HarrisDemocratic36.2%5,282TrumpRepublican62.8%9,162OliverLibertarian0.5%73
R+26.6- Lead
- 3,880
- Total
- 14,588
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Turnout
- 49.2%
Akashiccounty
Val Verde County, TX
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President31 · 1904–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1904–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 49.2% of 29,893 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic44.3%6,771TrumpRepublican54.2%8,284JorgensenLibertarian1.1%170
R+9.9- Lead
- 1,513
- Total
- 15,280
- vs nation
- R+14.4
- Turnout
- 52.5%
ClintonDemocratic51.1%6,964TrumpRepublican43.3%5,890JohnsonLibertarian4.2%569
D+7.9- Lead
- 1,074
- Total
- 13,617
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Turnout
- 49.5%
ObamaDemocratic52.0%6,285RomneyRepublican46.6%5,635GrayLibertarian1.0%123
D+5.4- Lead
- 650
- Total
- 12,081
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic54.5%6,982McCainRepublican44.9%5,752OtherAll other candidates0.7%86
D+9.6- Lead
- 1,230
- Total
- 12,820
- vs nation
- D+2.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic40.3%4,757BushRepublican59.1%6,968OtherAll other candidates0.6%70
R+18.7- Lead
- 2,211
- Total
- 11,795
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic44.1%5,056BushRepublican54.2%6,223NaderGreen1.1%129
R+10.2- Lead
- 1,167
- Total
- 11,474
- vs nation
- R+10.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.0%5,623DoleRepublican41.1%4,357PerotReform5.2%548
D+11.9- Lead
- 1,266
- Total
- 10,600
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,7412024 5-year
- Population density
- 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,145 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,1002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 15.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 81.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cameron County, TX · twin score 94.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 49.2%14,697 participants ÷ 29,893 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 29.4%–34.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14,697 | 29,893 ± 990 | 49.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 9,633 | 29,384 ± 1,015 | 32.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 15,421 | 29,358 ± 1,011 | 52.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 11,754 | 29,005 ± 807 | 40.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 14,191 | 28,691 ± 702 | 49.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 12,081 | 27,719 | 43.6% | Derived | — | |
| 12,820 | 27,346 | 46.9% | Derived | — | |
| 11,795 | 26,973 extrapolated | 43.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Val Verde County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Val Verde County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ANDREW WHITE0—
ANGELA "TIAANGIE" VILLESCAZ0—
BOBBY COLE0—
CARLTON W. HART0—
CHRIS BELL0—
GINA HINOJOSA0—
Show all 9 candidates
JOSE NAVARRO BALBUENA0—
PATRICIA ABREGO0—
ZACH VANCE0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 19 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 14,612 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31 | 749 | 1,619 | 32 | 2,400 | 31.2% | 67.5% | R+36.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 40Precinct 40 | 995 | 1,290 | 27 | 2,312 | 43.0% | 55.8% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 621 | 874 | 23 | 1,518 | 40.9% | 57.6% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33 | 305 | 1,173 | 6 | 1,484 | 20.6% | 79.0% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30 | 481 | 796 | 14 | 1,291 | 37.3% | 61.7% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 432 | 571 | 15 | 1,018 | 42.4% | 56.1% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 431 | 414 | 6 | 851 | 50.6% | 48.6% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 41Precinct 41 | 260 | 494 | 8 | 762 | 34.1% | 64.8% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 267 | 466 | 16 | 749 | 35.6% | 62.2% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 244 | 443 | 8 | 695 | 35.1% | 63.7% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 315 | 348 | 8 | 671 | 46.9% | 51.9% | R+4.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32 | 31 | 173 | 1 | 205 | 15.1% | 84.4% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 39 | 146 | 2 | 187 | 20.9% | 78.1% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 18 | 130 | 1 | 149 | 12.1% | 87.2% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12BPrecinct 12B | 49 | 85 | 0 | 134 | 36.6% | 63.4% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12APrecinct 12A | 36 | 62 | 0 | 98 | 36.7% | 63.3% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 43Precinct 43 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 53 | 11.3% | 88.7% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 42Precinct 42 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 31 | 6.5% | 90.3% | R+83.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12CPrecinct 12C | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
Val Verde County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
76.9%
1,412 votes · D+54.0
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 75.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.2%
4,052 votes · R+32.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 62.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
6,982votes
54.5% of the vote · D+9.6
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 6,964 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,162votes
62.8% of the vote · R+26.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,284 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+75.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+55.5 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +49.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+25.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.6 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +16.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RTony GonzalesU.S. House · TX-23
DRoland GutierrezState Senate · 19
DEddie MoralesState House · 74
Seats representing Val Verde County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 27,690 |
| 2018 | 27,972 |
| 2020 | 28,927 |
| 2022 | 29,351 |
| 2024 | 30,117 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−376 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −6,890 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,185 in average income, against $57,472 for residents who stayed — 2% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.0 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Val Verde County, TX itself (R+26.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bexar County, TX157D+9.7
- Tom Green County, TX29R+48.0
- Maverick County, TX26R+18.5
- Tarrant County, TX26R+5.1
- El Paso County, CO25R+9.8
- Harris County, TX24D+5.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX217
- Tom Green County, TX43
- Travis County, TX26
- Maverick County, TX25
- Midland County, TX25
- Harris County, TX21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −583 |
| 2012 | −736 |
| 2013 | −561 |
| 2014 | −884 |
| 2015 | −635 |
| 2016 | −633 |
| 2017 | −373 |
| 2018 | −349 |
| 2019 | −329 |
| 2021 | −253 |
| 2022 | −332 |
| 2023 | −377 |
| 2024 | −469 |
| 2025 | −376 |
Val Verde sits along 90 miles of the Rio Grande opposite Coahuila, Mexico, and its majority-Hispanic electorate has trended Republican over successive cycles, producing a 26-point margin in 2024 after delivering much narrower results a decade earlier.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.5 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 32.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 16.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.6 points.
A population of 47,741, a 15% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,100 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cameron County and Uvalde County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cameron County
Texas
94.1twin score
elasticity% Latino% White≠ population scale
Uvalde County
Texas
93.8twin score
% Latino% WhiteMexican ancestry≠ elasticity
Valencia County
New Mexico
92.5twin score
% Latinoelasticity% White≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Val Verde County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48465/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Val Verde County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Val Verde County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Val Verde County, Texas voted Republican by 26.6 points (R+26.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,588 votes cast, 5,282 went Democratic and 9,162 went Republican.
When did Val Verde County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Val Verde County, Texas voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in Val Verde County, Texas?
Val Verde County, Texas has a population of 47,741 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Val Verde County, Texas?
Median household income in Val Verde County, Texas is $66,100 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Val Verde County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Val Verde County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.