HarrisDemocratic26.2%10,561TrumpRepublican72.6%29,315OliverLibertarian0.8%317
R+46.5- Lead
- 18,754
- Total
- 40,353
- vs nation
- R+45.0
- Turnout
- 64.1%
Akashiccounty
Cape Girardeau County, MO
Contests in this Place (91 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.1% of 63,765 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.6%10,760TrumpRepublican71.5%28,907JorgensenLibertarian1.3%520
R+44.9- Lead
- 18,147
- Total
- 40,426
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Turnout
- 90.3%
ClintonDemocratic22.8%8,492TrumpRepublican72.4%27,017JohnsonLibertarian3.0%1,109
R+49.7- Lead
- 18,525
- Total
- 37,311
- vs nation
- R+51.7
- Turnout
- 68.1%
ObamaDemocratic27.2%9,728RomneyRepublican70.8%25,370GrayLibertarian1.6%560
R+43.7- Lead
- 15,642
- Total
- 35,829
- vs nation
- R+47.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic32.7%12,208McCainRepublican66.3%24,768OtherAll other candidates1.0%379
R+33.6- Lead
- 12,560
- Total
- 37,355
- vs nation
- R+40.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic30.6%10,568BushRepublican68.9%23,814OtherAll other candidates0.5%183
R+38.3- Lead
- 13,246
- Total
- 34,565
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic31.3%9,334BushRepublican66.4%19,832NaderGreen1.3%376
R+35.2- Lead
- 10,498
- Total
- 29,859
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.0%9,957DoleRepublican56.3%15,557PerotReform6.7%1,861
R+20.3- Lead
- 5,600
- Total
- 27,622
- vs nation
- R+28.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+46.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 82,7352024 5-year
- Population density
- 143 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 579 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,4642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jasper County, MO · twin score 83.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 64.1%40,864 participants ÷ 63,765 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +37.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +18.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 27.0%–40.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40,864 | 63,765 ± 419 | 64.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 33,670 | 63,185 ± 399 | 53.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 54,739 | 60,603 ± 334 | 90.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 35,110 | 59,988 ± 267 | 58.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 40,894 | 60,011 ± 291 | 68.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 35,829 | 58,236 | 61.5% | Derived | — | |
| 37,355 | 55,826 | 66.9% | Derived | — | |
| 34,565 | 53,416 extrapolated | 64.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 26 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 40,353 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BYRD 3 AND 4BYRD 3 AND 4 | 949 | 2,950 | 45 | 3,944 | 24.1% | 74.8% | R+50.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CAPE PRECINCT 5B AND 6CAPE PRECINCT 5B AND 6 | 1,166 | 2,395 | 43 | 3,604 | 32.4% | 66.5% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -BYRD 5 & 6BYRD 5 & 6 | 625 | 2,333 | 18 | 2,976 | 21.0% | 78.4% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -FRUITLAND PRECINCTFRUITLAND PRECINCT | 582 | 2,150 | 33 | 2,765 | 21.0% | 77.8% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -BYRD 1 PRECINCTBYRD 1 PRECINCT | 447 | 1,426 | 30 | 1,903 | 23.5% | 74.9% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -BYRD 2 PRECINCTBYRD 2 PRECINCT | 442 | 1,404 | 23 | 1,869 | 23.6% | 75.1% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -GORDONVILLE PRECINCTGORDONVILLE PRECINCT | 397 | 1,448 | 24 | 1,869 | 21.2% | 77.5% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -CAPE PRECINCT 4ACAPE PRECINCT 4A | 522 | 1,290 | 32 | 1,844 | 28.3% | 70.0% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -CAPE PRECINCT 5ACAPE PRECINCT 5A | 541 | 1,204 | 26 | 1,771 | 30.5% | 68.0% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -CAPE PRECINCT 4BCAPE PRECINCT 4B | 575 | 1,144 | 18 | 1,737 | 33.1% | 65.9% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -CAPE PRECINCT 1CAPE PRECINCT 1 | 650 | 1,040 | 23 | 1,713 | 37.9% | 60.7% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct -CAPE PRECINCT 3A AND 5CCAPE PRECINCT 3A AND 5C | 554 | 980 | 24 | 1,558 | 35.6% | 62.9% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -HANOVER PRECINCTHANOVER PRECINCT | 322 | 1,048 | 15 | 1,385 | 23.2% | 75.7% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -CAPE PRECINCT 2B AND 3BCAPE PRECINCT 2B AND 3B | 529 | 794 | 26 | 1,349 | 39.2% | 58.9% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -NELL HOLCOMB PRECINCTNELL HOLCOMB PRECINCT | 250 | 1,003 | 11 | 1,264 | 19.8% | 79.4% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -CAPE PRECINCT 2A AND 3CCAPE PRECINCT 2A AND 3C | 513 | 562 | 19 | 1,094 | 46.9% | 51.4% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -MILLERSVILLE PRECINCTMILLERSVILLE PRECINCT | 194 | 837 | 9 | 1,040 | 18.7% | 80.5% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -OAK RIDGE PRECINCTOAK RIDGE PRECINCT | 196 | 784 | 6 | 986 | 19.9% | 79.5% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -DELTA PRECINCTDELTA PRECINCT | 187 | 679 | 6 | 872 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -CAMPSTER PRECINCTCAMPSTER PRECINCT | 180 | 652 | 11 | 843 | 21.4% | 77.3% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -BURFORDVILLE PRECINCTBURFORDVILLE PRECINCT | 150 | 684 | 6 | 840 | 17.9% | 81.4% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -POCAHONTAS PRECINCTPOCAHONTAS PRECINCT | 145 | 578 | 11 | 734 | 19.8% | 78.7% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -NEW WELLS PRECINCTNEW WELLS PRECINCT | 100 | 544 | 6 | 650 | 15.4% | 83.7% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -WHITEWATER PRECINCTWHITEWATER PRECINCT | 128 | 514 | 3 | 645 | 19.8% | 79.7% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct -FRIEDHEIM PRECINCTFRIEDHEIM PRECINCT | 112 | 517 | 4 | 633 | 17.7% | 81.7% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -BROWN OWL PRECINCTBROWN OWL PRECINCT | 105 | 355 | 5 | 465 | 22.6% | 76.3% | R+53.8 |
presidential history
Party record book
Cape Girardeau County, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
58.7%
8,394 votes · D+18.2
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 56.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.6%
29,315 votes · R+46.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 72.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
12,208votes
32.7% of the vote · R+33.6
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 11,431 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
29,315votes
72.6% of the vote · R+46.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 28,907 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+15.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+9.5 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +5.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+51.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.7 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +49.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJamie BurgerState Senate · 27
RBarry HovisState House · 146
RSteve JordanState House · 151
Seats representing Cape Girardeau County, MO. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 53,460 |
| 2018 | 53,478 |
| 2020 | 55,327 |
| 2022 | 54,749 |
| 2024 | 56,676 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+367 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,205 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,665 in average income, against $83,748 for residents who stayed — 41% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.5 on average — 1.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Cape Girardeau County, MO itself (R+46.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Scott County, MO282R+58.9
- Bollinger County, MO116R+74.8
- St. Louis County, MO91D+23.4
- Perry County, MO76R+63.4
- Stoddard County, MO74R+73.9
- St. Charles County, MO46R+17.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Scott County, MO275
- St. Louis County, MO122
- Bollinger County, MO107
- St. Louis city, MO73
- Perry County, MO62
- Stoddard County, MO47
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +458 |
| 2012 | +117 |
| 2013 | +151 |
| 2014 | +158 |
| 2015 | +39 |
| 2016 | +5 |
| 2017 | −474 |
| 2018 | +140 |
| 2019 | −53 |
| 2021 | +402 |
| 2022 | +731 |
| 2023 | −67 |
| 2024 | +231 |
| 2025 | +367 |
Cape Girardeau County anchors the state's southeastern corner along the Mississippi River, where a mid-sized regional hub surrounded by rural townships has produced Republican presidential margins exceeding 40 points in consecutive cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.5 points.
A population of 82,735, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,464 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jasper County and Sioux County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Jasper County
Missouri
83.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Sioux County
Iowa
83.0twin score
12-yr trend2012–2016 trajectorymedian age≠ 2000 margin
Garfield County
Oklahoma
82.6twin score
12-yr trend2000–2016 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cape Girardeau County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Cape Girardeau County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Cape Girardeau County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cape Girardeau County, Missouri voted Republican by 46.5 points (R+46.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 40,353 votes cast, 10,561 went Democratic and 29,315 went Republican.
When did Cape Girardeau County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cape Girardeau County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Cape Girardeau County, Missouri?
Cape Girardeau County, Missouri has a population of 82,735 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cape Girardeau County, Missouri?
Median household income in Cape Girardeau County, Missouri is $68,464 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Cape Girardeau County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cape Girardeau County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.