- Lead
- 2,867
- Total
- 6,639
- vs nation
- R+41.7
- Turnout
- 50.3%
Roosevelt County, NM
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 50.3% of 13,233 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,832
- Total
- 6,608
- vs nation
- R+47.3
- Turnout
- 52.2%
- Lead
- 2,430
- Total
- 5,950
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 44.9%
- Lead
- 2,316
- Total
- 5,969
- vs nation
- R+42.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,008
- Total
- 6,720
- vs nation
- R+37.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,915
- Total
- 7,144
- vs nation
- R+38.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,000
- Total
- 5,651
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,148
- Total
- 5,869
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,9282024 5-year
- Population density
- 7.7 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,446 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,6852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 48.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 44.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Curry County, NM · twin score 93.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 50.3%6,662 participants ÷ 13,233 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +2.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 33.0%–37.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,662 | 13,233 ± 390 | 50.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,681 | 13,450 ± 419 | 34.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,627 | 12,707 ± 420 | 52.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,681 | 13,095 ± 316 | 35.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,995 | 13,352 ± 351 | 44.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,969 | 13,717 | 43.5% | Derived | — | |
| 6,720 | 13,112 | 51.3% | Derived | — | |
| 7,144 | 12,507 extrapolated | 57.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Roosevelt County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Roosevelt County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 39 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
39 precincts · 6,525 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000002000002 | 136 | 362 | 0 | 498 | 27.3% | 72.7% | R+45.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000014000014 | 175 | 297 | 0 | 472 | 37.1% | 62.9% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -000018000018 | 73 | 390 | 8 | 471 | 15.5% | 82.8% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 141 | 268 | 0 | 409 | 34.5% | 65.5% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 102 | 302 | 0 | 404 | 25.2% | 74.8% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -000019000019 | 87 | 316 | 0 | 403 | 21.6% | 78.4% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -000021000021 | 106 | 287 | 8 | 401 | 26.4% | 71.6% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 160 | 236 | 0 | 396 | 40.4% | 59.6% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 67 | 301 | 0 | 368 | 18.2% | 81.8% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -000008000008 | 184 | 160 | 7 | 351 | 52.4% | 45.6% | D+6.8 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 100 | 203 | 0 | 303 | 33.0% | 67.0% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 63 | 234 | 0 | 297 | 21.2% | 78.8% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 102 | 183 | 0 | 285 | 35.8% | 64.2% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -000006000006 | 15 | 242 | 0 | 257 | 5.8% | 94.2% | R+88.3 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 22 | 207 | 0 | 229 | 9.6% | 90.4% | R+80.8 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 68 | 151 | 0 | 219 | 31.1% | 68.9% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 16 | 189 | 0 | 205 | 7.8% | 92.2% | R+84.4 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 75 | 106 | 0 | 181 | 41.4% | 58.6% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 60 | 119 | 0 | 179 | 33.5% | 66.5% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 63 | 89 | 0 | 152 | 41.4% | 58.6% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 45 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 135_350411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 1035_3504110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 1135_3504111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 1235_3504112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 1335_3504113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 1535_3504115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 1735_3504117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 1835_3504118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 1935_3504119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 235_350412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 2135_3504121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 335_350413 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 435_350414 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 535_350415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 635_350416 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 735_350417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 835_350418 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roosevelt County Precinct 935_350419 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Roosevelt County, NM · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
83.0%
2,826 votes · D+69.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 76.5%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
73.0%
4,727 votes · R+48.1
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 72.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
3,190votes
69.5% of the vote · D+39.3
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 3,111 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
4,997votes
69.9% of the vote · R+40.8
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 4,727 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+71.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+46.2 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +59.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+47.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.9 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +42.9 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Roosevelt County, NM. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.2%2,014 | 68.8%4,440 | 6,454 |
| 2020 | R | 28.2%1,818 | 71.8%4,632 | 6,450 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Republican than the rolls.
11,477 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−200 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,833 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $35,993 in average income, against $50,646 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.4 on average — 8.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Roosevelt County, NM itself (R+43.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Curry County, NM175R+42.6
- Bernalillo County, NM26D+21.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Curry County, NM136
- Lubbock County, TX37
- Bernalillo County, NM29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +265 |
| 2012 | −267 |
| 2013 | −474 |
| 2014 | −605 |
| 2015 | −732 |
| 2016 | −166 |
| 2017 | −406 |
| 2018 | −306 |
| 2019 | −403 |
| 2021 | −156 |
| 2022 | −122 |
| 2023 | −78 |
| 2024 | −183 |
| 2025 | −200 |
Roosevelt County sits on the eastern New Mexico llano estacado, where a sparse, agriculture-dependent population has delivered lopsided Republican margins in every recent presidential cycle, with 2024's R+43.2 continuing a long-running pattern.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 1972. The 2024 margin was 43.2 points.
A population of 18,928, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,685 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Curry County and Adams County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Roosevelt County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.