- Lead
- 6,733
- Total
- 116,153
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- 47.5%
Cameron County, TX
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 47.5% of 247,453 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 15,031
- Total
- 114,326
- vs nation
- D+8.7
- Turnout
- 49.0%
- Lead
- 29,930
- Total
- 92,665
- vs nation
- D+30.2
- Turnout
- 42.6%
- Lead
- 23,876
- Total
- 76,895
- vs nation
- D+27.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 21,809
- Total
- 75,657
- vs nation
- D+21.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 803
- Total
- 69,156
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,414
- Total
- 62,057
- vs nation
- D+8.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,457
- Total
- 56,493
- vs nation
- D+20.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 426,1202024 5-year
- Population density
- 478 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 892 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,6012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 89.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.9 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hidalgo County, TX · twin score 99.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 47.5%117,602 participants ÷ 247,453 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.8 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 30.7%–35.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117,602 | 247,453 ± 2,518 | 47.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 77,958 | 242,069 ± 2,788 | 32.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 115,666 | 236,106 ± 2,874 | 49.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 79,358 | 227,665 ± 2,228 | 34.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 94,995 | 222,777 ± 2,212 | 42.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 76,895 | 209,688 | 36.7% | Derived | — | |
| 75,657 | 192,963 | 39.2% | Derived | — | |
| 69,156 | 176,238 extrapolated | 39.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Cameron County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Cameron County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 9 candidates
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 101 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
101 precincts · 116,309 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 98Precinct 98 | 1,306 | 1,405 | 30 | 2,741 | 47.6% | 51.3% | R+3.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 1,243 | 1,458 | 21 | 2,722 | 45.7% | 53.6% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 80Precinct 80 | 928 | 1,682 | 27 | 2,637 | 35.2% | 63.8% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 100Precinct 100 | 1,156 | 1,414 | 39 | 2,609 | 44.3% | 54.2% | R+9.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 54Precinct 54 | 1,322 | 1,173 | 21 | 2,516 | 52.5% | 46.6% | D+5.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 74Precinct 74 | 1,055 | 1,194 | 20 | 2,269 | 46.5% | 52.6% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 67Precinct 67 | 888 | 1,352 | 20 | 2,260 | 39.3% | 59.8% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 994 | 1,202 | 23 | 2,219 | 44.8% | 54.2% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 72Precinct 72 | 1,005 | 1,118 | 11 | 2,134 | 47.1% | 52.4% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 73Precinct 73 | 1,109 | 986 | 24 | 2,119 | 52.3% | 46.5% | D+5.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 44Precinct 44 | 896 | 1,113 | 28 | 2,037 | 44.0% | 54.6% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 46Precinct 46 | 976 | 1,008 | 18 | 2,002 | 48.8% | 50.3% | R+1.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 838 | 1,087 | 21 | 1,946 | 43.1% | 55.9% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 48Precinct 48 | 940 | 967 | 20 | 1,927 | 48.8% | 50.2% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 79Precinct 79 | 879 | 1,016 | 28 | 1,923 | 45.7% | 52.8% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 88Precinct 88 | 795 | 1,045 | 15 | 1,855 | 42.9% | 56.3% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 41Precinct 41 | 1,006 | 780 | 17 | 1,803 | 55.8% | 43.3% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 85Precinct 85 | 722 | 1,043 | 9 | 1,774 | 40.7% | 58.8% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 78Precinct 78 | 808 | 931 | 12 | 1,751 | 46.1% | 53.2% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 66Precinct 66 | 635 | 1,063 | 20 | 1,718 | 37.0% | 61.9% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 76Precinct 76 | 900 | 782 | 26 | 1,708 | 52.7% | 45.8% | D+6.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 55Precinct 55 | 791 | 879 | 10 | 1,680 | 47.1% | 52.3% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 62Precinct 62 | 893 | 745 | 18 | 1,656 | 53.9% | 45.0% | D+8.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 53Precinct 53 | 782 | 861 | 11 | 1,654 | 47.3% | 52.1% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 71Precinct 71 | 810 | 806 | 12 | 1,628 | 49.8% | 49.5% | D+0.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 96Precinct 96 | 806 | 791 | 12 | 1,609 | 50.1% | 49.2% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 723 | 867 | 17 | 1,607 | 45.0% | 54.0% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 69Precinct 69 | 861 | 708 | 16 | 1,585 | 54.3% | 44.7% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 52Precinct 52 | 603 | 917 | 14 | 1,534 | 39.3% | 59.8% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 75Precinct 75 | 741 | 764 | 11 | 1,516 | 48.9% | 50.4% | R+1.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29 | 566 | 938 | 11 | 1,515 | 37.4% | 61.9% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 726 | 766 | 15 | 1,507 | 48.2% | 50.8% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32 | 712 | 772 | 12 | 1,496 | 47.6% | 51.6% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 58Precinct 58 | 585 | 860 | 7 | 1,452 | 40.3% | 59.2% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 36Precinct 36 | 633 | 737 | 10 | 1,380 | 45.9% | 53.4% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 87Precinct 87 | 562 | 794 | 6 | 1,362 | 41.3% | 58.3% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 574 | 773 | 9 | 1,356 | 42.3% | 57.0% | R+14.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28 | 578 | 730 | 9 | 1,317 | 43.9% | 55.4% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 56Precinct 56 | 586 | 713 | 15 | 1,314 | 44.6% | 54.3% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 50Precinct 50 | 638 | 647 | 9 | 1,294 | 49.3% | 50.0% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 65Precinct 65 | 574 | 697 | 9 | 1,280 | 44.8% | 54.5% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 626 | 630 | 8 | 1,264 | 49.5% | 49.8% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 49Precinct 49 | 520 | 721 | 13 | 1,254 | 41.5% | 57.5% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27 | 619 | 595 | 6 | 1,220 | 50.7% | 48.8% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 533 | 669 | 13 | 1,215 | 43.9% | 55.1% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 606 | 592 | 10 | 1,208 | 50.2% | 49.0% | D+1.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 68Precinct 68 | 583 | 615 | 9 | 1,207 | 48.3% | 51.0% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 61Precinct 61 | 643 | 541 | 11 | 1,195 | 53.8% | 45.3% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 84Precinct 84 | 571 | 592 | 15 | 1,178 | 48.5% | 50.3% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 40Precinct 40 | 597 | 541 | 8 | 1,146 | 52.1% | 47.2% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 81Precinct 81 | 386 | 732 | 7 | 1,125 | 34.3% | 65.1% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 77Precinct 77 | 549 | 565 | 8 | 1,122 | 48.9% | 50.4% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 527 | 572 | 6 | 1,105 | 47.7% | 51.8% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 601 | 473 | 17 | 1,091 | 55.1% | 43.4% | D+11.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 608 | 471 | 9 | 1,088 | 55.9% | 43.3% | D+12.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 34Precinct 34 | 393 | 683 | 9 | 1,085 | 36.2% | 62.9% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 82Precinct 82 | 413 | 551 | 10 | 974 | 42.4% | 56.6% | R+14.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 83Precinct 83 | 478 | 467 | 8 | 953 | 50.2% | 49.0% | D+1.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 501 | 435 | 8 | 944 | 53.1% | 46.1% | D+7.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 63Precinct 63 | 522 | 356 | 11 | 889 | 58.7% | 40.0% | D+18.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 47Precinct 47 | 472 | 398 | 9 | 879 | 53.7% | 45.3% | D+8.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 414 | 448 | 13 | 875 | 47.3% | 51.2% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 37Precinct 37 | 459 | 401 | 5 | 865 | 53.1% | 46.4% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 86Precinct 86 | 413 | 441 | 6 | 860 | 48.0% | 51.3% | R+3.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 45Precinct 45 | 420 | 399 | 12 | 831 | 50.5% | 48.0% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 405 | 392 | 8 | 805 | 50.3% | 48.7% | D+1.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 89Precinct 89 | 334 | 447 | 6 | 787 | 42.4% | 56.8% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 302 | 472 | 5 | 779 | 38.8% | 60.6% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 94Precinct 94 | 362 | 382 | 10 | 754 | 48.0% | 50.7% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 91Precinct 91 | 314 | 430 | 4 | 748 | 42.0% | 57.5% | R+15.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 320 | 399 | 9 | 728 | 44.0% | 54.8% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 393 | 322 | 6 | 721 | 54.5% | 44.7% | D+9.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 35Precinct 35 | 324 | 381 | 10 | 715 | 45.3% | 53.3% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 51Precinct 51 | 297 | 358 | 8 | 663 | 44.8% | 54.0% | R+9.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30 | 242 | 407 | 8 | 657 | 36.8% | 61.9% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 60Precinct 60 | 276 | 313 | 3 | 592 | 46.6% | 52.9% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 281 | 276 | 6 | 563 | 49.9% | 49.0% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 43Precinct 43 | 272 | 286 | 5 | 563 | 48.3% | 50.8% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 39Precinct 39 | 263 | 259 | 2 | 524 | 50.2% | 49.4% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 42Precinct 42 | 265 | 212 | 8 | 485 | 54.6% | 43.7% | D+10.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 153 | 322 | 1 | 476 | 32.1% | 67.6% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 38Precinct 38 | 217 | 220 | 4 | 441 | 49.2% | 49.9% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 247 | 174 | 6 | 427 | 57.8% | 40.7% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 70Precinct 70 | 230 | 195 | 2 | 427 | 53.9% | 45.7% | D+8.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 229 | 187 | 6 | 422 | 54.3% | 44.3% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 203 | 212 | 3 | 418 | 48.6% | 50.7% | R+2.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 95Precinct 95 | 183 | 178 | 1 | 362 | 50.6% | 49.2% | D+1.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 131 | 224 | 0 | 355 | 36.9% | 63.1% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33 | 181 | 147 | 5 | 333 | 54.4% | 44.1% | D+10.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 59Precinct 59 | 103 | 198 | 2 | 303 | 34.0% | 65.3% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 97Precinct 97 | 179 | 107 | 3 | 289 | 61.9% | 37.0% | D+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 99Precinct 99 | 103 | 161 | 2 | 266 | 38.7% | 60.5% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 155 | 102 | 3 | 260 | 59.6% | 39.2% | D+20.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 64Precinct 64 | 102 | 155 | 0 | 257 | 39.7% | 60.3% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 90Precinct 90 | 108 | 126 | 3 | 237 | 45.6% | 53.2% | R+7.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 109 | 94 | 4 | 207 | 52.7% | 45.4% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 93Precinct 93 | 107 | 96 | 0 | 203 | 52.7% | 47.3% | D+5.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 57Precinct 57 | 84 | 80 | 1 | 165 | 50.9% | 48.5% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31 | 93 | 62 | 1 | 156 | 59.6% | 39.7% | D+19.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 45 | 100 | 0 | 145 | 31.0% | 69.0% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 92Precinct 92 | 47 | 43 | 1 | 91 | 51.6% | 47.3% | D+4.4 |
presidential history
Party record book
Cameron County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
93.5%
1,089 votes · D+87.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · 88.3%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
64.9%
14,018 votes · R+29.9
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 60.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
64,063votes
56.0% of the vote · D+13.1
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 59,402 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
60,991votes
52.5% of the vote · R+5.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 49,032 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+106.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+87.1 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · +62.7 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
+19.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.9 · U.S. R+10.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +4.3 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Cameron County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 197,060 |
| 2018 | 206,391 |
| 2020 | 218,910 |
| 2022 | 227,694 |
| 2024 | 238,215 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,837 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −35,592 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,859 in average income, against $51,326 for residents who stayed — 22% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.2 on average — 9.0 points more Democratic-leaning than Cameron County, TX itself (R+5.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hidalgo County, TX881R+2.9
- Harris County, TX365D+5.5
- Bexar County, TX337D+9.7
- Travis County, TX174D+39.3
- Willacy County, TX111R+3.3
- Nueces County, TX104R+11.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hidalgo County, TX1,019
- Bexar County, TX684
- Harris County, TX432
- Travis County, TX253
- Nueces County, TX135
- Dallas County, TX116
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −644 |
| 2012 | −2,970 |
| 2013 | −3,872 |
| 2014 | −3,782 |
| 2015 | −4,861 |
| 2016 | −3,257 |
| 2017 | −3,364 |
| 2018 | −3,590 |
| 2019 | −2,407 |
| 2021 | −554 |
| 2022 | −613 |
| 2023 | −1,918 |
| 2024 | −1,923 |
| 2025 | −1,837 |
Cameron County, anchored by Brownsville and a population that is roughly 90% Hispanic, recorded a 5.8-point Republican margin in 2024 — a dramatic reversal from the double-digit Democratic leads it posted as recently as 2016.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.1 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 29.9 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 18.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.8 points.
A population of 426,120, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,601 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hidalgo County and Webb County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cameron County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48061/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.