Oconto County, Wisconsin: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+43%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 39,5892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,0492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Elk County, PA · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Oconto CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Oconto County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +7.6% |
| 1896 | −36.6% |
| 1900 | −41.4% |
| 1904 | −50.7% |
| 1908 | −33.6% |
| 1912 | −10.9% |
| 1916 | −14.8% |
| 1920 | −61.2% |
| 1924 | −25.3% |
| 1928 | −4.5% |
| 1932 | +37.2% |
| 1936 | +26.8% |
| 1940 | −8.3% |
| 1944 | −15.3% |
| 1948 | −6.4% |
| 1952 | −39.4% |
| 1956 | −30.4% |
| 1960 | −10.4% |
| 1964 | +18.0% |
| 1968 | −18.4% |
| 1972 | −22.5% |
| 1976 | +2.4% |
| 1980 | −20.6% |
| 1984 | −24.2% |
| 1988 | −3.9% |
| 1992 | +1.1% |
| 1996 | +9.6% |
| 2000 | −8.7% |
| 2004 | −12.7% |
| 2008 | +6.2% |
| 2012 | −9.4% |
| 2016 | −36.6% |
| 2020 | −41.0% |
| 2024 | −43.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 6,967 | 17,675 | 24,912 | ||
| R | 6,715 | 16,226 | 23,215 | ||
| R | 5,940 | 13,345 | 20,206 | ||
| R | 8,865 | 10,741 | 19,859 | ||
| D | 9,927 | 8,755 | 18,968 | ||
| R | 8,534 | 11,043 | 19,794 | ||
| R | 7,260 | 8,706 | 16,596 | ||
| D | 6,723 | 5,389 | 13,885 | ||
| D | 5,898 | 5,720 | 16,073 | ||
| R | 6,549 | 7,084 | 13,716 | ||
| R | 5,289 | 8,714 | 14,124 | ||
| R | 5,352 | 8,292 | 14,293 | ||
| D | 6,541 | 6,232 | 13,027 | ||
| R | 4,041 | 6,511 | 10,965 | ||
| R | 3,737 | 5,680 | 10,569 | ||
| D | 6,360 | 4,420 | 10,795 | ||
| R | 5,045 | 6,223 | 11,283 | ||
| R | 3,632 | 6,836 | 10,525 | ||
| R | 3,382 | 7,807 | 11,220 | ||
| R | 4,269 | 4,865 | 9,247 | ||
| R | 4,348 | 5,923 | 10,322 | ||
| R | 5,273 | 6,238 | 11,577 | ||
| D | 6,729 | 3,774 | 11,034 | ||
| D | 6,440 | 2,915 | 9,465 | ||
| R | 4,253 | 4,661 | 8,979 | ||
| O | 602 | 2,562 | 7,735 | ||
| R | 1,030 | 4,735 | 6,058 | ||
| R | 1,892 | 2,570 | 4,572 | ||
| R | 1,523 | 1,988 | 4,266 | ||
| R | 1,453 | 3,020 | 4,663 | ||
| R | 1,024 | 3,279 | 4,449 | ||
| R | 1,117 | 2,754 | 3,950 | ||
| R | 1,290 | 2,836 | 4,228 | ||
| D | 1,499 | 1,275 | 2,944 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
38.5%
Polish
10.2%
Irish
9.5%
American
5.9%
English
5.2%
French
4.1%
Italian
1.6%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 47.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$75,049
Oconto County ranks in the top 25% of US counties.
Oconto County$75,049
Wisconsin$77,485
United States$80,734
Oconto County ranks in the top 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 188.4%
Working age (18–64)7.8%
Seniors (65+)11.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
98.1%
speak English only
Spanish1.1%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Oconto County, hugging the western shore of Green Bay, has shifted decisively rightward over the past two decades. Its 2024 presidential margin of R+43 places it among the most lopsided counties in a state routinely decided by fewer than two points statewide.
The Democratic margin here peaked at thirty-seven points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-three points.
A population of 39,589, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,049 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Elk County and Tuscarawas County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oconto County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55083/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Oconto County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oconto County, Wisconsin voted Republican by 43.0 points (R+43), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 24,912 votes cast, 6,967 went Democratic and 17,675 went Republican.
What is Oconto County, Wisconsin's political typology?
Akashic places Oconto County, Wisconsin in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did Oconto County, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Oconto County, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Oconto County, Wisconsin?
Oconto County, Wisconsin has a population of 39,589 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oconto County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Oconto County, Wisconsin is $75,049 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Oconto County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Oconto County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.