Randolph County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 11,028 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MOBERLY 2-2, 2-3 VFWMOBERLY 2-2, 2-3 VFW | 399 | 1,016 | 27 | 1,442 | 27.7% | 70.5% | R+42.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CAIRO/JACKSONVILLE/LEVICKS MILLCAIRO/JACKSONVILLE/LEVICKS MILL | 211 | 1,031 | 13 | 1,255 | 16.8% | 82.2% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -MOBERLY 3-2, 3-3 MACCMOBERLY 3-2, 3-3 MACC | 333 | 766 | 18 | 1,117 | 29.8% | 68.6% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -MOBERLY 2-1, 3-1 MMBMOBERLY 2-1, 3-1 MMB | 253 | 530 | 13 | 796 | 31.8% | 66.6% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -MOBERLY 1-1, 1-2 JEFF AVEMOBERLY 1-1, 1-2 JEFF AVE | 250 | 529 | 7 | 786 | 31.8% | 67.3% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -SALT SPRINGS/MOUNT AIRY/DARKSVILLESALT SPRINGS/MOUNT AIRY/DARKSVILLE | 123 | 636 | 6 | 765 | 16.1% | 83.1% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -NCS/UNION FAMILY LIFE FELLOWSHIPNCS/UNION FAMILY LIFE FELLOWSHIP | 133 | 613 | 7 | 753 | 17.7% | 81.4% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -SSC CENTRAL CHRISTIANSSC CENTRAL CHRISTIAN | 130 | 614 | 7 | 751 | 17.3% | 81.8% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF RENICKVILLAGE OF RENICK | 167 | 546 | 9 | 722 | 23.1% | 75.6% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -MOBERLY 4-1, 4-2 IMMANUALMOBERLY 4-1, 4-2 IMMANUAL | 222 | 444 | 4 | 670 | 33.1% | 66.3% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF HUNTSVILLECITY OF HUNTSVILLE | 124 | 521 | 6 | 651 | 19.0% | 80.0% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -HIGBEE/YATESHIGBEE/YATES | 101 | 504 | 10 | 615 | 16.4% | 82.0% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -CLARKCLARK | 90 | 368 | 4 | 462 | 19.5% | 79.7% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -CLIFTON HILL/THOMAS MILLCLIFTON HILL/THOMAS MILL | 35 | 204 | 4 | 243 | 14.4% | 84.0% | R+69.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +35.4% |
| 1896 | +30.7% |
| 1900 | +34.2% |
| 1904 | +21.3% |
| 1908 | +36.5% |
| 1912 | +49.8% |
| 1916 | +40.8% |
| 1920 | +36.3% |
| 1924 | +37.9% |
| 1928 | +10.9% |
| 1932 | +56.3% |
| 1936 | +56.1% |
| 1940 | +46.7% |
| 1944 | +45.1% |
| 1948 | +55.6% |
| 1952 | +30.7% |
| 1956 | +29.4% |
| 1960 | +21.2% |
| 1964 | +47.5% |
| 1968 | +13.2% |
| 1972 | −15.3% |
| 1976 | +23.7% |
| 1980 | −2.5% |
| 1984 | −12.4% |
| 1988 | +9.4% |
| 1992 | +18.9% |
| 1996 | +13.7% |
| 2000 | −7.9% |
| 2004 | −29.1% |
| 2008 | −23.3% |
| 2012 | −36.5% |
| 2016 | −50.4% |
| 2020 | −50.2% |
| 2024 | −52.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 15,761 |
| 2018 | 15,803 |
| 2020 | 15,759 |
| 2022 | 15,270 |
| 2024 | 16,391 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+167 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −554 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,424 in average income, against $90,118 for residents who stayed — 47% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+15.4 on average — 37 points more Democratic-leaning than Randolph County, MO itself (R+52.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Boone County, MO144D+9.7
- Macon County, MO45R+61.5
- Monroe County, MO35R+59.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Boone County, MO161
- Monroe County, MO34
- Macon County, MO31
- Howard County, MO20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −217 |
| 2012 | +52 |
| 2013 | −378 |
| 2014 | +92 |
| 2015 | +25 |
| 2016 | −90 |
| 2017 | −58 |
| 2018 | −216 |
| 2019 | −42 |
| 2021 | +189 |
| 2022 | +145 |
| 2023 | −505 |
| 2024 | +282 |
| 2025 | +167 |
Randolph County, anchored by Moberly, has shifted steadily rightward over two decades, posting a 52-point Republican margin in 2024—typical of small Missouri counties where rural identity and manufacturing decline reshaped partisan loyalties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 52.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.1 points.
A population of 24,365, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,033 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morgan County and Cedar County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Randolph County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29175/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.