HarrisDemocratic41.3%53,973TrumpRepublican57.5%75,161OliverLibertarian0.6%844
R+16.2- Lead
- 21,188
- Total
- 130,662
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Turnout
- 49.9%
Akashiccounty
Bell County, TX
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President31 · 1904–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1904–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 49.9% of 266,189 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic44.7%57,014TrumpRepublican53.2%67,893JorgensenLibertarian1.6%1,980
R+8.5- Lead
- 10,879
- Total
- 127,690
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- 52.3%
ClintonDemocratic39.5%37,801TrumpRepublican54.3%51,998JohnsonLibertarian4.0%3,824
R+14.8- Lead
- 14,197
- Total
- 95,701
- vs nation
- R+16.9
- Turnout
- 42.3%
ObamaDemocratic41.1%35,512RomneyRepublican57.4%49,574GrayLibertarian1.0%896
R+16.3- Lead
- 14,062
- Total
- 86,425
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.7%40,413McCainRepublican54.5%49,242OtherAll other candidates0.8%679
R+9.8- Lead
- 8,829
- Total
- 90,334
- vs nation
- R+17.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.1%27,165BushRepublican65.4%52,135OtherAll other candidates0.5%424
R+31.3- Lead
- 24,970
- Total
- 79,724
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.2%21,011BushRepublican65.1%41,208NaderGreen1.2%728
R+31.9- Lead
- 20,197
- Total
- 63,291
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic39.7%22,638DoleRepublican53.2%30,348PerotReform6.4%3,666
R+13.5- Lead
- 7,710
- Total
- 57,049
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 386,8972024 5-year
- Population density
- 367 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,054 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,8652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 42.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 21.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Tarrant County, TX · twin score 85.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 49.9%132,828 participants ÷ 266,189 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 32.0%–38.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132,828 | 266,189 ± 1,859 | 49.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 87,936 | 256,145 ± 1,752 | 34.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 127,672 | 244,287 ± 1,906 | 52.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 87,238 | 234,375 ± 1,318 | 37.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 95,701 | 226,312 ± 1,474 | 42.3% | Audited | C/A | |
| 86,425 | 210,156 | 41.1% | Derived | — | |
| 90,334 | 184,572 | 48.9% | Derived | — | |
| 79,724 | 158,988 extrapolated | 50.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Bell County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Bell County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ANDREW WHITE0—
ANGELA "TIAANGIE" VILLESCAZ0—
BOBBY COLE0—
CARLTON W. HART0—
CHRIS BELL0—
GINA HINOJOSA0—
Show all 9 candidates
JOSE NAVARRO BALBUENA0—
PATRICIA ABREGO0—
ZACH VANCE0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 64 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
64 precincts · 131,013 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 213Precinct 213 | 799 | 3,157 | 61 | 4,017 | 19.9% | 78.6% | R+58.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 318Precinct 318 | 1,228 | 2,525 | 50 | 3,803 | 32.3% | 66.4% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 115Precinct 115 | 1,054 | 2,626 | 65 | 3,745 | 28.1% | 70.1% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 315Precinct 315 | 1,266 | 2,291 | 71 | 3,628 | 34.9% | 63.1% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 203Precinct 203 | 694 | 2,781 | 48 | 3,523 | 19.7% | 78.9% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 301Precinct 301 | 555 | 2,729 | 46 | 3,330 | 16.7% | 82.0% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 210Precinct 210 | 2,009 | 1,168 | 34 | 3,211 | 62.6% | 36.4% | D+26.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 313Precinct 313 | 1,048 | 1,985 | 53 | 3,086 | 34.0% | 64.3% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 111Precinct 111 | 1,230 | 1,804 | 34 | 3,068 | 40.1% | 58.8% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 303Precinct 303 | 1,300 | 1,642 | 47 | 2,989 | 43.5% | 54.9% | R+11.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 209Precinct 209 | 1,564 | 1,312 | 40 | 2,916 | 53.6% | 45.0% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 806 | 2,037 | 54 | 2,897 | 27.8% | 70.3% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 402Precinct 402 | 1,526 | 1,294 | 29 | 2,849 | 53.6% | 45.4% | D+8.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 215Precinct 215 | 1,658 | 1,139 | 42 | 2,839 | 58.4% | 40.1% | D+18.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 302Precinct 302 | 1,095 | 1,698 | 39 | 2,832 | 38.7% | 60.0% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 408Precinct 408 | 1,665 | 1,057 | 58 | 2,780 | 59.9% | 38.0% | D+21.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 214Precinct 214 | 1,318 | 1,384 | 32 | 2,734 | 48.2% | 50.6% | R+2.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 104Precinct 104 | 592 | 2,090 | 38 | 2,720 | 21.8% | 76.8% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 113Precinct 113 | 768 | 1,869 | 25 | 2,662 | 28.9% | 70.2% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 319Precinct 319 | 883 | 1,726 | 48 | 2,657 | 33.2% | 65.0% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202 | 1,175 | 1,375 | 44 | 2,594 | 45.3% | 53.0% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 311Precinct 311 | 454 | 2,095 | 24 | 2,573 | 17.6% | 81.4% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 119Precinct 119 | 799 | 1,736 | 33 | 2,568 | 31.1% | 67.6% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 308Precinct 308 | 1,047 | 1,436 | 40 | 2,523 | 41.5% | 56.9% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 208Precinct 208 | 1,468 | 924 | 35 | 2,427 | 60.5% | 38.1% | D+22.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 413Precinct 413 | 1,423 | 942 | 38 | 2,403 | 59.2% | 39.2% | D+20.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 405Precinct 405 | 1,549 | 803 | 21 | 2,373 | 65.3% | 33.8% | D+31.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 205Precinct 205 | 1,445 | 835 | 35 | 2,315 | 62.4% | 36.1% | D+26.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 401Precinct 401 | 1,062 | 1,197 | 35 | 2,294 | 46.3% | 52.2% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 628 | 1,534 | 41 | 2,203 | 28.5% | 69.6% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 414Precinct 414 | 1,380 | 630 | 35 | 2,045 | 67.5% | 30.8% | D+36.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 106Precinct 106 | 1,198 | 776 | 32 | 2,006 | 59.7% | 38.7% | D+21.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 216Precinct 216 | 814 | 1,033 | 39 | 1,886 | 43.2% | 54.8% | R+11.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 114Precinct 114 | 650 | 1,205 | 26 | 1,881 | 34.6% | 64.1% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 306Precinct 306 | 970 | 878 | 32 | 1,880 | 51.6% | 46.7% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 412Precinct 412 | 1,179 | 631 | 29 | 1,839 | 64.1% | 34.3% | D+29.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 118Precinct 118 | 439 | 1,359 | 20 | 1,818 | 24.1% | 74.8% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 201Precinct 201 | 806 | 881 | 31 | 1,718 | 46.9% | 51.3% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 314Precinct 314 | 672 | 943 | 23 | 1,638 | 41.0% | 57.6% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 404Precinct 404 | 956 | 634 | 21 | 1,611 | 59.3% | 39.4% | D+20.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 312Precinct 312 | 238 | 1,351 | 13 | 1,602 | 14.9% | 84.3% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 317Precinct 317 | 520 | 1,009 | 27 | 1,556 | 33.4% | 64.8% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 307Precinct 307 | 939 | 595 | 16 | 1,550 | 60.6% | 38.4% | D+22.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 206Precinct 206 | 943 | 581 | 25 | 1,549 | 60.9% | 37.5% | D+23.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 409Precinct 409 | 808 | 708 | 15 | 1,531 | 52.8% | 46.2% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 207Precinct 207 | 916 | 539 | 22 | 1,477 | 62.0% | 36.5% | D+25.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 415Precinct 415 | 843 | 540 | 9 | 1,392 | 60.6% | 38.8% | D+21.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 305Precinct 305 | 440 | 930 | 20 | 1,390 | 31.7% | 66.9% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 108Precinct 108 | 182 | 1,158 | 13 | 1,353 | 13.5% | 85.6% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 103Precinct 103 | 465 | 856 | 27 | 1,348 | 34.5% | 63.5% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 406Precinct 406 | 708 | 609 | 23 | 1,340 | 52.8% | 45.4% | D+7.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 105Precinct 105 | 225 | 1,086 | 13 | 1,324 | 17.0% | 82.0% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 109Precinct 109 | 711 | 481 | 23 | 1,215 | 58.5% | 39.6% | D+18.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 309Precinct 309 | 162 | 823 | 10 | 995 | 16.3% | 82.7% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 410Precinct 410 | 536 | 360 | 13 | 909 | 59.0% | 39.6% | D+19.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 419Precinct 419 | 168 | 670 | 13 | 851 | 19.7% | 78.7% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 212Precinct 212 | 274 | 510 | 9 | 793 | 34.6% | 64.3% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 116Precinct 116 | 440 | 300 | 5 | 745 | 59.1% | 40.3% | D+18.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 204Precinct 204 | 440 | 290 | 12 | 742 | 59.3% | 39.1% | D+20.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 211Precinct 211 | 342 | 342 | 13 | 697 | 49.1% | 49.1% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -Precinct 110Precinct 110 | 290 | 358 | 4 | 652 | 44.5% | 54.9% | R+10.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 310Precinct 310 | 53 | 387 | 3 | 443 | 12.0% | 87.4% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 107Precinct 107 | 95 | 290 | 2 | 387 | 24.5% | 74.9% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 304Precinct 304 | 63 | 227 | 1 | 291 | 21.6% | 78.0% | R+56.4 |
presidential history
Party record book
Bell County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
92.4%
6,119 votes · D+85.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 91.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
71.8%
17,525 votes · R+43.7
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 69.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
57,014votes
44.7% of the vote · R+8.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 53,973 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
75,161votes
57.5% of the vote · R+16.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 67,893 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+95.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+75.3 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +84.8 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+32.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+31.9 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +28.9 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RPete FloresState Senate · 24
RBrad BuckleyState House · 54
RHillary HicklandState House · 55
Seats representing Bell County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 195,604 |
| 2020 | 215,974 |
| 2022 | 227,727 |
| 2024 | 240,207 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+730 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +12,610 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,326 in average income, against $68,755 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.0 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Bell County, TX itself (R+16.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Williamson County, TX1,249R+2.4
- Coryell County, TX1,031R+40.7
- Travis County, TX983D+39.3
- McLennan County, TX419R+30.8
- Harris County, TX389D+5.5
- Bexar County, TX369D+9.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Coryell County, TX1,187
- Williamson County, TX1,126
- Travis County, TX777
- Harris County, TX511
- Bexar County, TX508
- McLennan County, TX399
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −2,244 |
| 2012 | +2,664 |
| 2013 | −4,010 |
| 2014 | −2,613 |
| 2015 | −59 |
| 2016 | −244 |
| 2017 | +1,705 |
| 2018 | +3,617 |
| 2019 | +3,745 |
| 2021 | +5,442 |
| 2022 | +3,357 |
| 2023 | +1,575 |
| 2024 | −1,055 |
| 2025 | +730 |
Bell County anchors one of Texas's largest military installations, giving it an unusually transient population that has steadily narrowed its Republican presidential margins over the past three election cycles before widening again in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 43.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.2 points.
A population of 386,897, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,865 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tarrant County and McLennan County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Tarrant County
Texas
85.0twin score
% White12-yr trend2020 margin≠ population scale
McLennan County
Texas
80.9twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scalemedian age≠ elasticity
Allen County
Indiana
80.6twin score
elasticitypopulation scale12-yr trend≠ % White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bell County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Bell County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bell County, Texas voted Republican by 16.2 points (R+16.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 130,662 votes cast, 53,973 went Democratic and 75,161 went Republican.
When did Bell County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bell County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Bell County, Texas?
Bell County, Texas has a population of 386,897 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bell County, Texas?
Median household income in Bell County, Texas is $68,865 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Bell County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bell County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.