- Lead
- 8,343
- Total
- 19,376
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Turnout
- 55.2%
Allegany County, NY
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 55.2% of 37,448 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,087
- Total
- 20,716
- vs nation
- R+43.5
- Turnout
- 57.2%
- Lead
- 7,643
- Total
- 18,692
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Turnout
- 50.5%
- Lead
- 4,251
- Total
- 16,953
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,997
- Total
- 18,406
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,744
- Total
- 19,270
- vs nation
- R+27.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,100
- Total
- 18,690
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,486
- Total
- 17,703
- vs nation
- R+16.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,1592024 5-year
- Population density
- 46 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,030 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,8692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bradford County, PA · twin score 86.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 55.2%20,658 participants ÷ 37,448 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -10.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 43.4%–45.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20,658 | 37,448 ± 177 | 55.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 17,078 | 37,614 ± 250 | 45.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 20,937 | 36,622 ± 186 | 57.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 15,436 | 36,862 ± 208 | 41.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 18,871 | 37,362 ± 170 | 50.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 16,953 | 37,765 | 44.9% | Derived | — | |
| 18,406 | 38,223 | 48.2% | Derived | — | |
| 19,270 | 38,681 extrapolated | 49.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 38 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
38 precincts · 20,450 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 1500002360031500002 | 297 | 592 | 3 | 892 | 33.3% | 66.4% | R+33.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1000001360031000001 | 221 | 666 | 3 | 890 | 24.8% | 74.8% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct 2000001360032000001 | 208 | 651 | 13 | 872 | 23.9% | 74.7% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct 0400001360030400001 | 237 | 579 | 10 | 826 | 28.7% | 70.1% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct 1600001360031600001 | 169 | 647 | 5 | 821 | 20.6% | 78.8% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct 2400001360032400001 | 193 | 615 | 5 | 813 | 23.7% | 75.6% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct 1200001360031200001 | 249 | 513 | 39 | 801 | 31.1% | 64.0% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct 1700001360031700001 | 168 | 569 | 6 | 743 | 22.6% | 76.6% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct 0800001360030800001 | 177 | 560 | 3 | 740 | 23.9% | 75.7% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct 2600003360032600003 | 277 | 420 | 5 | 702 | 39.5% | 59.8% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct 1500001360031500001 | 291 | 354 | 9 | 654 | 44.5% | 54.1% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct 2800001360032800001 | 178 | 452 | 6 | 636 | 28.0% | 71.1% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct 2600002360032600002 | 254 | 373 | 7 | 634 | 40.1% | 58.8% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct 2300001360032300001 | 151 | 474 | 6 | 631 | 23.9% | 75.1% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct 0500002360030500002 | 178 | 446 | 6 | 630 | 28.3% | 70.8% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct 2600001360032600001 | 234 | 388 | 5 | 627 | 37.3% | 61.9% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct 0100002360030100002 | 285 | 301 | 13 | 599 | 47.6% | 50.3% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct 2600005360032600005 | 160 | 434 | 1 | 595 | 26.9% | 72.9% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct 1100001360031100001 | 93 | 445 | 0 | 538 | 17.3% | 82.7% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct 0100001360030100001 | 399 | 111 | 12 | 522 | 76.4% | 21.3% | D+55.2 |
| Precinct 2600004360032600004 | 152 | 362 | 8 | 522 | 29.1% | 69.3% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct 2900001360032900001 | 70 | 421 | 1 | 492 | 14.2% | 85.6% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct 0600001360030600001 | 127 | 354 | 5 | 486 | 26.1% | 72.8% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct 2100001360032100001 | 85 | 395 | 3 | 483 | 17.6% | 81.8% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct 1400001360031400001 | 118 | 348 | 2 | 468 | 25.2% | 74.4% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct 0500001360030500001 | 123 | 289 | 7 | 419 | 29.4% | 69.0% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct 0300001360030300001 | 66 | 325 | 8 | 399 | 16.5% | 81.5% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct 0600002360030600002 | 72 | 306 | 5 | 383 | 18.8% | 79.9% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct 0700001360030700001 | 99 | 256 | 7 | 362 | 27.3% | 70.7% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct 2200001360032200001 | 69 | 255 | 2 | 326 | 21.2% | 78.2% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct 1300001360031300001 | 46 | 269 | 5 | 320 | 14.4% | 84.1% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct 0700002360030700002 | 80 | 233 | 2 | 315 | 25.4% | 74.0% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct 1900001360031900001 | 66 | 238 | 5 | 309 | 21.4% | 77.0% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct 0200001360030200001 | 51 | 213 | 3 | 267 | 19.1% | 79.8% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct 1800001360031800001 | 36 | 226 | 0 | 262 | 13.7% | 86.3% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct 2500001360032500001 | 53 | 144 | 2 | 199 | 26.6% | 72.4% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct 2700001360032700001 | 38 | 118 | 1 | 157 | 24.2% | 75.2% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct 0900001360030900001 | 32 | 83 | 0 | 115 | 27.8% | 72.2% | R+44.3 |
presidential history
Party record book
Allegany County, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.3%
10,329 votes · D+14.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 38.1%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
81.4%
16,068 votes · R+62.8
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 80.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
10,329votes
57.3% of the vote · D+14.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,016 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
16,365votes
80.5% of the vote · R+61.1
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 16,068 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
−7.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.6 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −16.0 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+68.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.8 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +60.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Allegany County, NY. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.1%4,788 | 73.9%13,529 | 18,317 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 10 points more Republican than the rolls.
27,963 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+46 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,624 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,461 in average income, against $61,226 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+23.2 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Allegany County, NY itself (R+43.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cattaraugus County, NY137R+32.7
- Steuben County, NY84R+31.7
- Erie County, NY72D+9.6
- Livingston County, NY37R+21.4
- Monroe County, NY36D+19.0
- Wyoming County, NY31R+48.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cattaraugus County, NY153
- Steuben County, NY99
- Erie County, NY76
- Livingston County, NY44
- Monroe County, NY36
- Wyoming County, NY27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −294 |
| 2012 | −658 |
| 2013 | −360 |
| 2014 | −348 |
| 2015 | −360 |
| 2016 | −363 |
| 2017 | −438 |
| 2018 | −351 |
| 2019 | −254 |
| 2021 | +451 |
| 2022 | +2 |
| 2023 | +121 |
| 2024 | +182 |
| 2025 | +46 |
Allegany's rural Southern Tier landscape and small-town demographics have produced Republican presidential margins above 40 points in recent cycles, making it a consistent outlier in a state that trends heavily Democratic statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 62.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.1 points.
A population of 47,159, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,869 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bradford County and Clinton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Allegany County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.