Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHarding CountyNew MexicoUnited States
American14.3%3.9%5.3%
German5.8%8.7%12.5%
English4.6%8.5%9.5%
French3.0%1.4%1.6%
Irish2.7%6.9%9.4%
Danish2.7%——
Armenian1.8%——
Scotch-Irish1.3%——
Mexican19.4%32.4%11.3%
Spanish3.0%4.2%—
Puerto Rican0.4%0.5%1.8%
African American†1.8%1.3%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Harding County
New Mexico
United States
Median age
42.5
39.7
39.1
Age 18–24
7.4%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
26.5%
19.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Harding County
New Mexico
United States
Median household income
$48,553
$64,059
$84,427
Poverty rate
19.4%
17.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
33.3%
30.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Harding County
New Mexico
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
17.3%
31.4%
22.3%
Spanish
17.2%
24.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Harding County
New Mexico
United States
Catholic
48.2%
29.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
2.7%
12.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
0.0%
47.5%
51.5%
Muslim
45.1%
0.6%
1.3%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Harding County, New Mexico
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 425 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Harding County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -000002000002
91
157
0
248
36.7%
63.3%
R+26.6
Precinct -000001000001
37
107
0
144
25.7%
74.3%
R+48.6
Precinct -000003000003
0
33
0
33
0.0%
100.0%
R+100.0
Harding County Precinct 135_350211
0
0
0
0
—
—
Even
Harding County Precinct 235_350212
0
0
0
0
—
—
Even
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1924–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1924
−0.4%
1928
−11.6%
1932
+30.5%
1936
+17.9%
1940
+0.3%
1944
−11.8%
1948
+0.3%
1952
−27.1%
1956
−23.9%
1960
−21.7%
1964
−4.6%
1968
−21.3%
1972
−39.7%
1976
−15.0%
1980
−21.8%
1984
−28.1%
1988
−12.8%
1992
−6.5%
1996
−9.3%
2000
−25.6%
2004
−18.8%
2008
−15.7%
2012
−11.1%
2016
−29.4%
2020
−27.7%
2024
−39.2%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
29.7%Harris128
68.9%Trump297
1.4%
R+39.2
R+11.5
R+37.7
431
R
35.4%Biden179
63.2%Trump319
0.6%Jorgensen3
R+27.7
D+1.7
R+32.2
505
R
29.6%Clinton156
59.0%Trump311
10.4%Johnson55
R+29.4
R+18.3
R+31.5
527
R
43.3%Obama260
54.4%Romney327
2.0%GRAY12
R+11.1
D+4.5
R+15.0
601
R
41.5%Obama260
57.2%McCain358
1.3%
R+15.7
D+3.1
R+22.9
626
R
40.2%Kerry259
59.0%Bush380
0.8%
R+18.8
D+6.8
R+16.3
644
R
36.1%Gore214
61.7%Bush366
1.5%Nader9
R+25.6
R+16.4
R+26.2
593
R
42.9%Clinton264
52.1%Dole321
4.5%Perot28
R+9.3
R+2.8
R+17.8
616
R
39.5%Clinton268
46.0%Bush312
14.5%Perot98
R+6.5
D+6.3
R+12.0
678
R
43.3%Dukakis291
56.1%Bush377
0.6%
R+12.8
D+15.3
R+5.1
672
R
35.5%Mondale224
63.5%Reagan401
1.0%
R+28.1
R+6.3
R+9.8
631
R
37.4%Carter225
59.2%Reagan356
3.3%
R+21.8
R+6.8
R+12.1
601
R
42.0%Carter285
57.1%Ford387
0.9%
R+15.0
D+24.7
R+17.1
678
R
28.9%McGovern220
68.7%Nixon522
2.4%
R+39.7
R+18.5
R+16.6
760
R
36.4%Humphrey284
57.7%Nixon450
5.9%
R+21.3
R+16.6
R+20.6
780
R
47.6%Johnson431
52.3%Goldwater473
0.1%
R+4.6
D+17.1
R+27.2
905
R
39.1%Kennedy396
60.9%Nixon616
0.0%
R+21.7
D+2.2
R+21.9
1,012
R
38.0%Stevenson412
62.0%Eisenhower671
0.0%
R+23.9
D+3.2
R+8.5
1,083
R
36.4%Stevenson436
63.5%Eisenhower760
0.1%
R+27.1
R+27.4
R+16.3
1,197
D
50.0%Truman653
49.7%Dewey649
0.4%
D+0.3
D+12.1
R+4.2
1,307
R
44.1%Roosevelt647
55.9%Dewey820
0.0%
R+11.8
R+12.1
R+19.3
1,467
D
49.9%Roosevelt1,004
49.6%Willkie998
0.4%
D+0.3
R+17.6
R+9.6
2,011
D
58.8%Roosevelt1,276
40.9%Landon888
0.2%
D+17.9
R+12.6
R+6.4
2,169
D
64.5%Roosevelt1,478
34.0%Hoover779
1.6%
D+30.5
D+42.0
D+12.7
2,293
R
44.2%Smith726
55.7%Hoover916
0.1%
R+11.6
R+11.1
D+5.9
1,644
R
41.7%Davis714
42.1%Coolidge721
16.1%La Follette276
R+0.4
—
D+24.8
1,711
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
32.4%135
67.6%282
417
2020
R
31.6%156
69.0%341
494
2018
R
41.2%198
41.4%199
481
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+38.3
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+39.2
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.9 points.
Domestic migration in Harding County, NM in Harding County, NM: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+31
2012
−10
2013
−13
2014
+2
2015
+29
2016
−28
2017
+1
2018
−31
2019
−18
2021
−6
2022
+4
2023
+18
2024
−14
2025
+4
Harding County's 810 residents make it among the smallest counties by population in the country, and its vast, sparsely settled ranchland has produced some of the widest Republican presidential margins in New Mexico for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 39.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 11.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.2 points.
A population of 741, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,553 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lyman County and Quay County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Harding County, New Mexico voted Republican by 39.2 points (R+39.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 431 votes cast, 128 went Democratic and 297 went Republican.
When did Harding County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harding County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Harding County, New Mexico?
Harding County, New Mexico has a population of 741 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harding County, New Mexico?
Median household income in Harding County, New Mexico is $48,553 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Harding County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Harding County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.
