine County, Minnesota voted Republican by 35.1 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,911 votes cast, 5,339 went Democratic and 11,274 went Republican.
What is Pine County, Minnesota's political typology?
Akashic places Pine County, Minnesota in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 13 times, and other 2 times.
When did Pine County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pine County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Pine County, Minnesota?
Pine County, Minnesota has a population of 29,640 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pine County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Pine County, Minnesota is $71,146 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Pine County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pine County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.