HarrisDemocratic38.4%17,056TrumpRepublican61.4%27,286OtherAll other candidates0.2%101
R+23.0- Lead
- 10,230
- Total
- 44,443
- vs nation
- R+21.5
- Turnout
- 63.6%
Akashiccounty
Wayne County, NY
Contests in this Place (79 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.6% of 70,739 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic39.0%17,456TrumpRepublican58.6%26,204JorgensenLibertarian1.5%656
R+19.6- Lead
- 8,748
- Total
- 44,727
- vs nation
- R+24.0
- Turnout
- 64.5%
ClintonDemocratic33.9%13,473TrumpRepublican58.9%23,380JohnsonLibertarian4.8%1,911
R+25.0- Lead
- 9,907
- Total
- 39,687
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- 56.5%
ObamaDemocratic44.3%16,635RomneyRepublican53.4%20,060JohnsonLibertarian1.1%424
R+9.1- Lead
- 3,425
- Total
- 37,547
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.3%18,184McCainRepublican54.2%22,239OtherAll other candidates1.5%622
R+9.9- Lead
- 4,055
- Total
- 41,045
- vs nation
- R+17.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.1%15,709BushRepublican59.9%24,709OtherAll other candidates1.9%802
R+21.8- Lead
- 9,000
- Total
- 41,220
- vs nation
- R+19.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.1%14,977BushRepublican56.6%21,701NaderGreen3.1%1,202
R+17.5- Lead
- 6,724
- Total
- 38,329
- vs nation
- R+18.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.1%15,145DoleRepublican44.0%15,837PerotReform12.8%4,619
R+1.9- Lead
- 692
- Total
- 35,997
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 90,9292024 5-year
- Population density
- 151 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 604 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,5062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.0 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Madison County, NY · twin score 90.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 63.6%45,015 participants ÷ 70,739 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -4.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 46.3%–50.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45,015 | 70,739 ± 389 | 63.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 33,694 | 71,438 ± 361 | 47.2% | Audited | C/A |
| 45,254 | 70,171 ± 352 | 64.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 32,681 | 70,347 ± 347 | 46.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 40,009 | 70,854 ± 372 | 56.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 37,547 | 70,422 | 53.3% | Derived | — | |
| 41,045 | 67,899 | 60.5% | Derived | — | |
| 41,220 | 65,376 extrapolated | 63.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 67 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
67 precincts · 44,375 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0800004361170800004 | 8,025 | 16,282 | 166 | 24,473 | 32.8% | 66.5% | R+33.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0400001361170400001 | 8,866 | 10,869 | 167 | 19,902 | 44.5% | 54.6% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct 0100001361170100001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0100002361170100002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0100003361170100003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0100004361170100004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0100005361170100005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0100006361170100006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0100007361170100007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0100008361170100008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0100009361170100009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0100010361170100010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0200001361170200001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0300001361170300001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0300002361170300002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0300003361170300003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0300004361170300004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0400002361170400002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0500001361170500001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0500002361170500002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0500003361170500003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0500004361170500004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0500005361170500005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0600001361170600001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0600002361170600002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0600003361170600003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0600004361170600004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0600005361170600005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0700001361170700001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0700002361170700002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0700003361170700003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0700004361170700004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0800001361170800001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0800002361170800002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0800003361170800003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0800005361170800005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0800006361170800006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0900001361170900001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0900002361170900002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0900003361170900003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0900004361170900004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0900005361170900005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 0900006361170900006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1000001361171000001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1000002361171000002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1100001361171100001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1100002361171100002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1200001361171200001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1200002361171200002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1200003361171200003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1200004361171200004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1200005361171200005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1200006361171200006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1300001361171300001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1300002361171300002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1300003361171300003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1300004361171300004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1300005361171300005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1400001361171400001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1400002361171400002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1400003361171400003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1400004361171400004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1400005361171400005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1500001361171500001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1500002361171500002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1500003361171500003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 1500004361171500004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Wayne County, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.8%
18,729 votes · D+27.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 44.3%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
79.5%
22,940 votes · R+59.0
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 76.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
18,729votes
63.8% of the vote · D+27.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 18,184 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
27,286votes
61.4% of the vote · R+23.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 26,204 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+5.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+27.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −2.3 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+66.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.3 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +54.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RPam HelmingState Senate · 54
RBrian ManktelowState House · 130
Seats representing Wayne County, NY. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+18.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+23.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.7 points more Republican than the rolls.
62,775 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+155 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −5,092 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,463 in average income, against $70,844 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+9.3 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Wayne County, NY itself (R+23.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Monroe County, NY796D+19.0
- Ontario County, NY324R+1.2
- Seneca County, NY68R+11.8
- Cayuga County, NY65R+13.0
- Onondaga County, NY46D+17.2
- Oswego County, NY29R+24.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Monroe County, NY693
- Ontario County, NY308
- Seneca County, NY73
- Cayuga County, NY64
- Onondaga County, NY36
- Erie County, NY33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −695 |
| 2012 | −479 |
| 2013 | −859 |
| 2014 | −718 |
| 2015 | −657 |
| 2016 | −653 |
| 2017 | −470 |
| 2018 | −332 |
| 2019 | −370 |
| 2021 | −4 |
| 2022 | −26 |
| 2023 | −71 |
| 2024 | +87 |
| 2025 | +155 |
Wayne County's mix of small manufacturing towns and agricultural land along Lake Ontario has produced a Republican presidential margin that widened by roughly 10 points between 2012 and 2024, making it one of the sharper swing stories in Upstate New York.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.0 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.0 points.
A population of 90,929, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,506 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Madison County and Tioga County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Madison County
New York
90.5twin score
Italian ancestry% Evangelical% White
Tioga County
New York
90.2twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliatedItalian ancestry
Livingston County
New York
90.0twin score
% EvangelicalItalian ancestryelasticity≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wayne County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Wayne County
New York at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Wayne County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wayne County, New York voted Republican by 23.0 points (R+23.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 44,443 votes cast, 17,056 went Democratic and 27,286 went Republican.
When did Wayne County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wayne County, New York voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Wayne County, New York?
Wayne County, New York has a population of 90,929 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wayne County, New York?
Median household income in Wayne County, New York is $74,506 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Wayne County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wayne County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 33 went Republican.