Marshall County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 15,962 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Chapel HillChapel Hill | 432 | 1,932 | 24 | 2,388 | 18.1% | 80.9% | R+62.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CornersvilleCornersville | 315 | 1,618 | 16 | 1,949 | 16.2% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -Henry HortonHenry Horton | 376 | 1,521 | 16 | 1,913 | 19.7% | 79.5% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -McKnightMcKnight | 416 | 1,341 | 26 | 1,783 | 23.3% | 75.2% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -BelfastBelfast | 256 | 1,499 | 8 | 1,763 | 14.5% | 85.0% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -Recreation CenterRecreation Center | 468 | 1,264 | 15 | 1,747 | 26.8% | 72.4% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -Gas DeptGas Dept | 337 | 1,290 | 21 | 1,648 | 20.4% | 78.3% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -ParkviewParkview | 387 | 1,183 | 10 | 1,580 | 24.5% | 74.9% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -HardisonHardison | 403 | 778 | 10 | 1,191 | 33.8% | 65.3% | R+31.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +44.2% |
| 1896 | +52.9% |
| 1900 | +45.1% |
| 1904 | +52.4% |
| 1908 | +53.5% |
| 1912 | +58.0% |
| 1916 | +55.8% |
| 1920 | +41.4% |
| 1924 | +64.6% |
| 1928 | +0.0% |
| 1932 | +76.3% |
| 1936 | +77.8% |
| 1940 | +77.9% |
| 1944 | +76.8% |
| 1948 | +59.2% |
| 1952 | +43.1% |
| 1956 | +44.8% |
| 1960 | +35.4% |
| 1964 | +49.7% |
| 1968 | +5.3% |
| 1972 | −24.4% |
| 1976 | +44.8% |
| 1980 | +29.9% |
| 1984 | −7.5% |
| 1988 | −3.1% |
| 1992 | +24.4% |
| 1996 | +21.1% |
| 2000 | +10.7% |
| 2004 | −10.4% |
| 2008 | −21.6% |
| 2012 | −28.9% |
| 2016 | −46.5% |
| 2020 | −50.0% |
| 2024 | −56.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 18,461 |
| 2018 | 17,810 |
| 2020 | 20,388 |
| 2022 | 21,205 |
| 2024 | 23,039 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+161 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +6,324 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,412 in average income, against $71,063 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.0 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Marshall County, TN itself (R+56.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Maury County, TN274R+44.6
- Williamson County, TN166R+32.4
- Rutherford County, TN153R+21.8
- Davidson County, TN84D+27.4
- Bedford County, TN73R+58.0
- Giles County, TN40R+55.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Maury County, TN166
- Rutherford County, TN73
- Bedford County, TN66
- Williamson County, TN66
- Giles County, TN65
- Davidson County, TN62
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +111 |
| 2012 | +40 |
| 2013 | +104 |
| 2014 | +128 |
| 2015 | +189 |
| 2016 | +400 |
| 2017 | +894 |
| 2018 | +644 |
| 2019 | +485 |
| 2021 | +595 |
| 2022 | +767 |
| 2023 | +1,077 |
| 2024 | +729 |
| 2025 | +161 |
Marshall County's 2024 presidential result—R+56.6—reflects a broader shift in rural Middle Tennessee toward lopsided Republican alignment, a pattern that has deepened each cycle since 2008.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.9 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 56.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.6 points.
A population of 36,049, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,049 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Smith County and Cannon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marshall County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.