HarrisDemocratic19.9%5,329TrumpRepublican79.2%21,236OliverLibertarian0.6%161
R+59.3- Lead
- 15,907
- Total
- 26,824
- vs nation
- R+57.8
- Turnout
- 61.8%
Akashiccounty
Taney County, MO
Contests in this Place (91 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.8% of 43,889 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.3%5,339TrumpRepublican77.9%20,508JorgensenLibertarian1.2%326
R+57.6- Lead
- 15,169
- Total
- 26,338
- vs nation
- R+62.0
- Turnout
- 61.2%
ClintonDemocratic18.5%4,373TrumpRepublican77.2%18,276JohnsonLibertarian2.2%525
R+58.7- Lead
- 13,903
- Total
- 23,673
- vs nation
- R+60.8
- Turnout
- 58.5%
ObamaDemocratic25.2%5,479RomneyRepublican72.4%15,746GrayLibertarian1.6%349
R+47.2- Lead
- 10,267
- Total
- 21,738
- vs nation
- R+51.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic30.8%6,683McCainRepublican68.0%14,736OtherAll other candidates1.1%245
R+37.2- Lead
- 8,053
- Total
- 21,664
- vs nation
- R+44.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic29.1%5,601BushRepublican70.4%13,578OtherAll other candidates0.5%101
R+41.4- Lead
- 7,977
- Total
- 19,280
- vs nation
- R+38.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.7%5,092BushRepublican63.8%9,647NaderGreen1.3%204
R+30.1- Lead
- 4,555
- Total
- 15,112
- vs nation
- R+30.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic35.1%4,623DoleRepublican52.0%6,844PerotReform12.0%1,580
R+16.9- Lead
- 2,221
- Total
- 13,160
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 56,5292024 5-year
- Population density
- 89 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 632 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $56,4972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Newton County, MO · twin score 90.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 61.8%27,108 participants ÷ 43,889 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 43.4%–50.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27,108 | 43,889 ± 377 | 61.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 18,776 | 43,760 ± 445 | 42.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 26,446 | 43,183 ± 409 | 61.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 22,594 | 41,993 ± 372 | 53.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 24,052 | 41,111 ± 376 | 58.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 21,738 | 38,829 | 56.0% | Derived | — | |
| 21,664 | 34,582 | 62.6% | Derived | — | |
| 19,280 | 30,335 extrapolated | 63.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 20 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 26,823 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -NORTH BRANSONNORTH BRANSON | 551 | 2,000 | 13 | 2,564 | 21.5% | 78.0% | R+56.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -FORSYTH 2FORSYTH 2 | 440 | 1,696 | 26 | 2,162 | 20.4% | 78.4% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -BRANSON 2BRANSON 2 | 454 | 1,436 | 25 | 1,915 | 23.7% | 75.0% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -HOLLISTER 1HOLLISTER 1 | 360 | 1,497 | 22 | 1,879 | 19.2% | 79.7% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -MT BRANSONMT BRANSON | 335 | 1,468 | 16 | 1,819 | 18.4% | 80.7% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -HOLLISTER 2HOLLISTER 2 | 423 | 1,364 | 28 | 1,815 | 23.3% | 75.2% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -BRANSON 1BRANSON 1 | 399 | 1,331 | 11 | 1,741 | 22.9% | 76.5% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -HOLLISTER 3HOLLISTER 3 | 320 | 1,277 | 17 | 1,614 | 19.8% | 79.1% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -BRANSON 3BRANSON 3 | 357 | 1,238 | 18 | 1,613 | 22.1% | 76.8% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -WALNUT SHADEWALNUT SHADE | 298 | 1,290 | 22 | 1,610 | 18.5% | 80.1% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -FORSYTH/TANEYVILLEFORSYTH/TANEYVILLE | 245 | 1,346 | 12 | 1,603 | 15.3% | 84.0% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -FORSYTH 1FORSYTH 1 | 208 | 938 | 12 | 1,158 | 18.0% | 81.0% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -MERRIAM WOODSMERRIAM WOODS | 186 | 720 | 9 | 915 | 20.3% | 78.7% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -KIRBYVILLEKIRBYVILLE | 155 | 696 | 5 | 856 | 18.1% | 81.3% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -BOSTON CENTERBOSTON CENTER | 148 | 669 | 5 | 822 | 18.0% | 81.4% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -SKYLINESKYLINE | 132 | 634 | 9 | 775 | 17.0% | 81.8% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -BRADLEYVILLEBRADLEYVILLE | 61 | 540 | 0 | 601 | 10.1% | 89.9% | R+79.7 |
| Precinct -ROCKAWAY BEACHROCKAWAY BEACH | 106 | 435 | 3 | 544 | 19.5% | 80.0% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -MARK TWAINMARK TWAIN | 78 | 369 | 2 | 449 | 17.4% | 82.2% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -CEDARCREEKCEDARCREEK | 73 | 292 | 3 | 368 | 19.8% | 79.3% | R+59.5 |
presidential history
Party record book
Taney County, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
48.1%
2,544 votes · R+3.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 47.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
79.2%
21,236 votes · R+59.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 77.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
6,683votes
30.8% of the vote · R+37.2
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 5,601 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
21,236votes
79.2% of the vote · R+59.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 20,508 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+1.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+5.1 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · −1.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+62.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+57.6 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +60.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBrad HudsonState Senate · 33
RMatthew OvercastState House · 155
RBrian SeitzState House · 156
Seats representing Taney County, MO. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 36,552 |
| 2018 | 36,027 |
| 2020 | 39,588 |
| 2022 | 38,059 |
| 2024 | 41,113 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+250 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +4,732 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,134 in average income, against $59,901 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+41.4 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Taney County, MO itself (R+59.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Greene County, MO173R+20.8
- Stone County, MO161R+61.4
- Christian County, MO106R+52.2
- Boone County, AR62R+64.9
- Jackson County, MO30D+19.3
- Benton County, AR29R+27.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Greene County, MO302
- Christian County, MO176
- Stone County, MO173
- Boone County, AR64
- Benton County, AR30
- Jackson County, MO23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +545 |
| 2012 | +104 |
| 2013 | +270 |
| 2014 | +460 |
| 2015 | +297 |
| 2016 | +329 |
| 2017 | +434 |
| 2018 | +602 |
| 2019 | +145 |
| 2021 | +496 |
| 2022 | +620 |
| 2023 | +159 |
| 2024 | +21 |
| 2025 | +250 |
Taney County anchors the Ozarks tourism corridor around Branson, and its overwhelmingly white, rural electorate has shifted steadily rightward over two decades, producing presidential margins that now rank among the state's most lopsided.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 59.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.3 points.
A population of 56,529, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,497 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Newton County and Lawrence County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Newton County
Missouri
90.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Lawrence County
Missouri
88.1twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Montgomery County
Kansas
86.9twin score
2004–2016 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Taney County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29213/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Taney County
Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Taney County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Taney County, Missouri voted Republican by 59.3 points (R+59.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 26,824 votes cast, 5,329 went Democratic and 21,236 went Republican.
How many people live in Taney County, Missouri?
Taney County, Missouri has a population of 56,529 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Taney County, Missouri?
Median household income in Taney County, Missouri is $56,497 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Taney County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Taney County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 34 went Republican.