Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMenard CountyTexasUnited States
German16.5%8.3%12.5%
English15.7%7.9%9.5%
Irish6.2%6.0%9.4%
Scottish3.5%1.3%1.3%
Norwegian3.1%——
French2.0%1.5%1.6%
Czech0.8%——
Scotch-Irish0.7%——
Mexican23.2%32.1%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.1%0.8%1.8%
Guatemalan0.3%0.4%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Menard County
Texas
United States
Median age
59.5
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
1.3%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
33.5%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Menard County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$53,043
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
18.9%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
24.0%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Menard County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
22.0%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
22.0%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Menard County
Texas
United States
Catholic
11.6%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
25.4%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
50.0%
45.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
13.0%
4.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Menard County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
7 precincts · 1,040 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Menard County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3
36
237
4
277
13.0%
85.6%
R+72.6
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2
41
183
1
225
18.2%
81.3%
R+63.1
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1
43
173
0
216
19.9%
80.1%
R+60.2
Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A
35
136
0
171
20.5%
79.5%
R+59.1
Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6
8
86
4
98
8.2%
87.8%
R+79.6
Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5
7
43
0
50
14.0%
86.0%
R+72.0
Precinct -Precinct 4BPrecinct 4B
0
3
0
3
0.0%
100.0%
R+100.0
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1904
+66.7%
1908
+56.3%
1912
+47.0%
1916
+65.0%
1920
−1.4%
1924
+9.9%
1928
−43.1%
1932
+71.3%
1936
+72.6%
1940
+64.8%
1944
+60.6%
1948
+38.2%
1952
−35.7%
1956
−31.8%
1960
−10.6%
1964
+19.4%
1968
−13.3%
1972
−40.3%
1976
+10.2%
1980
−5.6%
1984
−29.4%
1988
+5.3%
1992
+15.6%
1996
+4.5%
2000
−31.1%
2004
−39.0%
2008
−41.0%
2012
−58.2%
2016
−61.1%
2020
−60.9%
2024
−66.4%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
16.3%Harris170
82.8%Trump861
0.5%Oliver5 +2
R+66.4
R+5.5
R+65.0
1,040
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican82.8%861
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic16.3%170
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%5
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%3
OtherAll other candidates0.1%1
R
19.2%Biden197
80.1%Trump823
0.6%Jorgensen6
R+60.9
D+0.2
R+65.3
1,028
R
17.8%Clinton154
78.9%Trump682
2.9%Johnson25
R+61.1
R+2.9
R+63.2
864
R
20.1%Obama171
78.3%Romney665
1.3%Gray11
R+58.2
R+17.2
R+62.0
849
R
29.0%Obama295
69.9%McCain712
1.1%
R+41.0
R+2.0
R+48.2
1,018
R
30.0%Kerry331
69.0%Bush761
1.0%
R+39.0
R+7.9
R+36.5
1,103
R
33.7%Gore334
64.8%Bush642
0.9%Nader9
R+31.1
R+35.6
R+31.6
990
D
47.0%Clinton490
42.5%Dole443
9.8%Perot102
D+4.5
R+11.1
R+4.0
1,043
D
43.3%Clinton553
27.7%Bush354
28.7%Perot367
D+15.6
D+10.3
D+10.0
1,277
D
52.4%Dukakis614
47.1%Bush552
0.4%
D+5.3
D+34.7
D+13.0
1,171
R
35.0%Mondale394
64.4%Reagan725
0.5%
R+29.4
R+23.8
R+11.2
1,125
R
46.6%Carter489
52.2%Reagan548
1.2%
R+5.6
R+15.8
D+4.1
1,050
D
54.3%Carter543
44.1%Ford441
1.6%
D+10.2
D+50.5
D+8.1
1,000
R
29.6%McGovern273
69.9%Nixon644
0.4%
R+40.3
R+27.0
R+17.1
921
R
37.3%Humphrey362
50.6%Nixon491
12.2%
R+13.3
R+32.7
R+12.6
971
D
59.7%Johnson588
40.3%Goldwater397
0.0%
D+19.4
D+30.0
R+3.2
985
R
44.7%Kennedy491
55.3%Nixon608
0.0%
R+10.6
D+21.1
R+10.8
1,099
R
34.1%Stevenson318
65.9%Eisenhower614
0.0%
R+31.8
D+4.0
R+16.4
932
R
32.1%Stevenson399
67.9%Eisenhower843
0.0%
R+35.7
R+73.9
R+25.0
1,242
D
66.6%Truman663
28.4%Dewey283
5.0%
D+38.2
R+22.5
D+33.7
996
D
69.2%Roosevelt776
8.6%Dewey96
22.3%
D+60.6
R+4.2
D+53.1
1,122
D
82.4%Roosevelt1,153
17.6%Willkie246
0.1%
D+64.8
R+7.8
D+54.8
1,400
D
86.0%Roosevelt734
13.5%Landon115
0.5%
D+72.6
D+1.2
D+48.3
853
D
85.6%Roosevelt901
14.2%Hoover150
0.2%
D+71.3
D+114.5
D+53.5
1,053
R
28.4%Smith234
71.6%Hoover589
0.0%
R+43.1
R+53.0
R+25.7
823
D
52.6%Davis304
42.7%Coolidge247
4.7%La Follette27
D+9.9
D+11.3
D+35.0
578
R
46.2%Cox197
47.7%Harding203
6.1%
R+1.4
R+66.4
D+24.8
426
D
77.8%Wilson267
12.8%Hughes44
9.3%
D+65.0
D+18.0
D+61.9
343
D
54.5%Wilson109
7.5%Taft15
38.0%
D+47.0
R+9.3
D+27.5
200
D
73.8%Bryan152
17.5%Taft36
8.7%
D+56.3
R+10.4
D+65.9
206
D
79.8%Parker355
13.0%Roosevelt58
7.2%
D+66.7
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D+86.4
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
18.7%194
79.5%824
1,036
2020
R
18.9%189
79.7%797
1,000
2018
R
18.5%145
80.7%632
783
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Menard County, TX
Year
Total registered
2016
1,488
2018
1,437
2020
1,469
2022
1,420
2024
1,516
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+53 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +127 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $78,083 in average income, against $51,961 for residents who stayed — 50% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Menard County, TX in Menard County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+13
2012
+4
2013
−67
2014
−7
2015
+30
2016
−24
2017
+35
2018
+18
2019
+27
2021
+30
2022
+32
2023
+3
2024
−20
2025
+53
Menard's ranching economy and sparse settlement produce some of the most lopsided presidential tallies in the state — in 2024, the Republican margin exceeded 66 points in a county of roughly 2,300 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 66.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.4 points.
A population of 1,955, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,043 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lane County and Real County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Menard County, Texas voted Republican by 66.4 points (R+66.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,040 votes cast, 170 went Democratic and 861 went Republican.
When did Menard County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Menard County, Texas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Menard County, Texas?
Menard County, Texas has a population of 1,955 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Menard County, Texas?
Median household income in Menard County, Texas is $53,043 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Menard County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Menard County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
