combined metro areaRochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+4.6
2008D+9.1
2012D+9.4
2016D+2.7
2020D+8.4
2024D+5.8
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 62.7% of 893,016 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
294,824
262,262
2,643
559,729
893,016
62.7%
2020
306,554
258,160
13,399
578,113
878,267
65.8%
2016
252,812
238,368
35,647
526,827
877,957
60.0%
2012
267,410
220,780
10,511
498,701
863,834
57.7%
2008
289,111
240,153
7,572
536,836
840,122
63.9%
2004
245,145
269,005
9,674
523,824
816,410†
64.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
7 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupRochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NYNew YorkUnited States
German17.9%8.6%12.5%
Italian15.1%10.9%4.8%
Irish14.9%10.5%9.4%
English12.7%5.6%9.5%
Polish4.7%3.9%2.2%
American4.3%4.2%5.3%
French2.1%1.3%1.6%
Dutch1.4%——
African American†8.1%8.0%9.9%
Jamaican0.5%1.6%0.4%
African0.4%0.6%0.5%
Puerto Rican5.1%5.1%1.8%
Mexican0.9%2.5%11.3%
Dominican0.5%4.6%0.7%
Cuban0.3%—0.7%
Spanish0.2%——
Chinese0.6%3.6%1.3%
Asian Indian0.5%1.9%1.4%
Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%
Korean0.2%0.6%0.4%
Nepalese0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY
New York
United States
Median age
40.8
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.4%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.5%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY
New York
United States
Median household income
$75,938
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.7%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
37.1%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.4%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
4.8%
14.8%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.5%
4.0%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY
New York
United States
Catholic
26.0%
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
7.7%
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
53.3%
48.7%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.1%
3.8%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−10.1%
1896
−20.0%
1900
−17.0%
1904
−26.7%
1908
−20.6%
1912
−1.3%
1916
−24.4%
1920
−41.7%
1924
−41.7%
1928
−24.6%
1932
−15.0%
1936
−6.7%
1940
−11.2%
1944
−8.9%
1948
−10.0%
1952
−26.9%
1956
−39.7%
1960
−10.3%
1964
+39.3%
1968
−6.8%
1972
−28.9%
1976
−13.4%
1980
+0.1%
1984
−22.4%
1988
−5.8%
1992
−2.1%
1996
+10.9%
2000
−0.5%
2004
−4.6%
2008
+9.1%
2012
+9.4%
2016
+2.7%
2020
+8.4%
2024
+5.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
52.7%Harris294,824
46.9%Trump262,262
0.0%Stein40 +6
D+5.8
R+2.6
D+7.3
559,729
All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic52.7%294,824
Donald J TrumpRepublican46.9%262,262
OtherAll other candidates0.5%2,536
Jill SteinIndependent0.0%40
Chase OliverIndependent0.0%33
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%17
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%12
Cornel WestIndependent0.0%4
Chris GarrityIndependent0.0%1
D
53.0%Biden306,554
44.7%Trump258,160
2.3%
D+8.4
D+5.6
D+3.9
578,113
D
48.0%Clinton252,812
45.2%Trump238,368
6.8%
D+2.7
R+6.6
D+0.7
526,827
D
53.6%Obama267,410
44.3%Romney220,780
2.1%
D+9.4
D+0.2
D+5.5
498,701
D
53.9%Obama289,111
44.7%McCain240,153
1.4%
D+9.1
D+13.7
D+1.8
536,836
R
46.8%Kerry245,145
51.4%Bush269,005
1.8%
R+4.6
R+4.0
R+2.1
523,824
R
47.4%Gore229,980
47.9%Bush232,491
4.8%
R+0.5
R+11.4
R+1.0
485,582
D
50.0%Clinton233,159
39.1%Dole182,439
10.8%
D+10.9
D+13.0
D+2.4
466,029
R
38.7%Clinton196,888
40.8%Bush207,720
20.6%
R+2.1
D+3.6
R+7.7
509,331
R
46.7%Dukakis215,529
52.5%Bush242,099
0.8%
R+5.8
D+16.6
D+2.0
461,458
R
38.6%Mondale179,855
61.0%Reagan284,308
0.4%
R+22.4
R+22.5
R+4.2
466,255
D
44.4%Carter199,974
44.4%Reagan199,702
11.2%
D+0.1
D+13.5
D+9.8
449,995
R
43.0%Carter192,948
56.4%Ford253,009
0.5%
R+13.4
D+15.5
R+15.5
448,318
R
35.5%McGovern163,720
64.3%Nixon297,085
0.2%
R+28.9
R+22.1
R+5.7
461,830
R
44.5%Humphrey188,593
51.3%Nixon217,486
4.3%
R+6.8
R+46.1
R+6.1
424,234
D
69.6%Johnson291,265
30.3%Goldwater126,806
0.1%
D+39.3
D+49.6
D+16.7
418,440
R
44.8%Kennedy192,421
55.1%Nixon236,857
0.1%
R+10.3
D+29.3
R+10.5
429,494
R
30.2%Stevenson122,852
69.8%Eisenhower284,453
0.0%
R+39.7
R+12.8
R+24.3
407,305
R
36.5%Stevenson147,048
63.3%Eisenhower255,245
0.2%
R+26.9
R+16.8
R+16.1
402,953
R
43.6%Truman148,581
53.6%Dewey182,723
2.9%
R+10.0
R+1.1
R+14.5
341,056
R
45.4%Roosevelt157,497
54.3%Dewey188,390
0.3%
R+8.9
D+2.3
R+16.4
347,005
R
44.2%Roosevelt158,870
55.4%Willkie198,965
0.4%
R+11.2
R+4.4
R+21.1
359,303
R
45.7%Roosevelt150,748
52.4%Landon172,901
1.8%
R+6.7
D+8.3
R+31.0
329,742
R
41.0%Roosevelt121,351
56.0%Hoover165,851
3.0%
R+15.0
D+9.6
R+32.8
295,985
R
36.0%Smith105,979
60.7%Hoover178,381
3.3%
R+24.6
D+17.1
R+7.2
294,043
R
21.5%Davis55,363
63.2%Coolidge162,647
15.2%
R+41.7
±0.0
R+16.5
257,197
R
24.7%Cox49,920
66.5%Harding134,184
8.8%
R+41.7
R+17.3
R+15.5
201,922
R
35.9%Wilson43,649
60.3%Hughes73,360
3.8%
R+24.4
R+23.1
R+27.6
121,596
R
34.5%Wilson37,411
35.8%Taft38,823
29.6%
R+1.3
D+19.3
R+20.8
108,345
R
37.8%Bryan45,056
58.4%Taft69,631
3.8%
R+20.6
D+6.1
R+11.1
119,255
R
34.0%Parker37,892
60.7%Roosevelt67,581
5.3%
R+26.7
R+9.7
R+7.0
111,358
R
39.4%Bryan43,181
56.5%McKinley61,800
4.1%
R+17.0
D+2.9
R+9.5
109,470
R
38.6%Bryan40,208
58.5%McKinley61,001
2.9%
R+20.0
R+9.9
R+13.9
104,190
R
41.6%Cleveland40,886
51.7%Harrison50,794
6.8%
R+10.1
—
R+11.7
98,332
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
53.9%295,852
45.6%249,952
548,454
2022
D
50.5%215,046
48.9%208,338
425,830
2018
D
57.0%241,847
42.9%182,080
424,095
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+4.8
vs
Presidential vote · 2024D+5.8
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.0 points.
Domestic migration in Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY in Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−3,177
2012
−4,605
2013
−4,662
2014
−6,922
2015
−7,689
2016
−7,821
2017
−6,016
2018
−4,071
2019
−4,029
2021
−4,547
2022
−6,631
2023
−4,059
2024
+134
2025
−307
Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.8 points.
A population of 1,149,120, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,938 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Syracuse-Auburn, NY and Albany-Schenectady, NY.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/464/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York voted Democratic by 5.8 points (D+5.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 559,729 votes cast, 294,824 went Democratic and 262,262 went Republican.
When did Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York?
Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York has a population of 1,149,120 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York?
Median household income in Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York is $75,938 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Rochester-Batavia-Seneca Falls, NY, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.