- Lead
- 21,942
- Total
- 75,923
- vs nation
- R+27.4
- Turnout
- 48.3%
Harrison County, MS
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 48.3% of 157,317 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 19,094
- Total
- 75,885
- vs nation
- R+29.6
- Turnout
- 50.1%
- Lead
- 19,185
- Total
- 63,313
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Turnout
- 43.4%
- Lead
- 16,351
- Total
- 63,328
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,084
- Total
- 61,957
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,627
- Total
- 63,288
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 13,114
- Total
- 52,616
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,711
- Total
- 48,235
- vs nation
- R+22.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 210,8912024 5-year
- Population density
- 368 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 574 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,4792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.7 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Tangipahoa Parish, LA · twin score 79.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 48.3%75,923 participants ÷ 157,317 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -4.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 25.0%–32.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75,923 | 157,317 ± 771 | 48.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 41,876 | 156,001 ± 745 | 26.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 76,821 | 153,469 ± 799 | 50.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 52,115 | 149,055 ± 854 | 35.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 63,313 | 145,873 ± 718 | 43.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 63,328 | 137,304 | 46.1% | Derived | — | |
| 61,957 | 131,191 | 47.2% | Derived | — | |
| 63,288 | 125,078 extrapolated | 50.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Harrison County only. The complete district District 4 result is shown below for comparison.
Harrison County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 4 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 115 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
115 precincts · 75,923 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LymanLyman | 1,234 | 3,144 | 55 | 4,433 | 27.8% | 70.9% | R+43.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -North BayNorth Bay | 1,449 | 2,906 | 37 | 4,392 | 33.0% | 66.2% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -Bay CentralBay Central | 1,085 | 2,389 | 45 | 3,519 | 30.8% | 67.9% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -Long Beach # 5Long Beach # 5 | 742 | 2,484 | 46 | 3,272 | 22.7% | 75.9% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -West Orange GroveWest Orange Grove | 1,258 | 1,932 | 37 | 3,227 | 39.0% | 59.9% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -Howard CreekHoward Creek | 699 | 2,417 | 39 | 3,155 | 22.2% | 76.6% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -Biloxi # 11Biloxi # 11 | 1,064 | 1,849 | 29 | 2,942 | 36.2% | 62.8% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -North Bel-AireNorth Bel-Aire | 1,694 | 1,180 | 37 | 2,911 | 58.2% | 40.5% | D+17.7 |
| Precinct -West Long BeachWest Long Beach | 644 | 1,574 | 35 | 2,253 | 28.6% | 69.9% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -County Farm/Gulf HavenCounty Farm/Gulf Haven | 518 | 1,673 | 19 | 2,210 | 23.4% | 75.7% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -East Miss CityEast Miss City | 716 | 1,274 | 25 | 2,015 | 35.5% | 63.2% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct -PeacePeace | 259 | 1,702 | 19 | 1,980 | 13.1% | 86.0% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -East Long BeachEast Long Beach | 457 | 1,447 | 17 | 1,921 | 23.8% | 75.3% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -West Mississippi CityWest Mississippi City | 625 | 1,114 | 33 | 1,772 | 35.3% | 62.9% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct -West HandsboroWest Handsboro | 392 | 1,267 | 9 | 1,668 | 23.5% | 76.0% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -StonewallStonewall | 507 | 1,109 | 14 | 1,630 | 31.1% | 68.0% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -Bayou ViewBayou View | 328 | 1,281 | 20 | 1,629 | 20.1% | 78.6% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -PinevillePineville | 262 | 1,321 | 16 | 1,599 | 16.4% | 82.6% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -New HopeNew Hope | 682 | 893 | 13 | 1,588 | 42.9% | 56.2% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -Biloxi 10Biloxi 10 | 643 | 845 | 28 | 1,516 | 42.4% | 55.7% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -E Pass ChristianE Pass Christian | 644 | 848 | 19 | 1,511 | 42.6% | 56.1% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct -Biloxi # 8Biloxi # 8 | 618 | 845 | 27 | 1,490 | 41.5% | 56.7% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct -DelisleDelisle | 544 | 923 | 20 | 1,487 | 36.6% | 62.1% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct -South Bel-AireSouth Bel-Aire | 827 | 538 | 20 | 1,385 | 59.7% | 38.8% | D+20.9 |
| Precinct -E Orange GroveE Orange Grove | 557 | 694 | 15 | 1,266 | 44.0% | 54.8% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -SaucierSaucier | 190 | 1,043 | 10 | 1,243 | 15.3% | 83.9% | R+68.6 |
| Precinct -New Popps FerryNew Popps Ferry | 390 | 796 | 12 | 1,198 | 32.6% | 66.4% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -W Pass ChristianW Pass Christian | 388 | 781 | 21 | 1,190 | 32.6% | 65.6% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -AdvanceAdvance | 128 | 1,047 | 4 | 1,179 | 10.9% | 88.8% | R+77.9 |
| Precinct -White PlainsWhite Plains | 223 | 878 | 5 | 1,106 | 20.2% | 79.4% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -East HandsboroEast Handsboro | 351 | 730 | 16 | 1,097 | 32.0% | 66.5% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -LadnerLadner | 163 | 923 | 7 | 1,093 | 14.9% | 84.4% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -Biloxi CentralBiloxi Central | 413 | 579 | 12 | 1,004 | 41.1% | 57.7% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct -East BiloxiEast Biloxi | 686 | 307 | 9 | 1,002 | 68.5% | 30.6% | D+37.8 |
| Precinct -Gulfport # 14Gulfport # 14 | 819 | 95 | 11 | 925 | 88.5% | 10.3% | D+78.3 |
| Precinct -West North GptWest North Gpt | 830 | 52 | 10 | 892 | 93.0% | 5.8% | D+87.2 |
| Precinct -Gulfport # 13Gulfport # 13 | 654 | 198 | 10 | 862 | 75.9% | 23.0% | D+52.9 |
| Precinct -Northwood HillsNorthwood Hills | 360 | 451 | 8 | 819 | 44.0% | 55.1% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct -West LizanaWest Lizana | 78 | 647 | 2 | 727 | 10.7% | 89.0% | R+78.3 |
| Precinct -Gulfport # 8Gulfport # 8 | 469 | 217 | 11 | 697 | 67.3% | 31.1% | D+36.2 |
| Precinct -WestsideWestside | 268 | 407 | 13 | 688 | 39.0% | 59.2% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -Gulfport # 16Gulfport # 16 | 509 | 104 | 6 | 619 | 82.2% | 16.8% | D+65.4 |
| Precinct -VidaliaVidalia | 48 | 483 | 6 | 537 | 8.9% | 89.9% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -East North GulfportEast North Gulfport | 424 | 53 | 3 | 480 | 88.3% | 11.0% | D+77.3 |
| Precinct -Poplar HeadPoplar Head | 57 | 378 | 4 | 439 | 13.0% | 86.1% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -Outside Long BeachOutside Long Beach | 58 | 332 | 4 | 394 | 14.7% | 84.3% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -Magnolia GroveMagnolia Grove | 292 | 86 | 6 | 384 | 76.0% | 22.4% | D+53.6 |
| Precinct -Gulfport # 3Gulfport # 3 | 298 | 66 | 7 | 371 | 80.3% | 17.8% | D+62.5 |
| Precinct -RicevilleRiceville | 11 | 195 | 0 | 206 | 5.3% | 94.7% | R+89.3 |
| Voting District 10128_28047101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10228_28047102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10328_28047103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10428_28047104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10528_28047105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10628_28047106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10728_28047107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10828_28047108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 10928_28047109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11028_28047110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11128_28047111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11228_28047112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11328_28047113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 11428_28047114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20128_28047201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20228_28047202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20328_28047203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20428_28047204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20528_28047205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20628_28047206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20728_28047207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20828_28047208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 20928_28047209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21028_28047210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21128_28047211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21228_28047212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21328_28047213 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21428_28047214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 21528_28047215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30128_28047301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30228_28047302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30328_28047303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30428_28047304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30528_28047305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30628_28047306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30728_28047307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30828_28047308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 30928_28047309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31028_28047310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31128_28047311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31228_28047312 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31328_28047313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31428_28047314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 31528_28047315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40128_28047401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40228_28047402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40328_28047403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40428_28047404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40528_28047405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40628_28047406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40728_28047407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40828_28047408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 40928_28047409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41028_28047410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41128_28047411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 41228_28047412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50128_28047501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50228_28047502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50328_28047503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50428_28047504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50528_28047505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50628_28047506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50728_28047507 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50828_28047508 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 50928_28047509 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 51028_28047510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Harrison County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1944
90.6%
5,976 votes · D+81.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 89.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
84.0%
28,962 votes · R+70.2
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 75.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
27,728votes
36.5% of the vote · R+25.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 26,555 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
48,497votes
63.9% of the vote · R+28.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 46,822 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+92.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+67.4 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +87.6 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+72.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.3 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +47.1 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Harrison County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 5 state senate and 4 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 132,974 |
| 2018 | 140,520 |
| 2020 | 144,146 |
| 2022 | 147,199 |
| 2024 | 157,609 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,354 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +14,200 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,511 in average income, against $68,561 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.8 on average — 3.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Harrison County, MS itself (R+28.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jackson County, MS963R+39.9
- Hancock County, MS320R+58.7
- Forrest County, MS129R+17.9
- Stone County, MS126R+58.0
- St. Tammany Parish, LA119R+43.8
- Mobile County, AL112R+16.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jackson County, MS1,013
- Hancock County, MS293
- Stone County, MS167
- Mobile County, AL127
- St. Tammany Parish, LA102
- Forrest County, MS100
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,823 |
| 2012 | +820 |
| 2013 | +1,390 |
| 2014 | +908 |
| 2015 | +1,024 |
| 2016 | +883 |
| 2017 | +1,442 |
| 2018 | +826 |
| 2019 | +1,088 |
| 2021 | +758 |
| 2022 | +1,200 |
| 2023 | −503 |
| 2024 | +1,187 |
| 2025 | +1,354 |
Home to Biloxi's casino corridor and Keesler Air Force Base, Harrison County blends tourism and defense employment into one of Mississippi's most populous and economically active coastal communities, voting Republican by roughly 29 points in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.7 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 70.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.9 points.
A population of 210,891, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,479 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tangipahoa Parish and Lafayette Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Harrison County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.