Warren County, Mississippi: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+93 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 43,0202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,4012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 46.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 48.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Duval County, FL · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +84.9% |
| 1896 | +57.0% |
| 1900 | +70.7% |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +80.7% |
| 1916 | +88.2% |
| 1920 | +73.2% |
| 1924 | +69.1% |
| 1928 | +67.9% |
| 1932 | +86.3% |
| 1936 | +92.6% |
| 1940 | +88.1% |
| 1944 | +82.7% |
| 1948 | +1.8% |
| 1952 | −18.8% |
| 1956 | −10.5% |
| 1960 | +0.2% |
| 1964 | −63.9% |
| 1968 | +15.0% |
| 1972 | −47.9% |
| 1976 | −15.3% |
| 1980 | −14.7% |
| 1984 | −23.1% |
| 1988 | −25.1% |
| 1992 | −9.9% |
| 1996 | −2.5% |
| 2000 | −18.3% |
| 2004 | −15.9% |
| 2008 | −3.0% |
| 2012 | +1.5% |
| 2016 | −2.5% |
| 2020 | +0.4% |
| 2024 | −4.0% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 8,683 | 9,407 | 18,298 | ||
| D | 10,442 | 10,365 | 21,053 | ||
| R | 9,284 | 9,767 | 19,416 | ||
| D | 10,786 | 10,457 | 21,391 | ||
| R | 10,489 | 11,152 | 21,764 | ||
| R | 8,224 | 11,356 | 19,683 | ||
| R | 7,485 | 10,892 | 18,623 | ||
| R | 8,774 | 9,261 | 19,385 | ||
| R | 8,175 | 10,209 | 20,578 | ||
| R | 7,437 | 12,507 | 20,170 | ||
| R | 8,054 | 12,959 | 21,248 | ||
| R | 7,489 | 10,151 | 18,128 | ||
| R | 6,299 | 8,699 | 15,705 | ||
| R | 3,480 | 10,420 | 14,478 | ||
| O | 4,503 | 2,392 | 14,112 | ||
| R | 1,631 | 7,409 | 9,040 | ||
| D | 2,289 | 2,277 | 6,587 | ||
| R | 1,857 | 2,419 | 5,328 | ||
| R | 2,366 | 3,458 | 5,824 | ||
| O | 320 | 245 | 4,170 | ||
| D | 3,202 | 304 | 3,506 | ||
| D | 3,048 | 192 | 3,241 | ||
| D | 3,233 | 122 | 3,361 | ||
| D | 2,422 | 169 | 2,611 | ||
| D | 2,769 | 530 | 3,299 | ||
| D | 1,794 | 328 | 2,122 | ||
| D | 1,082 | 161 | 1,258 | ||
| D | 1,204 | 73 | 1,282 | ||
| D | 1,135 | 55 | 1,339 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 804 | 136 | 945 | ||
| D | 867 | 183 | 1,201 | ||
| D | 631 | 28 | 710 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
Home to Vicksburg, Warren County sits along the Mississippi River and has shifted notably toward competitive margins compared with most of its Deep South neighbors, driven by a sizable Black voting-age population that regularly shapes close countywide results.
The Democratic margin here reached ninety-three points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was four points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $59,401 and a 20% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Duval County and Florence County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Warren County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28149/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
