Willacy County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 5,563 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 380 | 392 | 2 | 774 | 49.1% | 50.6% | R+1.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A | 386 | 320 | 6 | 712 | 54.2% | 44.9% | D+9.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 239 | 287 | 4 | 530 | 45.1% | 54.2% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A | 275 | 239 | 8 | 522 | 52.7% | 45.8% | D+6.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 244 | 225 | 3 | 472 | 51.7% | 47.7% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 227 | 213 | 2 | 442 | 51.4% | 48.2% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7APrecinct 7A | 240 | 195 | 1 | 436 | 55.0% | 44.7% | D+10.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8APrecinct 8A | 138 | 139 | 2 | 279 | 49.5% | 49.8% | R+0.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 50 | 204 | 2 | 256 | 19.5% | 79.7% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11APrecinct 11A | 111 | 125 | 1 | 237 | 46.8% | 52.7% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 109 | 121 | 0 | 230 | 47.4% | 52.6% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 72 | 149 | 1 | 222 | 32.4% | 67.1% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 63 | 70 | 1 | 134 | 47.0% | 52.2% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 52 | 80 | 0 | 132 | 39.4% | 60.6% | R+21.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 48 | 45 | 0 | 93 | 51.6% | 48.4% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 21 | 36 | 1 | 58 | 36.2% | 62.1% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 18 | 16 | 0 | 34 | 52.9% | 47.1% | D+5.9 |
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +90.7% |
| 1916 | +83.3% |
| 1920 | +71.0% |
| 1924 | +45.4% |
| 1928 | +0.9% |
| 1932 | +60.1% |
| 1936 | +44.7% |
| 1940 | +22.6% |
| 1944 | +5.3% |
| 1948 | +24.1% |
| 1952 | −25.7% |
| 1956 | −13.4% |
| 1960 | +21.3% |
| 1964 | +27.2% |
| 1968 | +18.9% |
| 1972 | −25.0% |
| 1976 | +31.6% |
| 1980 | +20.6% |
| 1984 | +12.9% |
| 1988 | +28.6% |
| 1992 | +33.9% |
| 1996 | +45.4% |
| 2000 | +28.2% |
| 2004 | +10.6% |
| 2008 | +39.8% |
| 2012 | +43.1% |
| 2016 | +36.8% |
| 2020 | +11.9% |
| 2024 | −3.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,226 |
| 2018 | 12,151 |
| 2020 | 12,804 |
| 2022 | 11,728 |
| 2024 | 11,703 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−152 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,379 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $37,211 in average income, against $44,274 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.8 on average — 1.5 points more Republican-leaning than Willacy County, TX itself (R+3.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cameron County, TX88R+5.8
- Hidalgo County, TX48R+2.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cameron County, TX111
- Hidalgo County, TX76
- Bexar County, TX26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −253 |
| 2012 | −133 |
| 2013 | −347 |
| 2014 | −222 |
| 2015 | −229 |
| 2016 | −261 |
| 2017 | −328 |
| 2018 | −154 |
| 2019 | −168 |
| 2021 | +167 |
| 2022 | −61 |
| 2023 | −229 |
| 2024 | −9 |
| 2025 | −152 |
Willacy County, anchored by Raymondville and sitting along the Gulf coastal plain, backed Democratic presidential candidates by double digits as recently as 2016 before narrowing to R+3.3 in 2024—one of the starkest swings among majority-Hispanic counties in the Rio Grande Valley.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 25.7 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 15.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.3 points.
A population of 20,139, a 10% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,180 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Frio County and Cameron County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Willacy County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48489/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.