Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupScotland CountyMissouriUnited States
German25.6%21.3%12.5%
American12.7%6.8%5.3%
English10.8%11.9%9.5%
Irish4.4%11.8%9.4%
Norwegian2.2%——
Polish2.1%1.3%2.2%
Scottish1.8%1.8%1.3%
Italian0.9%3.2%4.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Scotland County
Missouri
United States
Median age
36.5
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
7.4%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.4%
17.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Scotland County
Missouri
United States
Median household income
$68,913
$70,702
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.3%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
15.2%
32.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Scotland County
Missouri
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
12.8%
6.7%
22.3%
German or other West Germanic
10.7%
0.5%
0.5%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.0%
0.5%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Scotland County
Missouri
United States
Catholic
1.6%
12.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
47.8%
24.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
38.2%
51.7%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
12.4%
5.7%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Scotland County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
1 precincts · 1,918 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Scotland County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -COMBINEDCOMBINED
358
1,537
23
1,918
18.7%
80.1%
R+61.5
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+15.2%
1896
+26.5%
1900
+15.4%
1904
+5.9%
1908
+10.0%
1912
+23.3%
1916
+12.0%
1920
−8.1%
1924
+6.1%
1928
−3.4%
1932
+31.6%
1936
+17.4%
1940
+2.2%
1944
+2.4%
1948
+18.3%
1952
−0.7%
1956
+8.2%
1960
−0.4%
1964
+28.6%
1968
−6.9%
1972
−20.4%
1976
+5.9%
1980
−13.7%
1984
−16.0%
1988
−5.5%
1992
+10.9%
1996
+10.3%
2000
−25.0%
2004
−23.9%
2008
−21.7%
2012
−31.1%
2016
−58.6%
2020
−59.0%
2024
−61.5%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
18.7%Harris358
80.1%Trump1,537
0.6%Oliver12 +1
R+61.5
R+2.5
R+60.0
1,918
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican80.1%1,537
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic18.7%358
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%12
Jill SteinIndependent0.6%11
R
19.5%Biden388
78.5%Trump1,560
1.3%Jorgensen25
R+59.0
R+0.5
R+63.5
1,986
R
18.4%Clinton365
77.0%Trump1,525
2.5%Johnson50
R+58.6
R+27.4
R+60.6
1,981
R
33.2%Obama643
64.4%Romney1,246
2.1%Gray40
R+31.1
R+9.4
R+35.0
1,936
R
37.8%Obama793
59.5%McCain1,249
2.7%
R+21.7
D+2.1
R+29.0
2,098
R
37.7%Kerry828
61.5%Bush1,352
0.8%
R+23.9
D+1.2
R+21.4
2,197
R
36.3%Gore790
61.3%Bush1,335
1.7%Nader37
R+25.0
R+35.3
R+25.5
2,179
D
47.0%Clinton990
36.7%Dole773
15.5%Perot326
D+10.3
R+0.6
D+1.8
2,106
D
42.9%Clinton1,070
32.0%Bush798
24.7%Perot617
D+10.9
D+16.4
D+5.3
2,494
R
47.1%Dukakis1,117
52.6%Bush1,248
0.3%
R+5.5
D+10.5
D+2.2
2,372
R
42.0%Mondale1,075
58.0%Reagan1,485
0.0%
R+16.0
R+2.4
D+2.2
2,560
R
41.8%Carter1,200
55.5%Reagan1,592
2.7%
R+13.7
R+19.6
R+3.9
2,869
D
52.7%Carter1,449
46.7%Ford1,286
0.6%
D+5.9
D+26.3
D+3.9
2,752
R
39.8%McGovern1,269
60.2%Nixon1,918
0.0%
R+20.4
R+13.5
D+2.8
3,187
R
43.2%Humphrey1,340
50.1%Nixon1,554
6.8%
R+6.9
R+35.5
R+6.2
3,104
D
64.3%Johnson2,187
35.7%Goldwater1,215
0.0%
D+28.6
D+29.0
D+6.0
3,402
R
49.8%Kennedy1,884
50.2%Nixon1,899
0.0%
R+0.4
R+8.6
R+0.6
3,783
D
54.1%Stevenson2,044
45.9%Eisenhower1,735
0.0%
D+8.2
D+8.9
D+23.6
3,779
R
49.5%Stevenson2,093
50.2%Eisenhower2,123
0.2%
R+0.7
R+19.0
D+10.0
4,226
D
59.0%Truman2,451
40.8%Dewey1,693
0.2%
D+18.3
D+15.9
D+13.8
4,153
D
51.1%Roosevelt2,158
48.7%Dewey2,058
0.1%
D+2.4
D+0.2
R+5.1
4,222
D
50.9%Roosevelt2,435
48.7%Willkie2,329
0.5%
D+2.2
R+15.1
R+7.7
4,787
D
58.0%Roosevelt2,768
40.7%Landon1,940
1.3%
D+17.4
R+14.2
R+6.9
4,772
D
65.1%Roosevelt2,738
33.5%Hoover1,410
1.4%
D+31.6
D+35.0
D+13.8
4,205
R
48.1%Smith2,194
51.5%Hoover2,350
0.5%
R+3.4
R+9.6
D+14.0
4,566
D
51.0%Davis2,595
44.8%Coolidge2,282
4.1%La Follette210
D+6.1
D+14.3
D+31.3
5,092
R
45.0%Cox2,124
53.1%Harding2,509
1.9%
R+8.1
R+20.2
D+18.0
4,724
D
54.9%Wilson1,592
42.9%Hughes1,243
2.2%
D+12.0
R+11.2
D+8.9
2,900
D
53.3%Wilson1,525
30.1%Taft860
16.6%
D+23.3
D+13.2
D+3.7
2,859
D
54.0%Bryan1,564
43.9%Taft1,273
2.1%
D+10.0
D+4.1
D+19.6
2,897
D
51.5%Parker1,530
45.5%Roosevelt1,354
3.0%
D+5.9
R+9.5
D+25.6
2,973
D
56.3%Bryan1,760
40.8%McKinley1,277
2.9%
D+15.4
R+11.0
D+23.0
3,127
D
63.0%Bryan2,077
36.5%McKinley1,203
0.6%
D+26.5
D+11.3
D+32.6
3,299
D
48.5%Cleveland1,369
33.3%Harrison940
18.2%
D+15.2
—
D+13.5
2,824
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
18.6%347
78.8%1,473
1,870
2022
R
22.4%305
74.3%1,010
1,360
2018
R
24.7%399
72.0%1,163
1,616
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Scotland County, MO
Year
Total registered
2016
3,089
2018
2,802
2020
2,779
2022
2,690
2024
2,696
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+75 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −207 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,311 in average income, against $61,145 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Scotland County, MO in Scotland County, MO: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−13
2012
+2
2013
+17
2014
−86
2015
−12
2016
+55
2017
+5
2018
−48
2019
−69
2021
−36
2022
−54
2023
+5
2024
−48
2025
+75
Scotland County's 2024 presidential margin of R+61.5 reflects a broader consolidation of rural northeast Missouri toward one party, a shift that has accelerated steadily over the past two decades as small agricultural communities have realigned.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.5 points.
A population of 4,686, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,913 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Daviess County and Livingston County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Scotland County, Missouri voted Republican by 61.5 points (R+61.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,918 votes cast, 358 went Democratic and 1,537 went Republican.
When did Scotland County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Scotland County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Scotland County, Missouri?
Scotland County, Missouri has a population of 4,686 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Scotland County, Missouri?
Median household income in Scotland County, Missouri is $68,913 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Scotland County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Scotland County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
