HarrisDemocratic16.7%1,905TrumpRepublican83.0%9,500OliverLibertarian0.2%23
R+66.4- Lead
- 7,595
- Total
- 11,439
- vs nation
- R+64.9
- Turnout
- 67.6%
Akashiccounty
Panola County, TX
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President31 · 1904–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1904–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.6% of 17,034 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic18.0%2,057TrumpRepublican81.4%9,326JorgensenLibertarian0.5%57
R+63.4- Lead
- 7,269
- Total
- 11,458
- vs nation
- R+67.9
- Turnout
- 66.7%
ClintonDemocratic17.6%1,835TrumpRepublican81.1%8,445JohnsonLibertarian1.0%109
R+63.5- Lead
- 6,610
- Total
- 10,416
- vs nation
- R+65.6
- Turnout
- 60.6%
ObamaDemocratic21.6%2,211RomneyRepublican77.7%7,950GrayLibertarian0.7%67
R+56.1- Lead
- 5,739
- Total
- 10,230
- vs nation
- R+60.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic25.3%2,586McCainRepublican74.2%7,582OtherAll other candidates0.5%48
R+48.9- Lead
- 4,996
- Total
- 10,216
- vs nation
- R+56.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic29.6%2,958BushRepublican70.2%7,021OtherAll other candidates0.3%28
R+40.6- Lead
- 4,063
- Total
- 10,007
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.2%3,011BushRepublican65.8%5,975NaderGreen0.6%50
R+32.7- Lead
- 2,964
- Total
- 9,074
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic46.4%4,168DoleRepublican44.6%4,008PerotReform8.6%777
D+1.8- Lead
- 160
- Total
- 8,988
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+66.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,7262024 5-year
- Population density
- 28 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 811 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,8942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- LaSalle Parish, LA · twin score 95.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 67.6%11,516 participants ÷ 17,034 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 50.8%–54.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11,516 | 17,034 ± 185 | 67.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 8,373 | 16,789 ± 194 | 49.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 11,489 | 17,237 ± 211 | 66.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 8,778 | 17,196 ± 148 | 51.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,475 | 17,294 ± 146 | 60.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 10,230 | 17,265 | 59.3% | Derived | — | |
| 10,216 | 16,970 | 60.2% | Derived | — | |
| 10,007 | 16,675 extrapolated | 60.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Panola County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Panola County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ANDREW WHITE0—
ANGELA "TIAANGIE" VILLESCAZ0—
BOBBY COLE0—
CARLTON W. HART0—
CHRIS BELL0—
GINA HINOJOSA0—
Show all 9 candidates
JOSE NAVARRO BALBUENA0—
PATRICIA ABREGO0—
ZACH VANCE0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 19 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 11,439 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 204 | 1,344 | 2 | 1,550 | 13.2% | 86.7% | R+73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 293 | 1,182 | 6 | 1,481 | 19.8% | 79.8% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28 | 232 | 1,226 | 2 | 1,460 | 15.9% | 84.0% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 233 | 1,021 | 8 | 1,262 | 18.5% | 80.9% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 163 | 816 | 1 | 980 | 16.6% | 83.3% | R+66.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27 | 250 | 519 | 3 | 772 | 32.4% | 67.2% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 91 | 495 | 2 | 588 | 15.5% | 84.2% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 80 | 407 | 5 | 492 | 16.3% | 82.7% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 22 | 368 | 0 | 390 | 5.6% | 94.4% | R+88.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 22 | 324 | 0 | 346 | 6.4% | 93.6% | R+87.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 13 | 325 | 0 | 338 | 3.8% | 96.2% | R+92.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 12 | 250 | 1 | 263 | 4.6% | 95.1% | R+90.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 20 | 241 | 1 | 262 | 7.6% | 92.0% | R+84.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 97 | 157 | 1 | 255 | 38.0% | 61.6% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29 | 9 | 228 | 1 | 238 | 3.8% | 95.8% | R+92.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 57 | 172 | 0 | 229 | 24.9% | 75.1% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 55 | 173 | 0 | 228 | 24.1% | 75.9% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 26 | 154 | 1 | 181 | 14.4% | 85.1% | R+70.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 26 | 98 | 0 | 124 | 21.0% | 79.0% | R+58.1 |
presidential history
Party record book
Panola County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
97.1%
2,630 votes · D+95.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 95.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
83.0%
9,500 votes · R+66.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
4,168votes
46.4% of the vote · D+1.8
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 4,123 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,500votes
83.0% of the vote · R+66.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,326 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+113.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+88.2 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +78.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+67.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.4 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +65.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBryan HughesState Senate · 1
RJoanne ShofnerState House · 11
Seats representing Panola County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,372 |
| 2018 | 16,392 |
| 2020 | 16,808 |
| 2022 | 17,176 |
| 2024 | 17,836 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+22 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +46 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,833 in average income, against $92,088 for residents who stayed — 39% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+46.4 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Panola County, TX itself (R+66.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Harrison County, TX58R+50.6
- Rusk County, TX49R+59.4
- Gregg County, TX43R+42.2
- Shelby County, TX34R+64.6
- Caddo Parish, LA25D+4.6
- Smith County, TX23R+45.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Gregg County, TX59
- Harrison County, TX44
- Shelby County, TX36
- Rusk County, TX31
- Smith County, TX28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +166 |
| 2012 | −55 |
| 2013 | −246 |
| 2014 | −47 |
| 2015 | −149 |
| 2016 | −271 |
| 2017 | −226 |
| 2018 | −82 |
| 2019 | +53 |
| 2021 | +194 |
| 2022 | +274 |
| 2023 | +164 |
| 2024 | +249 |
| 2025 | +22 |
Panola County sits in East Texas's forested Sabine River corridor, where an economy built on timber and natural gas has accompanied decades of increasingly lopsided Republican margins, reaching R+66 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 66.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.4 points.
A population of 22,726, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,894 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of LaSalle Parish and Pearl River County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
LaSalle Parish
Louisiana
95.3twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Pearl River County
Mississippi
92.3twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry
Cullman County
Alabama
92.2twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Panola County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48365/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Panola County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Panola County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Panola County, Texas voted Republican by 66.4 points (R+66.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,439 votes cast, 1,905 went Democratic and 9,500 went Republican.
When did Panola County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Panola County, Texas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Panola County, Texas?
Panola County, Texas has a population of 22,726 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Panola County, Texas?
Median household income in Panola County, Texas is $64,894 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Panola County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Panola County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.