- Lead
- 16,456
- Total
- 24,671
- vs nation
- R+65.2
- Turnout
- 56.2%
Pearl River County, MS
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.2% of 43,906 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 15,447
- Total
- 24,033
- vs nation
- R+68.7
- Turnout
- 57.3%
- Lead
- 14,178
- Total
- 21,883
- vs nation
- R+66.9
- Turnout
- 52.3%
- Lead
- 13,183
- Total
- 22,224
- vs nation
- R+63.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 13,561
- Total
- 22,443
- vs nation
- R+67.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,424
- Total
- 19,487
- vs nation
- R+51.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,964
- Total
- 16,477
- vs nation
- R+42.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,320
- Total
- 14,377
- vs nation
- R+31.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+66.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 57,4582024 5-year
- Population density
- 71 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 811 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,1352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.4 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Panola County, TX · twin score 92.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 56.2%24,671 participants ÷ 43,906 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 29.3%–35.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24,671 | 43,906 ± 229 | 56.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 13,207 | 43,413 ± 302 | 30.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 24,498 | 42,759 ± 326 | 57.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 15,835 | 42,292 ± 287 | 37.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 21,883 | 41,864 ± 324 | 52.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 22,224 | 41,744 | 53.2% | Derived | — | |
| 22,443 | 41,865 | 53.6% | Derived | — | |
| 19,487 | 41,986 extrapolated | 46.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Pearl River County only. The complete district District 4 result is shown below for comparison.
Pearl River County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 4 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 61 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
61 precincts · 24,671 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Pic/Hawl/Nh 5Pic/Hawl/Nh 5 | 416 | 2,557 | 25 | 2,998 | 13.9% | 85.3% | R+71.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Carriere 5Carriere 5 | 166 | 1,536 | 10 | 1,712 | 9.7% | 89.7% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -Picayune 2Picayune 2 | 237 | 1,264 | 23 | 1,524 | 15.6% | 82.9% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -Ceasar 4Ceasar 4 | 133 | 1,361 | 11 | 1,505 | 8.8% | 90.4% | R+81.6 |
| Precinct -Nicholson 4Nicholson 4 | 183 | 1,151 | 7 | 1,341 | 13.6% | 85.8% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct -Poplarville 2Poplarville 2 | 151 | 1,059 | 14 | 1,224 | 12.3% | 86.5% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -Picayune 1 SouthsidePicayune 1 Southside | 865 | 292 | 19 | 1,176 | 73.6% | 24.8% | D+48.7 |
| Precinct -Carriere 3Carriere 3 | 102 | 1,016 | 17 | 1,135 | 9.0% | 89.5% | R+80.5 |
| Precinct -Poplarville 3Poplarville 3 | 128 | 944 | 17 | 1,089 | 11.8% | 86.7% | R+74.9 |
| Precinct -Salem 4Salem 4 | 88 | 917 | 7 | 1,012 | 8.7% | 90.6% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct -Henleyfield 2Henleyfield 2 | 99 | 826 | 9 | 934 | 10.6% | 88.4% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -Gumpond/Hickory Grove 3Gumpond/Hickory Grove 3 | 79 | 843 | 9 | 931 | 8.5% | 90.5% | R+82.1 |
| Precinct -Steep Hollow 3Steep Hollow 3 | 63 | 841 | 7 | 911 | 6.9% | 92.3% | R+85.4 |
| Precinct -Picayune 1 EastsidePicayune 1 Eastside | 393 | 479 | 15 | 887 | 44.3% | 54.0% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct -Mcneill 3Mcneill 3 | 68 | 788 | 3 | 859 | 7.9% | 91.7% | R+83.8 |
| Precinct -Pine Grove 4Pine Grove 4 | 60 | 735 | 7 | 802 | 7.5% | 91.6% | R+84.2 |
| Precinct -Sycamore 5Sycamore 5 | 94 | 703 | 4 | 801 | 11.7% | 87.8% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -Mill Creek 2Mill Creek 2 | 58 | 620 | 4 | 682 | 8.5% | 90.9% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -Crossroads 2Crossroads 2 | 53 | 536 | 9 | 598 | 8.9% | 89.6% | R+80.8 |
| Precinct -Poplarville 1Poplarville 1 | 159 | 303 | 9 | 471 | 33.8% | 64.3% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -Carriere 1Carriere 1 | 83 | 281 | 2 | 366 | 22.7% | 76.8% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -Whitesand 1Whitesand 1 | 173 | 174 | 5 | 352 | 49.1% | 49.4% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -Progress 3Progress 3 | 17 | 296 | 5 | 318 | 5.3% | 93.1% | R+87.7 |
| Precinct -Derby 1Derby 1 | 70 | 238 | 4 | 312 | 22.4% | 76.3% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -Amackertown 2Amackertown 2 | 14 | 260 | 5 | 279 | 5.0% | 93.2% | R+88.2 |
| Precinct -Springhill 2Springhill 2 | 20 | 228 | 3 | 251 | 8.0% | 90.8% | R+82.9 |
| Precinct -Springhill 3Springhill 3 | 10 | 190 | 1 | 201 | 5.0% | 94.5% | R+89.6 |
| Anchor Lake/West Union Voting District28_28109535 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buck Branch Voting District28_28109240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Byrd Line Voting District28_28109260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caesar Voting District28_28109320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carriere Voting District28_28109520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Derby Voting District28_28109130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ford's Creek Voting District28_28109250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gum Pond Voting District28_28109390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Henleyfield Voting District28_28109280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hickory Grove Voting District28_28109380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hide-A-Way North Hills Voting District28_28109540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McNeill 3 Voting District28_28109359 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McNeill 5 Voting District28_28109510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mill Creek Voting District28_28109210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nicholson Voting District28_28109420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oak Hill Voting District28_28109230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ozona Voting District28_28109310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 1 East Voting District28_28109140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 1 South Voting District28_28109160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 2 Voting District28_28109270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 4 East Voting District28_28109450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 4 West Voting District28_28109440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Picayune 5 Voting District28_28109550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine Grove Voting District28_28109410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poplarville 1 Voting District28_28109150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poplarville 2 Voting District28_28109220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poplarville 3 Voting District28_28109360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Progress Voting District28_28109350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salem Voting District28_28109430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Savannah Voting District28_28109330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steep Hollow Voting District28_28109340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sycamore Voting District28_28109525 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whitesand 1 Voting District28_28109110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whitesand 2 Voting District28_28109290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Pearl River County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1944
96.2%
2,131 votes · D+92.4
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · 95.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
88.0%
7,487 votes · R+77.4
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 84.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1980
5,028votes
41.4% of the vote · R+14.8
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 5,024 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
20,438votes
82.8% of the vote · R+66.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 19,595 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+111.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+92.0 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +105.4 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+91.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+69.0 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +68.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Pearl River County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 38,558 |
| 2018 | 39,768 |
| 2020 | 39,232 |
| 2022 | 38,268 |
| 2024 | 40,726 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+384 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,737 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,381 in average income, against $63,591 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.9 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Pearl River County, MS itself (R+66.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Tammany Parish, LA298R+43.8
- Hancock County, MS117R+58.7
- Jefferson Parish, LA84R+13.0
- Harrison County, MS76R+28.9
- Lamar County, MS58R+48.8
- St. Bernard Parish, LA43R+29.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Tammany Parish, LA163
- Hancock County, MS107
- Harrison County, MS76
- Lamar County, MS57
- Forrest County, MS55
- Jefferson Parish, LA39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −333 |
| 2012 | −562 |
| 2013 | −133 |
| 2014 | +276 |
| 2015 | −121 |
| 2016 | +177 |
| 2017 | +257 |
| 2018 | +219 |
| 2019 | +315 |
| 2021 | +626 |
| 2022 | +991 |
| 2023 | +849 |
| 2024 | +792 |
| 2025 | +384 |
Pearl River County, anchored by Poplarville in the longleaf pine belt, recorded an R+66.7 margin in 2024 — among the widest in a state already known for sharp partisan geographic sorting.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.4 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 77.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.7 points.
A population of 57,458, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,135 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Panola County and Beauregard Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pearl River County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.