Hardin County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 28,157 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 365 | 3,089 | 10 | 3,464 | 10.5% | 89.2% | R+78.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 366 | 3,053 | 27 | 3,446 | 10.6% | 88.6% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 336 | 2,807 | 16 | 3,159 | 10.6% | 88.9% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 226 | 2,037 | 6 | 2,269 | 10.0% | 89.8% | R+79.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 178 | 1,596 | 9 | 1,783 | 10.0% | 89.5% | R+79.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 306 | 1,443 | 11 | 1,760 | 17.4% | 82.0% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 161 | 1,474 | 11 | 1,646 | 9.8% | 89.6% | R+79.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 129 | 1,212 | 6 | 1,347 | 9.6% | 90.0% | R+80.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 108 | 1,050 | 3 | 1,161 | 9.3% | 90.4% | R+81.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 118 | 989 | 2 | 1,109 | 10.6% | 89.2% | R+78.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 254 | 841 | 6 | 1,101 | 23.1% | 76.4% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 102 | 967 | 3 | 1,072 | 9.5% | 90.2% | R+80.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 71 | 959 | 0 | 1,030 | 6.9% | 93.1% | R+86.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 434 | 493 | 5 | 932 | 46.6% | 52.9% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 53 | 626 | 0 | 679 | 7.8% | 92.2% | R+84.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 51 | 619 | 2 | 672 | 7.6% | 92.1% | R+84.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 33 | 565 | 0 | 598 | 5.5% | 94.5% | R+89.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 29 | 437 | 2 | 468 | 6.2% | 93.4% | R+87.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 27 | 434 | 0 | 461 | 5.9% | 94.1% | R+88.3 |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +53.0% |
| 1912 | +62.3% |
| 1916 | +73.1% |
| 1920 | +57.9% |
| 1924 | +38.2% |
| 1928 | +4.1% |
| 1932 | +89.1% |
| 1936 | +90.4% |
| 1940 | +85.9% |
| 1944 | +76.4% |
| 1948 | +66.9% |
| 1952 | +34.8% |
| 1956 | +5.3% |
| 1960 | +34.1% |
| 1964 | +44.2% |
| 1968 | +10.2% |
| 1972 | −27.4% |
| 1976 | +23.5% |
| 1980 | +9.3% |
| 1984 | −10.5% |
| 1988 | +8.9% |
| 1992 | +5.2% |
| 1996 | −7.5% |
| 2000 | −35.7% |
| 2004 | −45.5% |
| 2008 | −61.2% |
| 2012 | −67.6% |
| 2016 | −73.9% |
| 2020 | −73.8% |
| 2024 | −75.8% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 38,154 |
| 2018 | 38,259 |
| 2020 | 39,952 |
| 2022 | 41,408 |
| 2024 | 43,116 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+100 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +4,186 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,841 in average income, against $86,734 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.8 on average — 45 points more Democratic-leaning than Hardin County, TX itself (R+75.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jefferson County, TX471R+8.9
- Orange County, TX135R+66.7
- Harris County, TX126D+5.5
- Tyler County, TX103R+73.5
- Jasper County, TX96R+66.6
- Liberty County, TX60R+61.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, TX426
- Orange County, TX133
- Harris County, TX117
- Jasper County, TX107
- Tyler County, TX67
- Liberty County, TX35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +142 |
| 2012 | −78 |
| 2013 | +47 |
| 2014 | +67 |
| 2015 | +106 |
| 2016 | +377 |
| 2017 | +756 |
| 2018 | −89 |
| 2019 | +434 |
| 2021 | +779 |
| 2022 | +753 |
| 2023 | +381 |
| 2024 | +411 |
| 2025 | +100 |
Hardin County, anchored by Kountze and Silsbee in the East Texas timber belt, recorded an R+75.8 presidential margin in 2024—among the widest of any county in the state and consistent with heavily Republican voting patterns across rural Southeast Texas.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 75.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 75.8 points.
A population of 57,642, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,808 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Livingston Parish and Grady County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hardin County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48199/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.