HarrisDemocratic21.5%4,735TrumpRepublican77.9%17,184OliverLibertarian0.4%95
R+56.4- Lead
- 12,449
- Total
- 22,071
- vs nation
- R+54.9
- Turnout
- 62.3%
Akashiccounty
Mifflin County, PA
Contests in this Place (90 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.3% of 35,427 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic21.4%4,603TrumpRepublican77.5%16,670JorgensenLibertarian1.1%229
R+56.1- Lead
- 12,067
- Total
- 21,502
- vs nation
- R+60.6
- Turnout
- 60.5%
ClintonDemocratic20.7%3,877TrumpRepublican75.3%14,094JohnsonLibertarian2.5%476
R+54.6- Lead
- 10,217
- Total
- 18,721
- vs nation
- R+56.7
- Turnout
- 52.2%
ObamaDemocratic26.0%4,273RomneyRepublican72.7%11,939JohnsonLibertarian0.7%107
R+46.7- Lead
- 7,666
- Total
- 16,416
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic32.6%5,375McCainRepublican66.2%10,929OtherAll other candidates1.2%198
R+33.7- Lead
- 5,554
- Total
- 16,502
- vs nation
- R+40.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic29.1%4,889BushRepublican69.8%11,726OtherAll other candidates1.1%187
R+40.7- Lead
- 6,837
- Total
- 16,802
- vs nation
- R+38.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.1%4,835BushRepublican64.3%9,400NaderGreen1.8%264
R+31.2- Lead
- 4,565
- Total
- 14,614
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.8%5,327DoleRepublican50.2%6,888PerotReform10.1%1,392
R+11.4- Lead
- 1,561
- Total
- 13,718
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 46,0412024 5-year
- Population density
- 112 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 411 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,9532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Juniata County, PA · twin score 91.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 62.3%22,071 participants ÷ 35,427 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 49.3%–49.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22,071 | 35,427 ± 181 | 62.3% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 16,945 | 35,646 ± 173 | 47.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 21,590 | 35,667 ± 191 | 60.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 14,450 | 35,783 ± 151 | 40.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 18,721 | 35,859 ± 147 | 52.2% | Audited | C/A | |
| 16,416 | 35,778 | 45.9% | Derived | — | |
| 16,502 | 35,084 | 47.0% | Derived | — | |
| 16,802 | 34,390 extrapolated | 48.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Mifflin County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Mifflin County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
JOSH SHAPIRO0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 56 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
56 precincts · 22,071 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Granville Township WestGranville Township West | 331 | 1,329 | 17 | 1,677 | 19.7% | 79.2% | R+59.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Union TownshipUnion Township | 262 | 1,114 | 16 | 1,392 | 18.8% | 80.0% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -Wayne TownshipWayne Township | 180 | 1,147 | 8 | 1,335 | 13.5% | 85.9% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -Armagh Township WestArmagh Township West | 259 | 1,049 | 6 | 1,314 | 19.7% | 79.8% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -Derry Township EastDerry Township East | 300 | 932 | 9 | 1,241 | 24.2% | 75.1% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -Brown Township Reedsville/BVBrown Township Reedsville/BV | 296 | 890 | 2 | 1,188 | 24.9% | 74.9% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -Derry Township SouthDerry Township South | 304 | 822 | 4 | 1,130 | 26.9% | 72.7% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -Oliver TownshipOliver Township | 137 | 948 | 3 | 1,088 | 12.6% | 87.1% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct -Burnham BoroughBurnham Borough | 234 | 773 | 9 | 1,016 | 23.0% | 76.1% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -Derry Township NorthDerry Township North | 217 | 789 | 7 | 1,013 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -Lewistown SouthLewistown South | 301 | 689 | 11 | 1,001 | 30.1% | 68.8% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -Brown Township Church HillBrown Township Church Hill | 281 | 640 | 12 | 933 | 30.1% | 68.6% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -Decatur Township WestDecatur Township West | 132 | 791 | 4 | 927 | 14.2% | 85.3% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -Lewistown NorthLewistown North | 263 | 597 | 7 | 867 | 30.3% | 68.9% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -Granville Township EastGranville Township East | 179 | 677 | 5 | 861 | 20.8% | 78.6% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -Lewistown WestLewistown West | 220 | 530 | 6 | 756 | 29.1% | 70.1% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -Derry Township WestDerry Township West | 164 | 535 | 2 | 701 | 23.4% | 76.3% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -Lewistown CentralLewistown Central | 244 | 436 | 10 | 690 | 35.4% | 63.2% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -Decatur Township EastDecatur Township East | 111 | 574 | 2 | 687 | 16.2% | 83.6% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -Bratton TownshipBratton Township | 59 | 573 | 2 | 634 | 9.3% | 90.4% | R+81.1 |
| Precinct -Armagh Township EastArmagh Township East | 106 | 512 | 4 | 622 | 17.0% | 82.3% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -Menno TownshipMenno Township | 28 | 334 | 1 | 363 | 7.7% | 92.0% | R+84.3 |
| Precinct -Juniata Terrace BoroughJuniata Terrace Borough | 62 | 172 | 1 | 235 | 26.4% | 73.2% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -McVeytown BoroughMcVeytown Borough | 38 | 151 | 2 | 191 | 19.9% | 79.1% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -Kistler BoroughKistler Borough | 24 | 114 | 2 | 140 | 17.1% | 81.4% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -Newton Hamilton BoroughNewton Hamilton Borough | 3 | 66 | 0 | 69 | 4.3% | 95.7% | R+91.3 |
| ARMAGH TWP VTD NEW42_4208710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ARMAGH TWP VTD OLD42_4208720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BRATTON TWP Voting District42_4208730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BROWN TWP Voting District42_4208740 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BURNHAM Voting District42_4208750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DECATUR TWP VTD EAST42_4208760 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DECATUR TWP VTD WEST42_4208770 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DERRY TWP VTD EAST42_4208780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DERRY TWP VTD NORTH42_4208790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DERRY TWP VTD SOUTH42_42087100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DERRY TWP VTD WEST42_42087110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRANVILLE TWP VTD EAST42_42087120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRANVILLE TWP VTD WEST42_42087130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JUNIATA TERRACE Voting District42_42087140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KISTLER Voting District42_42087150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN WD 01 PCT 0142_42087160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN WD 01 PCT 0242_42087170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN WD 0242_42087180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN WD 0342_42087190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN WD 0442_42087200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN WD 05 PCT 0142_42087210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN WD 05 PCT 0242_42087220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN WD 0642_42087230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEWISTOWN WD 0742_42087240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MC VEYTOWN Voting District42_42087250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MENNO TWP Voting District42_42087260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWTON HAMILTON Voting District42_42087270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLIVER TWP Voting District42_42087280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION TWP Voting District42_42087290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WAYNE TWP Voting District42_42087300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Mifflin County, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.3%
8,811 votes · D+18.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 58.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
87.0%
8,932 votes · R+74.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 77.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
9,581votes
58.0% of the vote · D+16.4
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 8,811 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
17,184votes
77.9% of the vote · R+56.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 16,670 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+3.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+22.4 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · −2.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+60.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +57.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJudy WardState Senate · 30
RDavid RoweState House · 85
RKerry BenninghoffState House · 171
Seats representing Mifflin County, PA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+48.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+56.4
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.5 points more Republican than the rolls.
27,120 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+124 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −651 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,387 in average income, against $61,968 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+35.0 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Mifflin County, PA itself (R+56.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Huntingdon County, PA98R+52.9
- Juniata County, PA91R+61.4
- Centre County, PA79D+2.8
- Snyder County, PA33R+47.0
- Dauphin County, PA28D+5.9
- Lancaster County, PA23R+16.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Huntingdon County, PA97
- Juniata County, PA62
- Centre County, PA55
- Snyder County, PA27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +42 |
| 2012 | −91 |
| 2013 | −204 |
| 2014 | −182 |
| 2015 | −92 |
| 2016 | −180 |
| 2017 | −15 |
| 2018 | −147 |
| 2019 | −128 |
| 2021 | +192 |
| 2022 | −45 |
| 2023 | +14 |
| 2024 | +61 |
| 2025 | +124 |
Mifflin County, anchored by Lewistown in the Juniata River valley, delivered a 56-point Republican margin in 2024—among the widest in a state notorious for its sharp rural-urban divide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 74.6 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 56.4 points.
A population of 46,041, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,953 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Juniata County and Bedford County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Juniata County
Pennsylvania
91.7twin score
2004–2020 trajectory
Bedford County
Pennsylvania
91.3twin score
2004–2020 trajectory
Grant County
West Virginia
89.0twin score
2012 margin% Whitecollege share≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mifflin County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Mifflin County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Mifflin County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mifflin County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 56.4 points (R+56.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,071 votes cast, 4,735 went Democratic and 17,184 went Republican.
When did Mifflin County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mifflin County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania?
Mifflin County, Pennsylvania has a population of 46,041 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania is $63,953 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Mifflin County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mifflin County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.