† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
10 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBuffaloUnited States
German21.5%12.5%
Irish15.2%9.4%
Italian13.4%4.8%
Polish11.9%2.2%
English9.7%9.5%
American3.6%5.3%
French1.7%1.6%
Scottish1.4%1.3%
African American†7.6%9.9%
African0.4%0.5%
Jamaican0.2%0.4%
Puerto Rican3.2%1.8%
Mexican0.8%11.3%
Dominican0.3%0.7%
Cuban0.2%0.7%
Spanish0.2%—
Asian Indian0.8%1.4%
Bangladeshi0.6%—
Chinese0.5%1.3%
Burmese0.3%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Buffalo
United States
Median age
41.4
39.1
Age 18–24
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Buffalo
United States
Median household income
$69,727
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.2%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Buffalo
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.1%
22.3%
Spanish
3.0%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Buffalo
United States
Catholic
35.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
7.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
43.0%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Buffalo, New York
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−8.8%
1896
−22.5%
1900
−16.6%
1904
−26.7%
1908
−17.8%
1912
+6.9%
1916
−16.1%
1920
−43.6%
1924
−44.2%
1928
−22.9%
1932
−14.0%
1936
−2.9%
1940
−10.1%
1944
−7.4%
1948
−4.4%
1952
−21.3%
1956
−33.4%
1960
+2.3%
1964
+41.1%
1968
+7.8%
1972
−15.3%
1976
−3.6%
1980
+2.9%
1984
−8.8%
1988
+2.0%
1992
+7.1%
1996
+15.1%
2000
+7.8%
2004
+3.4%
2008
+7.3%
2012
+5.3%
2016
−8.0%
2020
−1.2%
2024
−5.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.8%Harris357,533
52.6%Trump401,895
0.3%Stein2,527 +11
R+5.8
R+4.6
R+4.3
763,538
All 14 candidates in 2024 · 12 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican52.6%401,895
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic46.8%357,533
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%2,527
Chase OliverIndependent0.1%730
Cornel WestIndependent0.0%213
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%209
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%208
OtherAll other candidates0.0%193
Chris GarrityIndependent0.0%17
Raymond Anthony ScollinIndependent0.0%4
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%4
Future Madam PotusIndependent0.0%3
Garry HubbardIndependent0.0%1
Raymond Anthony SchollinIndependent0.0%1
R
48.4%Biden381,423
49.6%Trump390,985
1.9%
R+1.2
D+6.8
R+5.7
787,513
R
43.4%Clinton305,836
51.4%Trump362,254
5.2%
R+8.0
R+13.3
R+10.1
704,552
D
51.7%Obama352,185
46.4%Romney316,170
1.9%
D+5.3
R+2.0
D+1.4
681,000
D
52.8%Obama386,574
45.5%McCain333,269
1.6%
D+7.3
D+3.9
±0.0
731,660
D
50.7%Kerry377,015
47.3%Bush351,697
2.0%
D+3.4
R+4.4
D+5.9
743,912
D
51.3%Gore364,853
43.4%Bush308,999
5.3%
D+7.8
R+7.3
D+7.3
711,520
D
50.6%Clinton344,935
35.4%Dole241,835
14.0%
D+15.1
D+8.0
D+6.6
682,327
D
39.3%Clinton293,791
32.2%Bush240,859
28.5%
D+7.1
D+5.1
D+1.5
747,478
D
50.6%Dukakis354,960
48.6%Bush340,962
0.7%
D+2.0
D+10.8
D+9.7
701,170
R
45.5%Mondale340,865
54.3%Reagan406,908
0.3%
R+8.8
R+11.7
D+9.4
749,704
D
47.2%Carter326,396
44.3%Reagan306,291
8.5%
D+2.9
D+6.5
D+12.6
691,459
R
47.9%Carter352,287
51.5%Ford378,799
0.6%
R+3.6
D+11.7
R+5.7
735,865
R
42.2%McGovern322,660
57.5%Nixon439,338
0.3%
R+15.3
R+23.0
D+7.9
764,545
D
50.2%Humphrey363,185
42.5%Nixon306,937
7.3%
D+7.8
R+33.3
D+8.5
722,775
D
70.5%Johnson535,902
29.4%Goldwater223,249
0.1%
D+41.1
D+38.8
D+18.5
760,222
D
51.1%Kennedy408,951
48.8%Nixon390,610
0.1%
D+2.3
D+35.7
D+2.1
800,246
R
33.3%Stevenson250,897
66.7%Eisenhower502,503
0.0%
R+33.4
R+12.1
R+18.0
753,495
R
39.3%Stevenson293,682
60.5%Eisenhower452,805
0.2%
R+21.3
R+16.9
R+10.5
748,031
R
46.5%Truman290,475
50.9%Dewey317,857
2.7%
R+4.4
D+3.0
R+8.9
624,980
R
46.1%Roosevelt293,057
53.5%Dewey339,931
0.3%
R+7.4
D+2.7
R+14.9
635,193
R
44.8%Roosevelt286,815
54.9%Willkie351,338
0.3%
R+10.1
R+7.2
R+20.0
640,072
R
47.5%Roosevelt281,133
50.4%Landon298,327
2.1%
R+2.9
D+11.1
R+27.2
592,053
R
41.1%Roosevelt206,996
55.2%Hoover277,619
3.7%
R+14.0
D+8.8
R+31.8
503,360
R
36.9%Smith189,618
59.8%Hoover307,190
3.4%
R+22.9
D+21.4
R+5.4
514,042
R
19.8%Davis74,210
64.0%Coolidge240,162
16.2%
R+44.2
R+0.6
R+19.1
375,085
R
23.5%Cox75,014
67.1%Harding214,487
9.5%
R+43.6
R+27.5
R+17.4
319,731
R
39.8%Wilson83,906
55.9%Hughes117,896
4.3%
R+16.1
R+23.0
R+19.3
210,835
O
35.1%Wilson65,234
28.2%Taft52,473
36.7%
Roosevelt +1.7
D+24.6
R+12.7
186,077
R
39.0%Bryan82,848
56.8%Taft120,553
4.2%
R+17.8
D+8.9
R+8.2
212,347
R
34.2%Parker67,640
60.9%Roosevelt120,446
4.9%
R+26.7
R+10.1
R+7.0
197,798
R
40.0%Bryan78,652
56.6%McKinley111,212
3.4%
R+16.6
D+5.9
R+9.0
196,482
R
37.2%Bryan67,400
59.8%McKinley108,158
3.0%
R+22.5
R+13.7
R+16.4
180,993
R
41.5%Cleveland68,364
50.3%Harrison82,890
8.2%
R+8.8
—
R+10.5
164,811
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+5.0
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+5.8
Buffalo registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 11-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
Domestic migration in Buffalo in Buffalo: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−4,566
2012
−6,801
2013
−5,046
2014
−6,517
2015
−9,070
2016
−10,165
2017
−5,293
2018
−5,247
2019
−4,847
2021
−287
2022
−5,501
2023
−4,681
2024
−1,409
2025
−2,618
The Buffalo media market blends a revitalizing urban center with rural and small-city counties that lean differently, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide margin tracking across western New York.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 44.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.8 points.
A population of 1,603,431, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,727 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pittsburgh and Syracuse.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Buffalo, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/514/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Buffalo, New York voted Republican by 5.8 points (R+5.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 763,538 votes cast, 357,533 went Democratic and 401,895 went Republican.
When did Buffalo, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Buffalo, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Buffalo, New York?
Buffalo, New York has a population of 1,603,431 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Buffalo, New York?
Median household income in Buffalo, New York is $69,727 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Buffalo, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Buffalo, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.
