Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupDeaf Smith CountyTexasUnited States
Mexican70.6%32.1%11.3%
Cuban1.3%0.5%0.7%
Guatemalan0.4%0.4%0.5%
Honduran0.4%0.8%0.3%
Salvadoran0.4%1.2%0.7%
Nicaraguan0.3%——
German4.9%8.3%12.5%
American3.7%4.6%5.3%
English3.5%7.9%9.5%
Irish2.1%6.0%9.4%
Czech1.4%——
French0.9%1.5%1.6%
Scotch-Irish0.7%——
Scottish0.4%1.3%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Deaf Smith County
Texas
United States
Median age
31.3
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
10.6%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.2%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Deaf Smith County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$60,799
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
17.7%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
11.4%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Deaf Smith County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
54.9%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
54.7%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Deaf Smith County
Texas
United States
Catholic
19.9%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
34.5%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
37.3%
45.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Deaf Smith County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
4 precincts · 4,286 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Deaf Smith County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3
271
1,313
11
1,595
17.0%
82.3%
R+65.3
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4
241
678
5
924
26.1%
73.4%
R+47.3
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1
230
677
9
916
25.1%
73.9%
R+48.8
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2
277
565
9
851
32.5%
66.4%
R+33.8
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1908
+68.6%
1912
+73.0%
1916
+61.7%
1920
+38.1%
1924
+33.3%
1928
−16.2%
1932
+73.7%
1936
+78.9%
1940
+48.3%
1944
+33.7%
1948
+46.0%
1952
−42.0%
1956
−10.6%
1960
−21.6%
1964
+7.7%
1968
−19.7%
1972
−48.9%
1976
−3.0%
1980
−41.0%
1984
−52.2%
1988
−31.7%
1992
−26.9%
1996
−27.7%
2000
−49.1%
2004
−56.8%
2008
−46.8%
2012
−41.8%
2016
−40.9%
2020
−44.0%
2024
−51.7%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
23.8%Harris1,019
75.4%Trump3,233
0.4%Oliver19 +1
R+51.7
R+7.6
R+50.2
4,286
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican75.4%3,233
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic23.8%1,019
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%19
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%15
R
27.4%Biden1,264
71.5%Trump3,294
0.8%Jorgensen35
R+44.0
R+3.1
R+48.5
4,610
R
28.1%Clinton1,185
69.0%Trump2,911
2.2%Johnson91
R+40.9
D+0.9
R+43.0
4,216
R
28.8%Obama1,239
70.6%Romney3,042
0.4%Gray18
R+41.8
D+4.9
R+45.7
4,309
R
26.3%Obama1,247
73.1%McCain3,466
0.7%
R+46.8
D+10.0
R+54.0
4,744
R
21.4%Kerry1,133
78.2%Bush4,139
0.4%
R+56.8
R+7.7
R+54.4
5,291
R
24.9%Gore1,240
74.0%Bush3,687
0.5%Nader27
R+49.1
R+21.4
R+49.6
4,984
R
32.8%Clinton1,655
60.4%Dole3,051
6.1%Perot310
R+27.7
R+0.8
R+36.2
5,048
R
29.5%Clinton1,642
56.4%Bush3,137
13.9%Perot772
R+26.9
D+4.8
R+32.5
5,559
R
33.7%Dukakis1,930
65.4%Bush3,744
0.9%
R+31.7
D+20.5
R+24.0
5,726
R
23.6%Mondale1,485
75.8%Reagan4,762
0.6%
R+52.2
R+11.1
R+33.9
6,283
R
28.4%Carter1,666
69.5%Reagan4,073
2.1%
R+41.0
R+38.0
R+31.3
5,864
R
48.1%Carter2,613
51.1%Ford2,776
0.8%
R+3.0
D+45.9
R+5.1
5,435
R
24.8%McGovern1,240
73.7%Nixon3,690
1.6%
R+48.9
R+29.2
R+25.8
5,009
R
32.8%Humphrey1,545
52.5%Nixon2,474
14.7%
R+19.7
R+27.4
R+19.0
4,713
D
53.7%Johnson2,094
46.0%Goldwater1,793
0.3%
D+7.7
D+29.4
R+14.9
3,897
R
38.8%Kennedy1,299
60.4%Nixon2,024
0.8%
R+21.6
R+11.0
R+21.8
3,349
R
44.5%Stevenson1,361
55.2%Eisenhower1,685
0.3%
R+10.6
D+31.4
D+4.8
3,055
R
28.9%Stevenson1,006
70.9%Eisenhower2,468
0.3%
R+42.0
R+88.0
R+31.2
3,483
D
71.6%Truman1,496
25.6%Dewey535
2.8%
D+46.0
D+12.3
D+41.5
2,089
D
61.9%Roosevelt1,117
28.1%Dewey508
10.0%
D+33.7
R+14.6
D+26.2
1,805
D
74.0%Roosevelt1,219
25.7%Willkie423
0.3%
D+48.3
R+30.5
D+38.4
1,647
D
89.1%Roosevelt1,236
10.2%Landon142
0.6%
D+78.9
D+5.2
D+54.6
1,387
D
86.8%Roosevelt1,307
13.2%Hoover198
0.0%
D+73.7
D+89.9
D+55.9
1,505
R
41.9%Smith411
58.1%Hoover570
0.0%
R+16.2
R+49.5
D+1.3
981
D
56.2%Davis2,131
22.9%Coolidge868
0.9%La Follette33
D+33.3
R+4.8
D+58.5
3,791
D
68.9%Cox459
30.8%Harding205
0.3%
D+38.1
R+23.6
D+64.3
666
D
78.8%Wilson356
17.0%Hughes77
4.2%
D+61.7
R+11.3
D+58.6
452
D
80.7%Wilson221
7.7%Taft21
11.7%
D+73.0
D+4.4
D+53.4
274
D
83.2%Bryan273
14.6%Taft48
2.1%
D+68.6
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D+78.2
328
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
24.3%1,025
73.7%3,113
4,225
2020
R
25.4%1,150
72.2%3,272
4,531
2018
R
28.3%1,067
71.0%2,680
3,775
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Deaf Smith County, TX
Year
Total registered
2018
8,862
2020
8,900
2022
8,764
2024
8,756
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−91 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,766 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,860 in average income, against $68,878 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+57.1 on average — 5.5 points more Republican-leaning than Deaf Smith County, TX itself (R+51.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Randall County, TX40R+60.4
Potter County, TX38R+44.4
Castro County, TX33R+58.1
Parmer County, TX25R+70.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Randall County, TX128
Potter County, TX46
Parmer County, TX23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Deaf Smith County, TX in Deaf Smith County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−226
2012
−382
2013
−434
2014
−235
2015
−512
2016
−193
2017
−241
2018
−259
2019
−325
2021
−276
2022
−129
2023
−230
2024
−233
2025
−91
Deaf Smith County anchors Texas's High Plains beef and dairy corridor, where a heavily agricultural, majority-Hispanic population has nonetheless delivered some of the state's widest Republican presidential margins over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 56.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.7 points.
A population of 18,460, a 21% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,799 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dawson County and Bailey County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Deaf Smith County, Texas voted Republican by 51.7 points (R+51.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,286 votes cast, 1,019 went Democratic and 3,233 went Republican.
When did Deaf Smith County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Deaf Smith County, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Deaf Smith County, Texas?
Deaf Smith County, Texas has a population of 18,460 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Deaf Smith County, Texas?
Median household income in Deaf Smith County, Texas is $60,799 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Deaf Smith County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Deaf Smith County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.
