Hale County, Texas: New American county. In 2024, voted R+58%. Democratic peak: D+80 in 1916.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 32,1312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,8972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 61.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+80 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bailey County, TX · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Hale CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Hale County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +75.9% |
| 1916 | +79.8% |
| 1920 | +55.2% |
| 1924 | +46.0% |
| 1928 | −32.2% |
| 1932 | +77.4% |
| 1936 | +74.2% |
| 1940 | +57.8% |
| 1944 | +53.8% |
| 1948 | +56.2% |
| 1952 | −18.3% |
| 1956 | +0.6% |
| 1960 | −12.8% |
| 1964 | +23.4% |
| 1968 | −13.6% |
| 1972 | −53.0% |
| 1976 | +1.7% |
| 1980 | −33.2% |
| 1984 | −41.0% |
| 1988 | −28.4% |
| 1992 | −32.6% |
| 1996 | −27.7% |
| 2000 | −51.7% |
| 2004 | −58.6% |
| 2008 | −44.9% |
| 2012 | −48.0% |
| 2016 | −48.1% |
| 2020 | −51.1% |
| 2024 | −57.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,903 | 7,283 | 9,285 | ||
| R | 2,279 | 7,177 | 9,586 | ||
| R | 2,101 | 6,366 | 8,858 | ||
| R | 2,243 | 6,490 | 8,854 | ||
| R | 2,708 | 7,171 | 9,943 | ||
| R | 2,078 | 8,025 | 10,154 | ||
| R | 2,158 | 6,868 | 9,110 | ||
| R | 3,204 | 5,905 | 9,746 | ||
| R | 2,761 | 6,098 | 10,234 | ||
| R | 3,502 | 6,284 | 9,811 | ||
| R | 3,202 | 7,670 | 10,891 | ||
| R | 3,610 | 7,277 | 11,050 | ||
| D | 5,580 | 5,390 | 11,007 | ||
| R | 2,135 | 7,051 | 9,273 | ||
| R | 3,293 | 4,696 | 10,298 | ||
| D | 5,910 | 3,666 | 9,594 | ||
| R | 3,695 | 4,784 | 8,532 | ||
| D | 3,848 | 3,804 | 7,663 | ||
| R | 3,351 | 4,858 | 8,226 | ||
| D | 3,995 | 1,013 | 5,310 | ||
| D | 3,066 | 712 | 4,379 | ||
| D | 3,405 | 906 | 4,323 | ||
| D | 3,109 | 451 | 3,582 | ||
| D | 3,029 | 369 | 3,437 | ||
| R | 1,098 | 2,143 | 3,248 | ||
| D | 1,446 | 507 | 2,041 | ||
| D | 1,279 | 352 | 1,679 | ||
| D | 908 | 80 | 1,038 | ||
| D | 554 | 26 | 696 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.0%
American
4.2%
English
4.1%
Irish
3.1%
Scottish
0.8%
French
0.5%
African American
3.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$51,897
Hale County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Hale County$51,897
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Hale County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
20.5%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1830.0%
Working age (18–64)16.7%
Seniors (65+)18.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
63.2%
speak English only
Spanish35.9%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 16.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Anchored by Plainview on the South Plains, Hale County recorded an R+57.9 presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a heavily rural, agricultural electorate that has shifted decisively rightward over the past two decades.
Hale County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of eighty points in 1916. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved seven points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $51,897, and a population of 32,131. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bailey County and Victoria County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hale County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48189/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Hale County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hale County, Texas voted Republican by 57.9 points (R+58), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,285 votes cast, 1,903 went Democratic and 7,283 went Republican.
What is Hale County, Texas's political typology?
Akashic places Hale County, Texas in the "New American" typology — Communities where a large share of households speak a language other than English — multilingual, Democratic-leaning overall, yet the hardest-swinging bloc toward the Republican Party in 2024. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Hale County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hale County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Hale County, Texas?
Hale County, Texas has a population of 32,131 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hale County, Texas?
Median household income in Hale County, Texas is $51,897 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Hale County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hale County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The county's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.