HarrisDemocratic45.2%54,065TrumpRepublican51.6%61,743OtherAll other candidates3.1%3,764
R+6.4- Lead
- 7,678
- Total
- 119,572
- vs nation
- R+4.9
- Turnout
- 70.3%
Akashiccounty
Jackson County, OR
Contests in this Place (90 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.3% of 171,770 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic46.8%59,478TrumpRepublican50.2%63,869JorgensenLibertarian1.7%2,168
R+3.5- Lead
- 4,391
- Total
- 127,165
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- 76.3%
ClintonDemocratic40.7%44,447TrumpRepublican49.3%53,870JohnsonLibertarian4.0%4,373
R+8.6- Lead
- 9,423
- Total
- 109,327
- vs nation
- R+10.7
- Turnout
- 70.1%
ObamaDemocratic45.8%44,468RomneyRepublican50.5%49,020JohnsonLibertarian1.5%1,433
R+4.7- Lead
- 4,552
- Total
- 97,127
- vs nation
- R+8.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.6%49,090McCainRepublican48.5%49,043OtherAll other candidates2.9%2,914
D+0.0- Lead
- 47
- Total
- 101,047
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.4%44,366BushRepublican55.3%56,519OtherAll other candidates1.3%1,304
R+11.9- Lead
- 12,153
- Total
- 102,189
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.1%33,153BushRepublican54.3%46,052NaderGreen5.0%4,207
R+15.2- Lead
- 12,899
- Total
- 84,796
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic39.7%29,230DoleRepublican45.9%33,771PerotReform10.1%7,470
R+6.2- Lead
- 4,541
- Total
- 73,647
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 222,6452024 5-year
- Population density
- 80 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,783 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,9992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.4 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nevada County, CA · twin score 90.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 70.3%120,689 participants ÷ 171,770 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 56.3%–60.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120,689 | 171,770 ± 1,020 | 70.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 106,543 | 170,876 ± 1,115 | 62.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 128,181 | 168,063 ± 1,066 | 76.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 104,710 | 162,521 ± 843 | 64.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 112,062 | 159,779 ± 789 | 70.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 97,127 | 152,755 | 63.6% | Derived | — | |
| 101,047 | 148,355 | 68.1% | Derived | — | |
| 102,189 | 143,955 extrapolated | 71.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 50 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 119,572 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1616 | 2,285 | 1,896 | 121 | 4,302 | 53.1% | 44.1% | D+9.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -4141 | 1,210 | 2,811 | 108 | 4,129 | 29.3% | 68.1% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -1111 | 1,604 | 2,385 | 120 | 4,109 | 39.0% | 58.0% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -1717 | 1,696 | 2,266 | 143 | 4,105 | 41.3% | 55.2% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -1515 | 2,155 | 1,594 | 161 | 3,910 | 55.1% | 40.8% | D+14.3 |
| Precinct -4949 | 1,650 | 2,063 | 123 | 3,836 | 43.0% | 53.8% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -22 | 3,052 | 595 | 145 | 3,792 | 80.5% | 15.7% | D+64.8 |
| Precinct -55 | 1,318 | 2,240 | 125 | 3,683 | 35.8% | 60.8% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -1313 | 1,659 | 1,916 | 101 | 3,676 | 45.1% | 52.1% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -1212 | 1,551 | 1,878 | 102 | 3,531 | 43.9% | 53.2% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -11 | 3,021 | 392 | 115 | 3,528 | 85.6% | 11.1% | D+74.5 |
| Precinct -4646 | 2,846 | 374 | 107 | 3,327 | 85.5% | 11.2% | D+74.3 |
| Precinct -3636 | 1,014 | 2,206 | 106 | 3,326 | 30.5% | 66.3% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -2525 | 2,267 | 865 | 122 | 3,254 | 69.7% | 26.6% | D+43.1 |
| Precinct -2020 | 1,421 | 1,696 | 113 | 3,230 | 44.0% | 52.5% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -4444 | 944 | 2,161 | 76 | 3,181 | 29.7% | 67.9% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -2626 | 2,005 | 952 | 125 | 3,082 | 65.1% | 30.9% | D+34.2 |
| Precinct -5050 | 1,206 | 1,722 | 94 | 3,022 | 39.9% | 57.0% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -88 | 727 | 2,124 | 81 | 2,932 | 24.8% | 72.4% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -4747 | 2,185 | 327 | 110 | 2,622 | 83.3% | 12.5% | D+70.9 |
| Precinct -4848 | 853 | 1,688 | 67 | 2,608 | 32.7% | 64.7% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -44 | 792 | 1,637 | 69 | 2,498 | 31.7% | 65.5% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct -66 | 840 | 1,480 | 70 | 2,390 | 35.1% | 61.9% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -3535 | 954 | 1,306 | 89 | 2,349 | 40.6% | 55.6% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct -3939 | 1,068 | 1,178 | 75 | 2,321 | 46.0% | 50.8% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct -1818 | 1,019 | 1,204 | 92 | 2,315 | 44.0% | 52.0% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -1010 | 1,318 | 903 | 66 | 2,287 | 57.6% | 39.5% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -2222 | 1,172 | 957 | 93 | 2,222 | 52.7% | 43.1% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct -2828 | 525 | 1,552 | 47 | 2,124 | 24.7% | 73.1% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -1919 | 1,016 | 984 | 83 | 2,083 | 48.8% | 47.2% | D+1.5 |
| Precinct -3333 | 818 | 1,163 | 67 | 2,048 | 39.9% | 56.8% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct -1414 | 908 | 1,030 | 56 | 1,994 | 45.5% | 51.7% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct -4242 | 458 | 1,286 | 54 | 1,798 | 25.5% | 71.5% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -2424 | 534 | 1,219 | 37 | 1,790 | 29.8% | 68.1% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -2121 | 749 | 972 | 56 | 1,777 | 42.1% | 54.7% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct -4040 | 447 | 1,284 | 42 | 1,773 | 25.2% | 72.4% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -4343 | 521 | 1,133 | 37 | 1,691 | 30.8% | 67.0% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -3434 | 341 | 1,261 | 42 | 1,644 | 20.7% | 76.7% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -77 | 493 | 1,031 | 38 | 1,562 | 31.6% | 66.0% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -3232 | 585 | 908 | 44 | 1,537 | 38.1% | 59.1% | R+21.0 |
| Precinct -2323 | 441 | 806 | 33 | 1,280 | 34.5% | 63.0% | R+28.5 |
| Precinct -3737 | 721 | 397 | 43 | 1,161 | 62.1% | 34.2% | D+27.9 |
| Precinct -3131 | 238 | 858 | 27 | 1,123 | 21.2% | 76.4% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -2929 | 408 | 670 | 35 | 1,113 | 36.7% | 60.2% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -3838 | 307 | 643 | 23 | 973 | 31.6% | 66.1% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -33 | 160 | 532 | 22 | 714 | 22.4% | 74.5% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -99 | 222 | 448 | 19 | 689 | 32.2% | 65.0% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -2727 | 136 | 402 | 15 | 553 | 24.6% | 72.7% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -4545 | 146 | 196 | 18 | 360 | 40.6% | 54.4% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -3030 | 59 | 152 | 7 | 218 | 27.1% | 69.7% | R+42.7 |
presidential history
Party record book
Jackson County, OR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
62.1%
2,354 votes · D+25.5
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 57.2%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
75.4%
8,053 votes · R+52.4
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 67.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
59,478votes
46.8% of the vote · R+3.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 54,065 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
63,869votes
50.2% of the vote · R+3.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 61,743 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+31.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.5 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +11.7 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+34.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.4 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +24.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RNoah RobinsonState Senate · 2
DJeff GoldenState Senate · 3
RDiane LinthicumState Senate · 28
RAlek SkarlatosState House · 4
DPam MarshState House · 5
REmily McIntireState House · 56
Seats representing Jackson County, OR. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 3 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+4.1
Presidential vote · 2024R+6.4
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.4 points.
165,335 registered voters · 2024 · up from 160,299 in 2022
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,137 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +18,892 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,696 in average income, against $78,491 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+4.7 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Jackson County, OR itself (R+6.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Josephine County, OR546R+28.6
- Lane County, OR173D+22.9
- Multnomah County, OR153D+61.6
- Los Angeles County, CA143D+32.9
- Klamath County, OR141R+41.7
- Douglas County, OR101R+37.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Josephine County, OR532
- Multnomah County, OR225
- Lane County, OR216
- Deschutes County, OR135
- Maricopa County, AZ129
- Washington County, OR129
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,072 |
| 2012 | +1,166 |
| 2013 | +1,425 |
| 2014 | +1,985 |
| 2015 | +2,232 |
| 2016 | +2,854 |
| 2017 | +2,468 |
| 2018 | +2,863 |
| 2019 | +1,652 |
| 2021 | +1,368 |
| 2022 | −1,545 |
| 2023 | −219 |
| 2024 | +434 |
| 2025 | +1,137 |
Home to Medford and Ashland, Jackson County blends rural timber communities with a small college-town liberal enclave, producing a competitive-to-Republican lean that has tightened by roughly 10 points over the past three election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.5 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 52.4 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.4 points.
A population of 222,645, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,999 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nevada County and Deschutes County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Nevada County
California
90.0twin score
% unaffiliated2016–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Deschutes County
Oregon
90.0twin score
population scale2016–2020 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ 12-yr trend
Yamhill County
Oregon
88.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jackson County, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/41029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Jackson County
Oregon at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Jackson County, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jackson County, Oregon voted Republican by 6.4 points (R+6.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 119,572 votes cast, 54,065 went Democratic and 61,743 went Republican.
When did Jackson County, Oregon last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jackson County, Oregon voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Jackson County, Oregon?
Jackson County, Oregon has a population of 222,645 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jackson County, Oregon?
Median household income in Jackson County, Oregon is $73,999 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Jackson County, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Jackson County, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.