Monroe County, Pennsylvania: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+56 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 167,5152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,5652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washoe County, NV · similarity 0.92
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +49.5% |
| 1896 | +31.6% |
| 1900 | +39.6% |
| 1904 | +27.2% |
| 1908 | +33.7% |
| 1912 | +55.8% |
| 1916 | +38.7% |
| 1920 | +1.7% |
| 1924 | +5.6% |
| 1928 | −39.1% |
| 1932 | +15.2% |
| 1936 | +17.3% |
| 1940 | +5.3% |
| 1944 | −6.1% |
| 1948 | −6.0% |
| 1952 | −24.5% |
| 1956 | −29.2% |
| 1960 | −28.1% |
| 1964 | +25.5% |
| 1968 | −14.2% |
| 1972 | −37.6% |
| 1976 | −3.4% |
| 1980 | −21.6% |
| 1984 | −32.3% |
| 1988 | −26.8% |
| 1992 | −2.9% |
| 1996 | −2.0% |
| 2000 | −2.8% |
| 2004 | −0.0% |
| 2008 | +16.3% |
| 2012 | +13.3% |
| 2016 | +0.8% |
| 2020 | +6.4% |
| 2024 | −0.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 42,007 | 42,676 | 85,752 | ||
| D | 44,060 | 38,726 | 83,829 | ||
| D | 33,918 | 33,386 | 70,008 | ||
| D | 35,221 | 26,867 | 63,023 | ||
| D | 39,453 | 28,293 | 68,443 | ||
| R | 27,967 | 27,971 | 56,342 | ||
| R | 21,939 | 23,265 | 46,878 | ||
| R | 16,547 | 17,326 | 39,065 | ||
| R | 13,468 | 14,557 | 37,500 | ||
| R | 9,859 | 17,185 | 27,371 | ||
| R | 8,193 | 16,109 | 24,474 | ||
| R | 7,551 | 12,357 | 22,289 | ||
| R | 9,544 | 10,228 | 20,165 | ||
| R | 5,619 | 12,701 | 18,814 | ||
| R | 6,946 | 9,465 | 17,747 | ||
| D | 10,622 | 6,281 | 17,019 | ||
| R | 6,312 | 11,299 | 17,726 | ||
| R | 5,506 | 10,081 | 15,679 | ||
| R | 5,760 | 9,502 | 15,304 | ||
| R | 5,913 | 6,674 | 12,587 | ||
| R | 5,490 | 6,202 | 11,729 | ||
| D | 6,670 | 6,001 | 12,687 | ||
| D | 8,212 | 5,778 | 14,079 | ||
| D | 6,357 | 4,659 | 11,199 | ||
| R | 3,266 | 7,469 | 10,762 | ||
| D | 3,901 | 3,462 | 7,819 | ||
| D | 3,396 | 3,278 | 6,828 | ||
| D | 3,348 | 1,456 | 4,886 | ||
| D | 3,107 | 536 | 4,604 | ||
| D | 3,004 | 1,454 | 4,599 | ||
| D | 2,587 | 1,446 | 4,196 | ||
| D | 3,054 | 1,264 | 4,516 | ||
| D | 2,887 | 1,447 | 4,551 | ||
| D | 3,078 | 1,020 | 4,159 | ||
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Demographics
Once reliably Democratic thanks to union households and Northeastern transplants, Monroe County flipped to a slim Republican margin in 2024 — a swing that tracks its transition from a blue-collar bedroom community to a more politically mixed exurban destination.
The Democratic margin here once reached fifty-six points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was one point.
A population of 167,515, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,565 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washoe County and DeKalb County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Monroe County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
