HarrisDemocratic26.7%2,525TrumpRepublican71.1%6,719OliverLibertarian1.0%90
R+44.4- Lead
- 4,194
- Total
- 9,445
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 63.2%
Akashiccounty
Carbon County, UT
Contests in this Place (85 available)
President33 · 1896–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1896–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.2% of 15,210 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.4%2,392TrumpRepublican71.1%6,693JorgensenLibertarian1.6%151
R+45.7- Lead
- 4,301
- Total
- 9,420
- vs nation
- R+50.1
- Turnout
- 63.8%
ClintonDemocratic21.5%1,717TrumpRepublican65.9%5,275McMullinBetter For America7.7%615
R+44.5- Lead
- 3,558
- Total
- 7,999
- vs nation
- R+46.6
- Turnout
- 53.9%
ObamaDemocratic30.1%2,275RomneyRepublican67.3%5,090OtherAll other candidates2.7%202
R+37.2- Lead
- 2,815
- Total
- 7,567
- vs nation
- R+41.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.6%3,468McCainRepublican52.6%4,091OtherAll other candidates2.8%218
R+8.0- Lead
- 623
- Total
- 7,777
- vs nation
- R+15.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic40.1%3,415BushRepublican58.2%4,950OtherAll other candidates1.7%143
R+18.0- Lead
- 1,535
- Total
- 8,508
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic44.7%3,298BushRepublican50.9%3,758NaderGreen2.9%213
R+6.2- Lead
- 460
- Total
- 7,384
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic55.0%4,172DoleRepublican30.9%2,343PerotReform12.6%952
D+24.1- Lead
- 1,829
- Total
- 7,582
- vs nation
- D+15.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 20,5172024 5-year
- Population density
- 14 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,479 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,3772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.7 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sweetwater County, WY · twin score 65.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 63.2%9,610 participants ÷ 15,210 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -7.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 45.2%–51.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9,610 | 15,210 ± 163 | 63.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 6,804 | 14,852 ± 137 | 45.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 9,415 | 14,764 ± 178 | 63.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 7,085 | 14,577 ± 167 | 48.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,999 | 14,834 ± 177 | 53.9% | Audited | C/A | |
| 7,567 | 15,157 | 49.9% | Derived | — | |
| 7,777 | 14,124 | 55.1% | Derived | — | |
| 8,508 | 13,091 extrapolated | 65.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Carbon County only. The complete district District 3 result is shown below for comparison.
Carbon County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
CELESTE MALOY0—
PHIL LYMAN0—
District District 3 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 20 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 9,438 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -3737 | 165 | 524 | 32 | 721 | 22.9% | 72.7% | R+49.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -2222 | 94 | 576 | 13 | 683 | 13.8% | 84.3% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -3838 | 152 | 509 | 12 | 673 | 22.6% | 75.6% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -1919 | 138 | 514 | 15 | 667 | 20.7% | 77.1% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -2020 | 188 | 407 | 19 | 614 | 30.6% | 66.3% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -3939 | 144 | 452 | 10 | 606 | 23.8% | 74.6% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -3030 | 170 | 415 | 9 | 594 | 28.6% | 69.9% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -1717 | 173 | 389 | 11 | 573 | 30.2% | 67.9% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -2121 | 227 | 336 | 5 | 568 | 40.0% | 59.2% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -1616 | 168 | 379 | 8 | 555 | 30.3% | 68.3% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -3636 | 103 | 389 | 11 | 503 | 20.5% | 77.3% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -3434 | 116 | 371 | 11 | 498 | 23.3% | 74.5% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -3232 | 159 | 311 | 14 | 484 | 32.9% | 64.3% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -77 | 185 | 268 | 10 | 463 | 40.0% | 57.9% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct -3333 | 116 | 288 | 6 | 410 | 28.3% | 70.2% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -3131 | 103 | 205 | 7 | 315 | 32.7% | 65.1% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -2727 | 67 | 184 | 4 | 255 | 26.3% | 72.2% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -4040 | 36 | 156 | 3 | 195 | 18.5% | 80.0% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -33 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 31 | 38.7% | 61.3% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -22 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 30 | 20.0% | 76.7% | R+56.7 |
presidential history
Party record book
Carbon County, UT · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1896–2024 · 33 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
88.6%
663 votes · D+77.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 77.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
71.1%
6,719 votes · R+44.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
6,397votes
68.3% of the vote · D+39.5
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 6,039 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,719votes
71.1% of the vote · R+44.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6,693 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+83.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+77.3 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +36.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+50.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +46.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RDavid HinkinsState Senate · 26
RChristine WatkinsState House · 67
Seats representing Carbon County, UT. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.3%2,408 | 73.7%6,740 | 9,148 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+40.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+44.4
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.8 points more Republican than the rolls.
10,973 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+142 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,075 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,751 in average income, against $67,079 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.7 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Carbon County, UT itself (R+44.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Salt Lake County, UT89D+10.2
- Utah County, UT64R+39.8
- Emery County, UT52R+74.6
- Davis County, UT21R+24.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Utah County, UT67
- Salt Lake County, UT55
- Emery County, UT48
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −215 |
| 2012 | −232 |
| 2013 | −424 |
| 2014 | −334 |
| 2015 | −298 |
| 2016 | −96 |
| 2017 | −189 |
| 2018 | +57 |
| 2019 | +180 |
| 2021 | −94 |
| 2022 | +237 |
| 2023 | +148 |
| 2024 | +43 |
| 2025 | +142 |
Carbon County's economy was built on coal mining, and that heritage tracks closely with its voting patterns — the county swung to Republicans by 44 points in 2024, among the widest margins in a state already tilted heavily right.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.3 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 45.7 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.4 points.
A population of 20,517, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,377 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sweetwater County and Tooele County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Sweetwater County
Wyoming
65.3twin score
% Evangelical2012–2020 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Tooele County
Utah
61.1twin score
elasticity% EvangelicalEnglish ancestry≠ median income
Power County
Idaho
59.0twin score
elasticity% EvangelicalEnglish ancestry≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carbon County, Utah. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/49007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Carbon County
Utah at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Carbon County, Utah vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carbon County, Utah voted Republican by 44.4 points (R+44.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,445 votes cast, 2,525 went Democratic and 6,719 went Republican.
When did Carbon County, Utah last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carbon County, Utah voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Carbon County, Utah?
Carbon County, Utah has a population of 20,517 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carbon County, Utah?
Median household income in Carbon County, Utah is $58,377 — below the national median of $80,734. The Utah state median is $95,166.
What is the political history of Carbon County, Utah?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carbon County, Utah from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.