Lorain County, Ohio: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted R+6%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 317,1292024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,3472024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Saginaw County, MI · similarity 0.98
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lorain CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lorain County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −18.3% |
| 1896 | −27.9% |
| 1900 | −25.6% |
| 1904 | −49.1% |
| 1908 | −21.3% |
| 1912 | +17.4% |
| 1916 | +5.3% |
| 1920 | −34.5% |
| 1924 | −47.2% |
| 1928 | −28.2% |
| 1932 | −5.2% |
| 1936 | +19.9% |
| 1940 | +4.9% |
| 1944 | +2.8% |
| 1948 | −0.5% |
| 1952 | −12.7% |
| 1956 | −20.2% |
| 1960 | +5.0% |
| 1964 | +35.3% |
| 1968 | +9.8% |
| 1972 | −15.9% |
| 1976 | +13.6% |
| 1980 | −9.8% |
| 1984 | −3.9% |
| 1988 | +4.9% |
| 1992 | +11.9% |
| 1996 | +19.5% |
| 2000 | +10.6% |
| 2004 | +12.6% |
| 2008 | +17.8% |
| 2012 | +15.3% |
| 2016 | +0.1% |
| 2020 | −2.4% |
| 2024 | −5.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 74,207 | 83,297 | 159,807 | ||
| R | 75,667 | 79,520 | 157,437 | ||
| D | 66,949 | 66,818 | 143,296 | ||
| D | 81,464 | 59,405 | 144,318 | ||
| D | 85,276 | 59,068 | 146,859 | ||
| D | 78,970 | 61,203 | 140,742 | ||
| D | 59,809 | 47,957 | 112,180 | ||
| D | 55,744 | 34,937 | 106,445 | ||
| D | 50,962 | 36,803 | 118,605 | ||
| D | 55,600 | 50,410 | 106,926 | ||
| R | 52,970 | 57,379 | 113,021 | ||
| R | 40,919 | 51,034 | 103,084 | ||
| D | 52,387 | 39,459 | 94,711 | ||
| R | 36,634 | 51,102 | 91,016 | ||
| D | 42,642 | 34,252 | 85,727 | ||
| D | 55,755 | 26,683 | 82,438 | ||
| D | 43,487 | 39,361 | 82,848 | ||
| R | 26,774 | 40,340 | 67,114 | ||
| R | 26,194 | 33,825 | 60,019 | ||
| R | 21,397 | 21,616 | 43,638 | ||
| D | 25,254 | 23,866 | 49,120 | ||
| D | 25,831 | 23,422 | 49,253 | ||
| D | 24,393 | 15,906 | 42,656 | ||
| R | 18,753 | 20,897 | 40,971 | ||
| R | 13,607 | 24,386 | 38,205 | ||
| R | 3,965 | 17,062 | 27,774 | ||
| R | 8,640 | 18,125 | 27,529 | ||
| D | 7,658 | 6,868 | 15,042 | ||
| O | 4,591 | 2,226 | 13,621 | ||
| R | 5,460 | 8,699 | 15,235 | ||
| R | 2,700 | 9,001 | 12,830 | ||
| R | 4,989 | 8,497 | 13,721 | ||
| R | 4,367 | 7,801 | 12,327 | ||
| R | 3,674 | 5,434 | 9,600 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.6%
Irish
13.7%
English
10.7%
Italian
8.2%
Polish
7.4%
American
6.3%
Scottish
2.4%
African American
6.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$73,347
Lorain County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lorain County$73,347
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Lorain County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.7%
Working age (18–64)10.5%
Seniors (65+)10.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.2%
speak English only
Spanish5.1%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lorain County's mix of steel-town Lorain city, suburban Elyria, and rural townships has produced a consistent swing toward Republican presidential candidates over the past four cycles, flipping from double-digit Democratic margins to R+5.7 in 2024.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached thirty-five points in 1964; the Republican margin reached forty-nine points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was six points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $73,347, and a 12% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Saginaw County and Knox County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lorain County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39093/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More industrial catholic metro counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Lorain County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lorain County, Ohio voted Republican by 5.7 points (R+6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 159,807 votes cast, 74,207 went Democratic and 83,297 went Republican.
What is Lorain County, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Lorain County, Ohio in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology — Mid-size industrial metros with Catholic ethnic roots — among the most competitive, swing-prone ground in the country. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 17 times, and other 1 times.
When did Lorain County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lorain County, Ohio voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in Lorain County, Ohio?
Lorain County, Ohio has a population of 317,129 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lorain County, Ohio?
Median household income in Lorain County, Ohio is $73,347 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Lorain County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lorain County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The county's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.