Tuscarawas County, Ohio: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+43%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 92,3852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,0442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Tuscola County, MI · similarity 1.00
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +8.8% |
| 1896 | +5.0% |
| 1900 | +3.8% |
| 1904 | −17.2% |
| 1908 | +0.4% |
| 1912 | +12.5% |
| 1916 | +15.9% |
| 1920 | −7.6% |
| 1924 | −33.6% |
| 1928 | −49.7% |
| 1932 | +14.3% |
| 1936 | +35.4% |
| 1940 | +12.9% |
| 1944 | +6.0% |
| 1948 | +10.9% |
| 1952 | −6.5% |
| 1956 | −21.3% |
| 1960 | −12.4% |
| 1964 | +40.7% |
| 1968 | +4.7% |
| 1972 | −19.8% |
| 1976 | +8.2% |
| 1980 | −11.9% |
| 1984 | −19.0% |
| 1988 | −9.4% |
| 1992 | +4.4% |
| 1996 | +5.3% |
| 2000 | −9.9% |
| 2004 | −11.6% |
| 2008 | +2.4% |
| 2012 | −9.1% |
| 2016 | −34.9% |
| 2020 | −39.9% |
| 2024 | −43.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 12,032 | 30,652 | 43,211 | ||
| R | 12,889 | 30,458 | 44,015 | ||
| R | 12,188 | 26,918 | 42,154 | ||
| R | 18,407 | 22,242 | 42,052 | ||
| D | 21,498 | 20,454 | 43,057 | ||
| R | 18,853 | 23,829 | 42,906 | ||
| R | 15,879 | 19,549 | 37,118 | ||
| D | 15,244 | 13,388 | 34,755 | ||
| D | 14,787 | 13,179 | 36,894 | ||
| R | 14,185 | 17,145 | 31,589 | ||
| R | 13,149 | 19,366 | 32,754 | ||
| R | 12,117 | 15,708 | 30,086 | ||
| D | 16,880 | 14,279 | 31,841 | ||
| R | 12,255 | 18,413 | 31,169 | ||
| D | 15,617 | 14,102 | 32,461 | ||
| D | 23,623 | 9,962 | 33,585 | ||
| R | 16,083 | 20,637 | 36,720 | ||
| R | 12,908 | 19,876 | 32,784 | ||
| R | 16,332 | 18,620 | 34,952 | ||
| D | 14,799 | 11,873 | 26,817 | ||
| D | 16,184 | 14,357 | 30,541 | ||
| D | 19,004 | 14,675 | 33,679 | ||
| D | 21,991 | 10,317 | 32,965 | ||
| D | 16,648 | 12,369 | 29,905 | ||
| R | 6,805 | 20,494 | 27,568 | ||
| R | 5,566 | 13,573 | 23,825 | ||
| R | 10,167 | 11,908 | 22,919 | ||
| D | 7,608 | 5,404 | 13,872 | ||
| D | 4,978 | 3,417 | 12,496 | ||
| D | 6,775 | 6,717 | 14,205 | ||
| R | 4,979 | 7,203 | 12,917 | ||
| D | 6,867 | 6,355 | 13,467 | ||
| D | 6,898 | 6,235 | 13,225 | ||
| D | 5,715 | 4,746 | 11,045 | ||
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Demographics
Tuscarawas County, anchored by New Philadelphia and Dover, has shifted from a competitive industrial swing county to a consistent Republican stronghold, posting a 43-point presidential margin in 2024 as its manufacturing and rural heritage reshaped its partisan lean.
The Democratic margin here peaked at forty-one points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-three points.
A population of 92,385, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,044 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tuscola County and Crawford County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Tuscarawas County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39157/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
