HarrisDemocratic32.7%9,947TrumpRepublican66.1%20,093KennedyNonpartisan0.4%125
R+33.4- Lead
- 10,146
- Total
- 30,403
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Turnout
- 75.0%
Akashiccounty
Waupaca County, WI
Contests in this Place (90 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.0% of 40,861 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic33.3%9,703TrumpRepublican65.1%18,952JorgensenLibertarian1.2%357
R+31.8- Lead
- 9,249
- Total
- 29,130
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Turnout
- 73.2%
ClintonDemocratic32.4%8,451TrumpRepublican62.1%16,209JohnsonLibertarian3.1%801
R+29.7- Lead
- 7,758
- Total
- 26,095
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Turnout
- 65.3%
ObamaDemocratic44.8%11,578RomneyRepublican54.2%14,002GrayIndependent0.5%142
R+9.4- Lead
- 2,424
- Total
- 25,840
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic50.8%12,952McCainRepublican47.9%12,232OtherAll other candidates1.3%327
D+2.8- Lead
- 720
- Total
- 25,511
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic40.0%10,792BushRepublican59.1%15,941OtherAll other candidates0.9%241
R+19.1- Lead
- 5,149
- Total
- 26,974
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.5%8,787BushRepublican56.9%12,980NaderGreen3.6%822
R+18.4- Lead
- 4,193
- Total
- 22,804
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic40.5%7,800DoleRepublican45.1%8,679PerotReform12.8%2,464
R+4.6- Lead
- 879
- Total
- 19,243
- vs nation
- R+13.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 51,5692024 5-year
- Population density
- 69 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 748 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,8302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shawano County, WI · twin score 94.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 75.0%30,639 participants ÷ 40,861 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 58.9%–62.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30,639 | 40,861 ± 164 | 75.0% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 23,424 | 41,007 ± 159 | 57.1% | Audited | C/A |
| 29,276 | 40,017 ± 177 | 73.2% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 22,577 | 40,164 ± 186 | 56.2% | Audited | C/A |
| 26,323 | 40,341 ± 202 | 65.3% | Audited | C/A | |
| 25,840 | 40,231 | 64.2% | Derived | — | |
| 25,511 | 39,656 | 64.3% | Derived | — | |
| 26,974 | 39,081 extrapolated | 69.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 11.8%; series 312/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 11.1%; series 307/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 11.8%; series 302/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 10.9%; series 298/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 11.5%; series 294/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 36 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 30,399 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF WAUPACA WARDS 1-10CITY OF WAUPACA WARDS 1-10 | 1,485 | 1,729 | 47 | 3,261 | 45.5% | 53.0% | R+7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF FARMINGTON WARDS 1-6TOWN OF FARMINGTON WARDS 1-6 | 940 | 1,327 | 31 | 2,298 | 40.9% | 57.7% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEW LONDON WARDS 3-9CITY OF NEW LONDON WARDS 3-9 | 806 | 1,380 | 35 | 2,221 | 36.3% | 62.1% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF CLINTONVILLE WARDS 1-9CITY OF CLINTONVILLE WARDS 1-9 | 800 | 1,305 | 26 | 2,131 | 37.5% | 61.2% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DAYTON WARDS 1-4TOWN OF DAYTON WARDS 1-4 | 644 | 1,160 | 13 | 1,817 | 35.4% | 63.8% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MUKWA WARDS 3-5TOWN OF MUKWA WARDS 3-5 | 388 | 837 | 16 | 1,241 | 31.3% | 67.4% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CALEDONIA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF CALEDONIA WARDS 1-2 | 361 | 798 | 17 | 1,176 | 30.7% | 67.9% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LEBANON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF LEBANON WARDS 1-3 | 287 | 718 | 14 | 1,019 | 28.2% | 70.5% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LIND WARDS 1-3TOWN OF LIND WARDS 1-3 | 266 | 716 | 13 | 995 | 26.7% | 72.0% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF WEYAUWEGA WARDS 1-4CITY OF WEYAUWEGA WARDS 1-4 | 282 | 623 | 19 | 924 | 30.5% | 67.4% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ROYALTON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF ROYALTON WARDS 1-3 | 227 | 674 | 10 | 911 | 24.9% | 74.0% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LITTLE WOLF WARDS 1-3TOWN OF LITTLE WOLF WARDS 1-3 | 161 | 701 | 9 | 871 | 18.5% | 80.5% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LARRABEE WARDS 1-3TOWN OF LARRABEE WARDS 1-3 | 228 | 568 | 9 | 805 | 28.3% | 70.6% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WAUPACA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WAUPACA WARDS 1-2 | 225 | 511 | 10 | 746 | 30.2% | 68.5% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF IOLA WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF IOLA WARDS 1-2 | 266 | 459 | 11 | 736 | 36.1% | 62.4% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SCANDINAVIA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SCANDINAVIA WARDS 1-2 | 279 | 441 | 7 | 727 | 38.4% | 60.7% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MANAWA WARDS 1-3CITY OF MANAWA WARDS 1-3 | 189 | 508 | 6 | 703 | 26.9% | 72.3% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MUKWA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MUKWA WARDS 1-2 | 200 | 472 | 9 | 681 | 29.4% | 69.3% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF IOLA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF IOLA WARDS 1-2 | 205 | 455 | 3 | 663 | 30.9% | 68.6% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MARION WARDS 1-3CITY OF MARION WARDS 1-3 | 170 | 490 | 0 | 660 | 25.8% | 74.2% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEW LONDON WARDS 1-2CITY OF NEW LONDON WARDS 1-2 | 219 | 400 | 8 | 627 | 34.9% | 63.8% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MATTESON WARD 1TOWN OF MATTESON WARD 1 | 148 | 452 | 8 | 608 | 24.3% | 74.3% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF FREMONT WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF FREMONT WARDS 1-2 | 131 | 347 | 9 | 487 | 26.9% | 71.3% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HELVETIA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF HELVETIA WARDS 1-2 | 126 | 350 | 9 | 485 | 26.0% | 72.2% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BEAR CREEK WARD 1TOWN OF BEAR CREEK WARD 1 | 81 | 385 | 3 | 469 | 17.3% | 82.1% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SAINT LAWRENCE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SAINT LAWRENCE WARDS 1-2 | 131 | 326 | 1 | 458 | 28.6% | 71.2% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF UNION WARDS 1-2TOWN OF UNION WARDS 1-2 | 113 | 330 | 0 | 443 | 25.5% | 74.5% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FREMONT WARDS 1-2TOWN OF FREMONT WARDS 1-2 | 115 | 325 | 2 | 442 | 26.0% | 73.5% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DUPONT WARDS 1-2TOWN OF DUPONT WARDS 1-2 | 75 | 290 | 4 | 369 | 20.3% | 78.6% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WEYAUWEGA WARD 1TOWN OF WEYAUWEGA WARD 1 | 82 | 270 | 3 | 355 | 23.1% | 76.1% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HARRISON WARD 1TOWN OF HARRISON WARD 1 | 80 | 220 | 0 | 300 | 26.7% | 73.3% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF SCANDINAVIA WARD 1VILLAGE OF SCANDINAVIA WARD 1 | 87 | 130 | 0 | 217 | 40.1% | 59.9% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WYOMING WARD 1TOWN OF WYOMING WARD 1 | 52 | 155 | 2 | 209 | 24.9% | 74.2% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF EMBARRASS WARD 1VILLAGE OF EMBARRASS WARD 1 | 58 | 131 | 0 | 189 | 30.7% | 69.3% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF OGDENSBURG WARD 1VILLAGE OF OGDENSBURG WARD 1 | 27 | 75 | 3 | 105 | 25.7% | 71.4% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BIG FALLS WARD 1VILLAGE OF BIG FALLS WARD 1 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 50 | 26.0% | 70.0% | R+44.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
Waupaca County, WI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
60.4%
8,179 votes · D+22.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 50.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
83.0%
8,302 votes · R+74.2
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 81.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
12,952votes
50.8% of the vote · D+2.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 11,578 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
20,093votes
66.1% of the vote · R+33.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,952 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+5.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+22.9 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · −2.5 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+56.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.3 · U.S. D+7.5
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +52.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
REric WimbergerState Senate · 2
RRachael Cabral-GuevaraState Senate · 19
RCory TomczykState Senate · 29
RElijah BehnkeState House · 6
RDave MurphyState House · 56
RKevin PetersenState House · 57
RBrent JacobsonState House · 87
Seats representing Waupaca County, WI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 3 state senate and 4 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+203 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,026 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,827 in average income, against $75,154 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+8.5 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Waupaca County, WI itself (R+33.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Outagamie County, WI301R+10.2
- Winnebago County, WI177R+4.7
- Portage County, WI85D+1.2
- Shawano County, WI82R+36.2
- Brown County, WI51R+7.5
- Waushara County, WI37R+35.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Outagamie County, WI295
- Winnebago County, WI132
- Portage County, WI103
- Shawano County, WI96
- Waushara County, WI55
- Brown County, WI44
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +155 |
| 2012 | −204 |
| 2013 | +292 |
| 2014 | −4 |
| 2015 | −43 |
| 2016 | −117 |
| 2017 | +36 |
| 2018 | +216 |
| 2019 | +59 |
| 2021 | +426 |
| 2022 | +37 |
| 2023 | −100 |
| 2024 | +70 |
| 2025 | +203 |
Waupaca's mix of small manufacturing towns and agricultural townships has produced some of Wisconsin's most consistent rightward shifts over the past decade, with 2024's R+33.4 margin nearly doubling its 2012 spread.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 74.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.4 points.
A population of 51,569, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,830 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shawano County and Oconto County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Shawano County
Wisconsin
94.1twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2008 margin
Oconto County
Wisconsin
91.5twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% White≠ Polish ancestry
Taylor County
Wisconsin
86.1twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% White≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Waupaca County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Waupaca County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Waupaca County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Waupaca County, Wisconsin voted Republican by 33.4 points (R+33.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 30,403 votes cast, 9,947 went Democratic and 20,093 went Republican.
When did Waupaca County, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Waupaca County, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Waupaca County, Wisconsin?
Waupaca County, Wisconsin has a population of 51,569 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waupaca County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Waupaca County, Wisconsin is $72,830 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Waupaca County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Waupaca County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.