Mercer County, Pennsylvania: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 109,2572024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,9762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pope County, MN · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −8.2% |
| 1896 | −13.5% |
| 1900 | −16.4% |
| 1904 | −33.5% |
| 1908 | −7.5% |
| 1912 | +17.0% |
| 1916 | +3.8% |
| 1920 | −35.2% |
| 1924 | −48.8% |
| 1928 | −46.3% |
| 1932 | −11.8% |
| 1936 | +5.9% |
| 1940 | −10.7% |
| 1944 | −8.3% |
| 1948 | −7.8% |
| 1952 | −11.9% |
| 1956 | −18.5% |
| 1960 | −9.1% |
| 1964 | +27.8% |
| 1968 | −0.6% |
| 1972 | −21.0% |
| 1976 | +5.3% |
| 1980 | −5.8% |
| 1984 | +0.9% |
| 1988 | +6.5% |
| 1992 | +14.4% |
| 1996 | +12.6% |
| 2000 | +1.4% |
| 2004 | −2.9% |
| 2008 | −0.3% |
| 2012 | −3.3% |
| 2016 | −24.2% |
| 2020 | −26.0% |
| 2024 | −30.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 20,145 | 37,761 | 58,591 | ||
| R | 21,067 | 36,143 | 57,954 | ||
| R | 18,733 | 31,544 | 52,839 | ||
| R | 24,232 | 25,925 | 51,039 | ||
| R | 26,411 | 26,565 | 53,821 | ||
| R | 24,831 | 26,311 | 51,564 | ||
| D | 23,817 | 23,132 | 48,732 | ||
| D | 23,003 | 17,213 | 45,779 | ||
| D | 23,264 | 16,081 | 49,836 | ||
| D | 24,278 | 21,301 | 45,880 | ||
| D | 24,658 | 24,211 | 49,303 | ||
| R | 19,716 | 22,372 | 46,090 | ||
| D | 25,041 | 22,469 | 48,235 | ||
| R | 18,087 | 27,961 | 47,100 | ||
| R | 22,814 | 23,131 | 49,105 | ||
| D | 32,199 | 18,153 | 50,563 | ||
| R | 24,243 | 29,109 | 53,480 | ||
| R | 19,769 | 28,785 | 48,674 | ||
| R | 20,770 | 26,424 | 47,537 | ||
| R | 16,108 | 18,916 | 35,886 | ||
| R | 16,589 | 19,606 | 36,407 | ||
| R | 16,968 | 21,058 | 38,215 | ||
| D | 20,879 | 18,493 | 40,311 | ||
| R | 10,961 | 14,057 | 26,258 | ||
| R | 8,204 | 22,599 | 31,083 | ||
| R | 3,688 | 14,639 | 22,420 | ||
| R | 4,823 | 11,575 | 19,199 | ||
| D | 6,390 | 5,866 | 13,751 | ||
| O | 4,039 | 1,873 | 12,718 | ||
| R | 5,473 | 6,497 | 13,744 | ||
| R | 3,845 | 8,574 | 14,133 | ||
| R | 4,916 | 6,950 | 12,425 | ||
| R | 5,500 | 7,262 | 13,077 | ||
| R | 4,931 | 5,874 | 11,562 | ||
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Demographics
Mercer County's working-class, post-industrial economy tracked closely with statewide results through the 1990s, but the county has shifted decisively rightward over the past two decades, posting a 30-point Republican margin in 2024.
The Democratic margin here peaked at twenty-eight points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty points.
A population of 109,257, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,976 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pope County and Iron County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Mercer County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42085/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
