Grimes County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
13 precincts · 14,051 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 217 | 1,464 | 16 | 1,697 | 12.8% | 86.3% | R+73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 195 | 1,484 | 8 | 1,687 | 11.6% | 88.0% | R+76.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 625 | 792 | 12 | 1,429 | 43.7% | 55.4% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 263 | 988 | 13 | 1,264 | 20.8% | 78.2% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 266 | 849 | 13 | 1,128 | 23.6% | 75.3% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 374 | 716 | 17 | 1,107 | 33.8% | 64.7% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 128 | 937 | 6 | 1,071 | 12.0% | 87.5% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 152 | 893 | 8 | 1,053 | 14.4% | 84.8% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 151 | 858 | 9 | 1,018 | 14.8% | 84.3% | R+69.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 75 | 779 | 7 | 861 | 8.7% | 90.5% | R+81.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 174 | 627 | 5 | 806 | 21.6% | 77.8% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 81 | 530 | 4 | 615 | 13.2% | 86.2% | R+73.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 33 | 280 | 2 | 315 | 10.5% | 88.9% | R+78.4 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +72.9% |
| 1908 | +81.9% |
| 1912 | +86.1% |
| 1916 | +80.5% |
| 1920 | +56.1% |
| 1924 | +83.5% |
| 1928 | +25.3% |
| 1932 | +86.0% |
| 1936 | +86.2% |
| 1940 | +81.3% |
| 1944 | +72.2% |
| 1948 | +32.8% |
| 1952 | −6.7% |
| 1956 | −8.5% |
| 1960 | +23.8% |
| 1964 | +37.4% |
| 1968 | +11.3% |
| 1972 | −33.4% |
| 1976 | +28.5% |
| 1980 | +7.7% |
| 1984 | −17.3% |
| 1988 | −1.5% |
| 1992 | +3.1% |
| 1996 | +0.4% |
| 2000 | −25.7% |
| 2004 | −31.8% |
| 2008 | −34.3% |
| 2012 | −44.2% |
| 2016 | −51.1% |
| 2020 | −53.2% |
| 2024 | −60.2% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 15,723 |
| 2018 | 16,000 |
| 2020 | 17,877 |
| 2022 | 19,170 |
| 2024 | 21,080 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+871 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +6,273 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $79,113 in average income, against $77,212 for residents who stayed — 2% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+19.0 on average — 41 points more Democratic-leaning than Grimes County, TX itself (R+60.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Harris County, TX330D+5.5
- Brazos County, TX261R+24.8
- Montgomery County, TX212R+45.5
- Waller County, TX57R+25.0
- Fort Bend County, TX35D+1.6
- Washington County, TX26R+54.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Brazos County, TX190
- Harris County, TX182
- Montgomery County, TX102
- Waller County, TX52
- Walker County, TX32
- Washington County, TX23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +31 |
| 2012 | −25 |
| 2013 | +62 |
| 2014 | +138 |
| 2015 | +275 |
| 2016 | +114 |
| 2017 | +381 |
| 2018 | +283 |
| 2019 | +518 |
| 2021 | +723 |
| 2022 | +956 |
| 2023 | +1,290 |
| 2024 | +656 |
| 2025 | +871 |
Grimes County, a sparsely populated stretch of East Texas pine and farmland, has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 60 points, reflecting a rural demographic shift that accelerated sharply over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 60.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.2 points.
A population of 31,340, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,803 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Live Oak County and Colorado County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Grimes County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48185/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.