Guadalupe County, New Mexico
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 1,918 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000001000001 | 333 | 307 | 7 | 647 | 51.5% | 47.4% | D+4.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000003000003 | 211 | 277 | 0 | 488 | 43.2% | 56.8% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 180 | 148 | 7 | 335 | 53.7% | 44.2% | D+9.6 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 146 | 139 | 0 | 285 | 51.2% | 48.8% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 89 | 74 | 0 | 163 | 54.6% | 45.4% | D+9.2 |
| Guadalupe County Precinct 135_350191 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Guadalupe County Precinct 235_350192 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Guadalupe County Precinct 335_350193 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Guadalupe County Precinct 435_350194 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Guadalupe County Precinct 535_350195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +6.6% |
| 1916 | +4.6% |
| 1920 | −13.2% |
| 1924 | −10.6% |
| 1928 | −22.2% |
| 1932 | +8.1% |
| 1936 | +10.4% |
| 1940 | +7.1% |
| 1944 | −3.5% |
| 1948 | −0.5% |
| 1952 | −7.8% |
| 1956 | −12.4% |
| 1960 | +12.2% |
| 1964 | +21.8% |
| 1968 | −6.5% |
| 1972 | −3.8% |
| 1976 | +13.5% |
| 1980 | −4.0% |
| 1984 | −2.2% |
| 1988 | +18.0% |
| 1992 | +25.4% |
| 1996 | +44.5% |
| 2000 | +32.0% |
| 2004 | +18.8% |
| 2008 | +42.7% |
| 2012 | +43.6% |
| 2016 | +20.5% |
| 2020 | +14.5% |
| 2024 | +0.7% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 44 points more Democratic.
2,936 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−26 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −468 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $38,452 in average income, against $44,872 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bernalillo County, NM25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −78 |
| 2012 | −35 |
| 2013 | −61 |
| 2014 | −84 |
| 2015 | −83 |
| 2016 | +5 |
| 2017 | +46 |
| 2018 | −64 |
| 2019 | −32 |
| 2021 | +22 |
| 2022 | −87 |
| 2023 | −10 |
| 2024 | +19 |
| 2025 | −26 |
Guadalupe County, anchored by the small city of Santa Rosa along old Route 66, is a rural, majority-Hispanic community where the 2024 presidential contest separated the candidates by fewer than 35 votes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.5 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 22.2 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 13.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.7 points.
A population of 4,381, a 17% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $42,750 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dimmit County and Maverick County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Guadalupe County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.