- Lead
- 13,737
- Total
- 28,171
- vs nation
- R+47.3
- Turnout
- 57.8%
Lamar County, MS
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.8% of 48,757 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 13,364
- Total
- 28,530
- vs nation
- R+51.3
- Turnout
- 62.6%
- Lead
- 13,561
- Total
- 24,592
- vs nation
- R+57.2
- Turnout
- 56.5%
- Lead
- 13,607
- Total
- 24,889
- vs nation
- R+58.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 13,338
- Total
- 23,910
- vs nation
- R+63.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,487
- Total
- 20,465
- vs nation
- R+58.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,317
- Total
- 16,602
- vs nation
- R+56.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,440
- Total
- 12,774
- vs nation
- R+51.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 65,7132024 5-year
- Population density
- 132 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 497 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,9092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 21.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+82.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Autauga County, AL · twin score 96.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 57.8%28,171 participants ÷ 48,757 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 31.5%–38.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28,171 | 48,757 ± 382 | 57.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 17,428 | 48,035 ± 295 | 36.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 29,036 | 46,412 ± 430 | 62.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 19,711 | 45,037 ± 452 | 43.8% | Audited | C/A |
| 24,592 | 43,518 ± 356 | 56.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 24,889 | 40,297 | 61.8% | Derived | — | |
| 23,910 | 33,935 | 70.5% | Derived | — | |
| 20,465 | 27,573 extrapolated | 74.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Lamar County only. The complete district District 4 result is shown below for comparison.
Lamar County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 4 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 45 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
45 precincts · 28,171 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -SumrallSumrall | 304 | 2,254 | 17 | 2,575 | 11.8% | 87.5% | R+75.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Lake SereneLake Serene | 556 | 1,908 | 38 | 2,502 | 22.2% | 76.3% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -BrelandBreland | 964 | 1,054 | 42 | 2,060 | 46.8% | 51.2% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct -PurvisPurvis | 331 | 1,608 | 23 | 1,962 | 16.9% | 82.0% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -RichburgRichburg | 603 | 1,122 | 27 | 1,752 | 34.4% | 64.0% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -South PurvisSouth Purvis | 130 | 1,521 | 19 | 1,670 | 7.8% | 91.1% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -Oak GroveOak Grove | 448 | 1,146 | 24 | 1,618 | 27.7% | 70.8% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -MidwayMidway | 230 | 1,304 | 16 | 1,550 | 14.8% | 84.1% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -OralOral | 160 | 1,137 | 11 | 1,308 | 12.2% | 86.9% | R+74.7 |
| Precinct -CanebrakeCanebrake | 127 | 1,047 | 11 | 1,185 | 10.7% | 88.4% | R+77.6 |
| Precinct -Lamar ParkLamar Park | 612 | 512 | 27 | 1,151 | 53.2% | 44.5% | D+8.7 |
| Precinct -Arnold LineArnold Line | 457 | 591 | 17 | 1,065 | 42.9% | 55.5% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -Northeast LamarNortheast Lamar | 537 | 490 | 13 | 1,040 | 51.6% | 47.1% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -LumbertonLumberton | 482 | 539 | 14 | 1,035 | 46.6% | 52.1% | R+5.5 |
| Precinct -Wesley ManorWesley Manor | 491 | 393 | 28 | 912 | 53.8% | 43.1% | D+10.7 |
| Precinct -GreenvilleGreenville | 35 | 816 | 4 | 855 | 4.1% | 95.4% | R+91.3 |
| Precinct -Rocky BranchRocky Branch | 99 | 514 | 5 | 618 | 16.0% | 83.2% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -Pine GrovePine Grove | 35 | 546 | 1 | 582 | 6.0% | 93.8% | R+87.8 |
| Precinct -OkaholaOkahola | 150 | 406 | 8 | 564 | 26.6% | 72.0% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -KingsmillKingsmill | 123 | 422 | 2 | 547 | 22.5% | 77.1% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -Mill CreekMill Creek | 98 | 395 | 7 | 500 | 19.6% | 79.0% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -OlohOloh | 33 | 404 | 1 | 438 | 7.5% | 92.2% | R+84.7 |
| Precinct -BaxtervilleBaxterville | 22 | 383 | 2 | 407 | 5.4% | 94.1% | R+88.7 |
| Precinct -YawnYawn | 11 | 263 | 1 | 275 | 4.0% | 95.6% | R+91.6 |
| Arnold Line Voting District28_28073008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Baxterville Voting District28_28073019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bellevue Voting District28_28073006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Breland Voting District28_28073002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenville Voting District28_28073022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Serene Voting District28_28073007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lamar Park Voting District28_28073010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lumberton Voting District28_28073020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Midway Voting District28_28073005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| N E Lamar Voting District28_28073009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oak Grove Voting District28_28073013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Okahola Voting District28_28073014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oloh Voting District28_28073004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine Grove Voting District28_28073015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Purvis Voting District28_28073016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richburg Voting District28_28073012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rocky Branch Voting District28_28073003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Purvis Voting District28_28073017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sumrall Voting District28_28073001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wesley Manor Voting District28_28073011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Yawn Voting District28_28073021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Lamar County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
96.6%
1,033 votes · D+93.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 95.4%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
91.0%
3,372 votes · R+82.0
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 88.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,340votes
25.7% of the vote · R+46.8
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,038 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
20,775votes
73.7% of the vote · R+48.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 20,704 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+103.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+78.5 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +80.9 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+104.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+82.0 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +63.1 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Lamar County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 5 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 36,404 |
| 2018 | 38,119 |
| 2020 | 40,893 |
| 2022 | 39,385 |
| 2024 | 42,323 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+173 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,405 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,449 in average income, against $91,213 for residents who stayed — 37% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+23.8 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Lamar County, MS itself (R+48.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Forrest County, MS716R+17.9
- Jones County, MS100R+46.8
- Harrison County, MS80R+28.9
- Marion County, MS74R+41.6
- Covington County, MS62R+33.3
- Pearl River County, MS57R+66.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Forrest County, MS731
- Marion County, MS86
- Harrison County, MS84
- Jones County, MS78
- Covington County, MS58
- Pearl River County, MS58
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +879 |
| 2012 | +352 |
| 2013 | +647 |
| 2014 | +598 |
| 2015 | +419 |
| 2016 | +64 |
| 2017 | −211 |
| 2018 | +715 |
| 2019 | +317 |
| 2021 | +821 |
| 2022 | +171 |
| 2023 | +159 |
| 2024 | +301 |
| 2025 | +173 |
Lamar County sits in the Pine Belt region south of Hattiesburg and has posted some of the state's steepest population gains over the past decade, driven largely by suburban spillover — a growth pattern that has so far reinforced rather than diluted its wide Republican margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 82.0 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.8 points.
A population of 65,713, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,909 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Autauga County and Rankin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lamar County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.