Guadalupe County, Texas: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted R+29%. Democratic peak: D+69 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 183,6422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,3752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 39.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rockwall County, TX · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Guadalupe CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Guadalupe County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +2.3% |
| 1916 | −37.1% |
| 1920 | −39.6% |
| 1924 | −20.2% |
| 1928 | +13.0% |
| 1932 | +68.7% |
| 1936 | +40.0% |
| 1940 | −6.2% |
| 1944 | −22.4% |
| 1948 | −7.8% |
| 1952 | −30.7% |
| 1956 | −34.2% |
| 1960 | −8.0% |
| 1964 | +25.1% |
| 1968 | −8.8% |
| 1972 | −41.7% |
| 1976 | −5.5% |
| 1980 | −31.4% |
| 1984 | −47.8% |
| 1988 | −29.9% |
| 1992 | −18.4% |
| 1996 | −25.3% |
| 2000 | −43.1% |
| 2004 | −46.2% |
| 2008 | −31.0% |
| 2012 | −35.0% |
| 2016 | −31.4% |
| 2020 | −24.1% |
| 2024 | −29.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 29,573 | 54,691 | 85,350 | ||
| R | 28,805 | 47,553 | 77,758 | ||
| R | 18,391 | 36,632 | 58,123 | ||
| R | 15,744 | 33,117 | 49,626 | ||
| R | 16,156 | 30,869 | 47,461 | ||
| R | 10,290 | 28,208 | 38,752 | ||
| R | 8,311 | 21,499 | 30,567 | ||
| R | 8,079 | 14,254 | 24,403 | ||
| R | 6,567 | 10,818 | 23,120 | ||
| R | 7,111 | 13,265 | 20,609 | ||
| R | 5,060 | 14,382 | 19,488 | ||
| R | 5,049 | 9,901 | 15,428 | ||
| R | 6,054 | 6,766 | 12,935 | ||
| R | 3,404 | 8,287 | 11,698 | ||
| R | 3,529 | 4,332 | 9,102 | ||
| D | 4,568 | 2,731 | 7,308 | ||
| R | 3,116 | 3,657 | 6,787 | ||
| R | 2,099 | 4,296 | 6,425 | ||
| R | 2,330 | 4,396 | 6,740 | ||
| R | 2,119 | 2,502 | 4,908 | ||
| R | 1,583 | 2,556 | 4,343 | ||
| R | 2,182 | 2,473 | 4,661 | ||
| D | 2,962 | 1,266 | 4,237 | ||
| D | 3,751 | 691 | 4,451 | ||
| D | 1,872 | 1,442 | 3,318 | ||
| R | 831 | 1,657 | 4,089 | ||
| R | 560 | 1,839 | 3,232 | ||
| R | 830 | 1,812 | 2,650 | ||
| D | 1,128 | 1,065 | 2,754 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.6%
English
8.8%
Irish
8.3%
American
3.9%
Italian
2.5%
French
2.0%
Polish
1.7%
African American
6.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$92,375
Guadalupe County ranks in the top 10% of US counties.
Guadalupe County$92,375
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Guadalupe County ranks in the top 10% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.4%
Working age (18–64)8.4%
Seniors (65+)12.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
78.0%
speak English only
Spanish19.1%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 65.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Guadalupe County sits at the northeastern edge of the San Antonio metro, where rapid suburban growth has not eroded a Republican presidential margin that has held above 25 points for over a decade.
The Democratic margin here reached sixty-nine points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-nine points.
A population of 183,642, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,375 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rockwall County and Lubbock County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Guadalupe County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48187/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Texas
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Frequently asked questions
How did Guadalupe County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Guadalupe County, Texas voted Republican by 29.4 points (R+29), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 85,350 votes cast, 29,573 went Democratic and 54,691 went Republican.
What is Guadalupe County, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Guadalupe County, Texas in the "Diversifying Metro" typology — Mid-size metropolitan counties growing more diverse and trending Democratic. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Guadalupe County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Guadalupe County, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Guadalupe County, Texas?
Guadalupe County, Texas has a population of 183,642 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Guadalupe County, Texas?
Median household income in Guadalupe County, Texas is $92,375 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Guadalupe County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Guadalupe County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The county's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.