- Lead
- 4,814
- Total
- 25,893
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Turnout
- 78.0%
Knox County, ME
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 78.0% of 33,597 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,128
- Total
- 26,032
- vs nation
- D+15.2
- Turnout
- 80.4%
- Lead
- 3,295
- Total
- 23,147
- vs nation
- D+12.1
- Turnout
- 75.1%
- Lead
- 4,975
- Total
- 22,067
- vs nation
- D+18.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,912
- Total
- 22,980
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,587
- Total
- 23,247
- vs nation
- D+13.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 485
- Total
- 20,501
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,647
- Total
- 18,883
- vs nation
- D+5.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,0032024 5-year
- Population density
- 112 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 365 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,0962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.6 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hancock County, ME · twin score 96.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 78.0%26,218 participants ÷ 33,597 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 65.0%–66.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26,218 | 33,597 ± 325 | 78.0% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2022Mid | 22,397 | 33,231 ± 329 | 67.4% | Audited | B/A |
| 26,032 | 32,383 ± 300 | 80.4% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2018Mid | 20,925 | 32,132 ± 273 | 65.1% | Audited | B/A |
| 23,926 | 31,876 ± 251 | 75.1% | Audited | B/A | |
| 22,067 | 31,817 | 69.4% | Derived | — | |
| 22,980 | 32,684 | 70.3% | Derived | — | |
| 23,247 | 33,551 extrapolated | 69.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Knox County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Knox County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 18 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 25,893 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 131002301313100 | 2,529 | 1,272 | 108 | 3,909 | 64.7% | 32.5% | D+32.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 130202301313020 | 2,834 | 725 | 74 | 3,633 | 78.0% | 20.0% | D+58.1 |
| Precinct 131102301313110 | 1,713 | 742 | 55 | 2,510 | 68.2% | 29.6% | D+38.7 |
| Precinct 131702301313170 | 980 | 1,372 | 54 | 2,406 | 40.7% | 57.0% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct 131202301313120 | 1,076 | 715 | 25 | 1,816 | 59.3% | 39.4% | D+19.9 |
| Precinct 131502301313150 | 762 | 863 | 33 | 1,658 | 46.0% | 52.1% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct 131402301313140 | 911 | 664 | 30 | 1,605 | 56.8% | 41.4% | D+15.4 |
| Precinct 130502301313050 | 651 | 456 | 31 | 1,138 | 57.2% | 40.1% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct 130902301313090 | 592 | 497 | 11 | 1,100 | 53.8% | 45.2% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct 131302301313130 | 616 | 426 | 16 | 1,058 | 58.2% | 40.3% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct 131802301313180 | 434 | 577 | 30 | 1,041 | 41.7% | 55.4% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct 130302301313030 | 445 | 566 | 21 | 1,032 | 43.1% | 54.8% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct 130102301313010 | 477 | 421 | 27 | 925 | 51.6% | 45.5% | D+6.1 |
| Precinct 130402301313040 | 303 | 523 | 13 | 839 | 36.1% | 62.3% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct 131602301313160 | 468 | 333 | 12 | 813 | 57.6% | 41.0% | D+16.6 |
| Precinct 130802301313080 | 207 | 80 | 12 | 299 | 69.2% | 26.8% | D+42.5 |
| Precinct 130602301313060 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 64 | 70.3% | 26.6% | D+43.8 |
| Precinct 130702301313070 | 33 | 13 | 1 | 47 | 70.2% | 27.7% | D+42.6 |
presidential history
Party record book
Knox County, ME · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
61.4%
7,022 votes · D+22.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 59.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
81.3%
8,866 votes · R+62.6
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 78.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
15,110votes
58.0% of the vote · D+19.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 15,076 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
11,311votes
65.0% of the vote · R+30.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 10,262 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+20.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.6 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +18.7 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
+51.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +47.9 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Knox County, ME. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 7 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 65.9%12,689 | 34.1%6,578 | 19,267 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.0 points more Democratic than the rolls.
32,311 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+426 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,560 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $89,379 in average income, against $81,493 for residents who stayed — 10% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.2 on average — 7.4 points more Republican-leaning than Knox County, ME itself (D+18.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lincoln County, ME95D+11.3
- Waldo County, ME87D+3.4
- Cumberland County, ME63D+35.3
- Kennebec County, ME52R+2.7
- Penobscot County, ME33R+10.9
- Hancock County, ME27D+11.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lincoln County, ME114
- Waldo County, ME111
- Cumberland County, ME88
- Kennebec County, ME62
- Penobscot County, ME40
- York County, ME25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +46 |
| 2012 | −28 |
| 2013 | +91 |
| 2014 | +143 |
| 2015 | +33 |
| 2016 | +149 |
| 2017 | +185 |
| 2018 | +101 |
| 2019 | +199 |
| 2021 | +657 |
| 2022 | +385 |
| 2023 | +30 |
| 2024 | +143 |
| 2025 | +426 |
Knox County's rugged Penobscot Bay coastline anchors an economy split between tourism, fishing, and the arts, drawing a mix of longtime residents and transplants whose combined preferences have produced consistent Democratic margins well above the national average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 62.6 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.6 points.
A population of 41,003, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,096 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hancock County and Lincoln County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Knox County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.