Akashic

county

Montour County, PA

Contests in this Place (90 available)

President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German31.0%21.6%12.5%

English15.5%8.3%9.5%

Irish10.5%14.8%9.4%

Italian5.1%10.6%4.8%

Polish4.3%5.4%2.2%

American3.3%4.4%5.3%

Dutch2.0%——

Welsh1.8%——

Filipino0.9%0.2%0.9%

Pakistani0.8%——

Asian Indian0.7%1.2%1.4%

Chinese0.4%0.9%1.3%

Nepalese0.4%——

Puerto Rican1.5%3.7%1.8%

Mexican0.8%1.4%11.3%

Colombian0.2%0.2%0.4%

African American†1.6%8.7%9.9%

Ghanaian0.3%——

West Indian0.3%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median age	42.9	41.2	39.1
Age 18–24	6.1%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	21.7%	19.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median household income	$76,976	$77,971	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.8%	11.7%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	38.7%	35.2%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Owner-occupied homes	68.5%	69.3%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	31.5%	30.7%	34.8%
Median home value	$248,100	$254,500	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,142	$1,209	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	38.2%	48.2%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	3.5%	9.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Mean commute	19.4 min	26.3 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	4.4%	8.1%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	73.4%	68.2%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.2%	3.6%	3.2%
Works from home	12.9%	15.6%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	7.6%	12.4%	22.3%
Spanish	2.3%	5.6%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	1.6%	0.9%	0.5%
Other Indo-European	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%

Religious landscape

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Catholic	13.9%	21.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	7.1%	9.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	62.8%	53.1%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	16.2%	10.3%	5.2%

Origins and service

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Foreign-born residents	5.6%	7.7%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	2.7%	4.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	2.9%	3.4%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.7%	6.1%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.489	0.474	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

2024 turnout 71.3% of 14,000 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic39.0%3,862TrumpRepublican60.0%5,944OliverLibertarian0.6%58

R+21.0

Lead: 2,082
Total: 9,908
vs nation: R+19.5
Turnout: 71.3%

BidenDemocratic38.6%3,771TrumpRepublican59.8%5,844JorgensenLibertarian1.6%156

R+21.2

Lead: 2,073
Total: 9,771
vs nation: R+25.7
Turnout: 69.8%

ClintonDemocratic33.4%2,857TrumpRepublican61.8%5,288JohnsonLibertarian3.4%287

R+28.4

Lead: 2,431
Total: 8,556
vs nation: R+30.5
Turnout: 60.5%

ObamaDemocratic38.8%3,053RomneyRepublican59.2%4,652JohnsonLibertarian1.2%96

R+20.3

Lead: 1,599
Total: 7,859
vs nation: R+24.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic41.9%3,364McCainRepublican57.0%4,574OtherAll other candidates1.1%85

R+15.1

Lead: 1,210
Total: 8,023
vs nation: R+22.4
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic35.0%2,666BushRepublican64.3%4,903OtherAll other candidates0.7%55

R+29.3

Lead: 2,237
Total: 7,624
vs nation: R+26.9
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic36.3%2,356BushRepublican61.0%3,960NaderGreen2.0%132

R+24.7

Lead: 1,604
Total: 6,495
vs nation: R+25.2
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic37.6%2,183DoleRepublican47.9%2,785PerotReform13.5%784

R+10.4

Lead: 602
Total: 5,811
vs nation: R+18.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+21.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 18,1032024 5-year
Population density: 139 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 130 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $76,9762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 89.0%2024 5-year
Black: 2.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+42.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+43.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Clinton County, MI · twin score 79.2

Participation

Turnout and midterm durability

Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.

2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited

2024 turnout: 71.3%9,978 participants ÷ 14,000 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +13.4 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state: -3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026: 57.9%–59.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Participation by cycle

Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016

49.5%

56.4%

Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.

Cycle	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Series	Quality
	9,978	14,000 ± 193	71.3%	Audited	A/A
2022Mid	7,897	14,014 ± 156	56.4%	Audited	A/A
	9,847	14,116 ± 198	69.8%	Audited	A/A
2018Mid	7,034	14,204 ± 145	49.5%	Audited	C/A
	8,668	14,331 ± 130	60.5%	Audited	A/A
	7,859	14,068	55.9%	Derived	—
	8,023	13,529	59.3%	Derived	—
	7,624	12,990 extrapolated	58.7%	Derived	—

Sources and methods

Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.

2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.

Interactive election map

One map. Every available contest.

The map and local result cover Montour County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.

YearOfficeParty / contestMap detailShowing

Montour County result

0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes

JOSH SHAPIRO0—

Governor contest result

Loading the complete contest result…

Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 30 precincts

Precinct data

Results by precinct

30 precincts · 9,908 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Montour County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 0105420930105	890	717	22	1,629	54.6%	44.0%	D+10.6
Precinct 0130420930130	487	858	15	1,360	35.8%	63.1%	R+27.3
Precinct 0080420930080	297	807	8	1,112	26.7%	72.6%	R+45.9
Precinct 0115420930115	411	430	9	850	48.4%	50.6%	R+2.2
Precinct 0010420930010	157	581	9	747	21.0%	77.8%	R+56.8
Precinct 0040420930040	251	353	9	613	40.9%	57.6%	R+16.6
Precinct 0030420930030	331	235	4	570	58.1%	41.2%	D+16.8
Precinct 0020420930020	195	344	5	544	35.8%	63.2%	R+27.4
Precinct 0060420930060	246	276	4	526	46.8%	52.5%	R+5.7
Precinct 0090420930090	109	388	6	503	21.7%	77.1%	R+55.5
Precinct 0070420930070	108	338	3	449	24.1%	75.3%	R+51.2
Precinct 0050420930050	207	225	4	436	47.5%	51.6%	R+4.1
Precinct 0150420930150	93	229	4	326	28.5%	70.2%	R+41.7
Precinct 0120420930120	49	126	0	175	28.0%	72.0%	R+44.0
Precinct 0140420930140	31	37	0	68	45.6%	54.4%	R+8.8
ANTHONY TWP Voting District42_4209310	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
COOPER TWP Voting District42_4209320	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DANVILLE VTD 0142_4209330	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DANVILLE VTD 0242_4209340	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DANVILLE VTD 0342_4209350	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DANVILLE VTD 0442_4209360	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP Voting District42_4209370	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LIBERTY TWP Voting District42_4209380	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LIMESTONE TWP Voting District42_4209390	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MAHONING TWP DIST 0142_42093105	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MAHONING TWP DIST 0242_42093115	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MAYBERRY TWP Voting District42_42093120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
VALLEY TWP Voting District42_42093130	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WASHINGTONVILLE Voting District42_42093140	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WEST HEMLOCK TWP Voting District42_42093150	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Party record book

Montour County, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Grover Cleveland1892

60.9%

1,877 votes · D+25.0

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.8%

Republican

Herbert Hoover1928

71.7%

3,692 votes · R+43.6

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 69.6%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

3,862votes

39.0% of the vote · R+21.0

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,771 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

5,944votes

60.0% of the vote · R+21.0

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,844 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1900

+25.5pts D vs U.S.

Place D+18.0 · U.S. R+7.5

Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +23.3 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2016

+30.5pts R vs U.S.

Place R+28.4 · U.S. D+2.1

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +26.9 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DJohn FettermanU.S. Senate-0.18

RDave McCormickU.S. Senate+0.61

RDaniel MeuserU.S. House · PA-09+0.49

RLynda CulverState Senate · 27

RMichael StenderState House · 108

Seats representing Montour County, PA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	34.9%3,424	65.1%6,379	9,803
2020	R	35.0%3,378	65.0%6,283	9,661
2018	R	44.0%3,076	56.0%3,915	6,991

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+22.6

Presidential vote · 2024R+21.0

Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.6 points.

12,337 registered voters · 2026

Democratic30.5%Republican53.1%Unaffiliated13.1%Other3.3%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−35 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −655 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $66,737 in average income, against $94,953 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+36.7 on average — 16 points more Republican-leaning than Montour County, PA itself (R+21.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Northumberland County, PA149R+39.9
Columbia County, PA114R+31.0
Lycoming County, PA33R+41.5

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Columbia County, PA139
Northumberland County, PA113
Lycoming County, PA29
Union County, PA22
Snyder County, PA20

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Montour County, PA in Montour County, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−35
2012	+27
2013	−76
2014	+9
2015	−152
2016	−70
2017	+8
2018	−74
2019	−11
2021	+4
2022	+5
2023	−177
2024	−78
2025	−35

Montour County, anchored by the small city of Danville, has shifted markedly rightward over the past two decades. In 2024 it backed the Republican presidential candidate by 21 points, reflecting broader rural consolidation across central Pennsylvania.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 43.6 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 21.0 points.

A population of 18,103, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,976 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clinton County and Sarpy County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Clinton County

Michigan

79.2twin score

12-yr trendcollege share% Evangelical≠ French ancestry

Sarpy County

Nebraska

76.5twin score

college share12-yr trend% Evangelical≠ population scale

Union County

Pennsylvania

74.3twin score

12-yr trend% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ college share

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montour County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42093/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Montour County

Danville

R+3

4.2K residents

Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Montour County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montour County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 21.0 points (R+21.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,908 votes cast, 3,862 went Democratic and 5,944 went Republican.

When did Montour County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Montour County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Montour County, Pennsylvania?

Montour County, Pennsylvania has a population of 18,103 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montour County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Montour County, Pennsylvania is $76,976 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Montour County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montour County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.

Akashic

county

Montour County, PA

Contests in this Place (90 available)

President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German31.0%21.6%12.5%

English15.5%8.3%9.5%

Irish10.5%14.8%9.4%

Italian5.1%10.6%4.8%

Polish4.3%5.4%2.2%

American3.3%4.4%5.3%

Dutch2.0%——

Welsh1.8%——

Filipino0.9%0.2%0.9%

Pakistani0.8%——

Asian Indian0.7%1.2%1.4%

Chinese0.4%0.9%1.3%

Nepalese0.4%——

Puerto Rican1.5%3.7%1.8%

Mexican0.8%1.4%11.3%

Colombian0.2%0.2%0.4%

African American†1.6%8.7%9.9%

Ghanaian0.3%——

West Indian0.3%——

Age and life stage

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median age	42.9	41.2	39.1
Age 18–24	6.1%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	21.7%	19.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Median household income	$76,976	$77,971	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.8%	11.7%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	38.7%	35.2%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Owner-occupied homes	68.5%	69.3%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	31.5%	30.7%	34.8%
Median home value	$248,100	$254,500	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,142	$1,209	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	38.2%	48.2%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	3.5%	9.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Mean commute	19.4 min	26.3 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	4.4%	8.1%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	73.4%	68.2%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.2%	3.6%	3.2%
Works from home	12.9%	15.6%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	7.6%	12.4%	22.3%
Spanish	2.3%	5.6%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	1.6%	0.9%	0.5%
Other Indo-European	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%

Religious landscape

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Catholic	13.9%	21.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	7.1%	9.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	62.8%	53.1%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	16.2%	10.3%	5.2%

Origins and service

Measure	Montour County	Pennsylvania	United States
Foreign-born residents	5.6%	7.7%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	2.7%	4.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	2.9%	3.4%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.7%	6.1%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.489	0.474	0.483

President results by year

2024 turnout 71.3% of 14,000 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic39.0%3,862TrumpRepublican60.0%5,944OliverLibertarian0.6%58

R+21.0

Lead: 2,082
Total: 9,908
vs nation: R+19.5
Turnout: 71.3%

BidenDemocratic38.6%3,771TrumpRepublican59.8%5,844JorgensenLibertarian1.6%156

R+21.2

Lead: 2,073
Total: 9,771
vs nation: R+25.7
Turnout: 69.8%

ClintonDemocratic33.4%2,857TrumpRepublican61.8%5,288JohnsonLibertarian3.4%287

R+28.4

Lead: 2,431
Total: 8,556
vs nation: R+30.5
Turnout: 60.5%

ObamaDemocratic38.8%3,053RomneyRepublican59.2%4,652JohnsonLibertarian1.2%96

R+20.3

Lead: 1,599
Total: 7,859
vs nation: R+24.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic41.9%3,364McCainRepublican57.0%4,574OtherAll other candidates1.1%85

R+15.1

Lead: 1,210
Total: 8,023
vs nation: R+22.4
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic35.0%2,666BushRepublican64.3%4,903OtherAll other candidates0.7%55

R+29.3

Lead: 2,237
Total: 7,624
vs nation: R+26.9
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic36.3%2,356BushRepublican61.0%3,960NaderGreen2.0%132

R+24.7

Lead: 1,604
Total: 6,495
vs nation: R+25.2
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic37.6%2,183DoleRepublican47.9%2,785PerotReform13.5%784

R+10.4

Lead: 602
Total: 5,811
vs nation: R+18.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+21.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 18,1032024 5-year
Population density: 139 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 130 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $76,9762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 89.0%2024 5-year
Black: 2.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+42.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+43.6 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Clinton County, MI · twin score 79.2

Participation

Turnout and midterm durability

2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited

2024 turnout: 71.3%9,978 participants ÷ 14,000 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +13.4 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state: -3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026: 57.9%–59.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Participation by cycle

Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016

49.5%

56.4%

Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.

Cycle	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Series	Quality
	9,978	14,000 ± 193	71.3%	Audited	A/A
2022Mid	7,897	14,014 ± 156	56.4%	Audited	A/A
	9,847	14,116 ± 198	69.8%	Audited	A/A
2018Mid	7,034	14,204 ± 145	49.5%	Audited	C/A
	8,668	14,331 ± 130	60.5%	Audited	A/A
	7,859	14,068	55.9%	Derived	—
	8,023	13,529	59.3%	Derived	—
	7,624	12,990 extrapolated	58.7%	Derived	—

Sources and methods

2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.

Interactive election map

One map. Every available contest.

The map and local result cover Montour County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.

YearOfficeParty / contestMap detailShowing

Montour County result

0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes

JOSH SHAPIRO0—

Governor contest result

Loading the complete contest result…

Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 30 precincts

Precinct data

Results by precinct

30 precincts · 9,908 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Montour County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 0105420930105	890	717	22	1,629	54.6%	44.0%	D+10.6
Precinct 0130420930130	487	858	15	1,360	35.8%	63.1%	R+27.3
Precinct 0080420930080	297	807	8	1,112	26.7%	72.6%	R+45.9
Precinct 0115420930115	411	430	9	850	48.4%	50.6%	R+2.2
Precinct 0010420930010	157	581	9	747	21.0%	77.8%	R+56.8
Precinct 0040420930040	251	353	9	613	40.9%	57.6%	R+16.6
Precinct 0030420930030	331	235	4	570	58.1%	41.2%	D+16.8
Precinct 0020420930020	195	344	5	544	35.8%	63.2%	R+27.4
Precinct 0060420930060	246	276	4	526	46.8%	52.5%	R+5.7
Precinct 0090420930090	109	388	6	503	21.7%	77.1%	R+55.5
Precinct 0070420930070	108	338	3	449	24.1%	75.3%	R+51.2
Precinct 0050420930050	207	225	4	436	47.5%	51.6%	R+4.1
Precinct 0150420930150	93	229	4	326	28.5%	70.2%	R+41.7
Precinct 0120420930120	49	126	0	175	28.0%	72.0%	R+44.0
Precinct 0140420930140	31	37	0	68	45.6%	54.4%	R+8.8
ANTHONY TWP Voting District42_4209310	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
COOPER TWP Voting District42_4209320	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DANVILLE VTD 0142_4209330	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DANVILLE VTD 0242_4209340	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DANVILLE VTD 0342_4209350	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DANVILLE VTD 0442_4209360	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DERRY TWP Voting District42_4209370	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LIBERTY TWP Voting District42_4209380	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LIMESTONE TWP Voting District42_4209390	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MAHONING TWP DIST 0142_42093105	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MAHONING TWP DIST 0242_42093115	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MAYBERRY TWP Voting District42_42093120	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
VALLEY TWP Voting District42_42093130	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WASHINGTONVILLE Voting District42_42093140	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WEST HEMLOCK TWP Voting District42_42093150	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Party record book

Montour County, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Grover Cleveland1892

60.9%

1,877 votes · D+25.0

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 59.8%

Republican

Herbert Hoover1928

71.7%

3,692 votes · R+43.6

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 69.6%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

3,862votes

39.0% of the vote · R+21.0

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,771 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

5,944votes

60.0% of the vote · R+21.0

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,844 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

William J. Bryan1900

+25.5pts D vs U.S.

Place D+18.0 · U.S. R+7.5

Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +23.3 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2016

+30.5pts R vs U.S.

Place R+28.4 · U.S. D+2.1

Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +26.9 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DJohn FettermanU.S. Senate-0.18

RDave McCormickU.S. Senate+0.61

RDaniel MeuserU.S. House · PA-09+0.49

RLynda CulverState Senate · 27

RMichael StenderState House · 108

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	34.9%3,424	65.1%6,379	9,803
2020	R	35.0%3,378	65.0%6,283	9,661
2018	R	44.0%3,076	56.0%3,915	6,991

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+22.6

Presidential vote · 2024R+21.0

Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.6 points.

12,337 registered voters · 2026

Democratic30.5%Republican53.1%Unaffiliated13.1%Other3.3%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−35 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −655 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $66,737 in average income, against $94,953 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+36.7 on average — 16 points more Republican-leaning than Montour County, PA itself (R+21.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Northumberland County, PA149R+39.9
Columbia County, PA114R+31.0
Lycoming County, PA33R+41.5

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Columbia County, PA139
Northumberland County, PA113
Lycoming County, PA29
Union County, PA22
Snyder County, PA20

Domestic migration in Montour County, PA in Montour County, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−35
2012	+27
2013	−76
2014	+9
2015	−152
2016	−70
2017	+8
2018	−74
2019	−11
2021	+4
2022	+5
2023	−177
2024	−78
2025	−35

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 43.6 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 21.0 points.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Clinton County

Michigan

79.2twin score

12-yr trendcollege share% Evangelical≠ French ancestry

Sarpy County

Nebraska

76.5twin score

college share12-yr trend% Evangelical≠ population scale

Union County

Pennsylvania

74.3twin score

12-yr trend% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ college share

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montour County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42093/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Montour County

Danville

R+3

4.2K residents

Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Montour County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montour County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 21.0 points (R+21.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,908 votes cast, 3,862 went Democratic and 5,944 went Republican.

When did Montour County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Montour County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Montour County, Pennsylvania?

Montour County, Pennsylvania has a population of 18,103 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montour County, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Montour County, Pennsylvania is $76,976 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Montour County, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montour County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Montour County result

Governor contest result

Results by precinct

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Montour County result

Governor contest result

Results by precinct

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions