HarrisDemocratic25.9%4,929TrumpRepublican74.1%14,112OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+48.2- Lead
- 9,183
- Total
- 19,041
- vs nation
- R+46.8
- Turnout
- 59.6%
Akashiccounty
Wyoming County, NY
Contests in this Place (77 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.6% of 31,932 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.2%5,073TrumpRepublican71.6%13,898JorgensenLibertarian1.4%267
R+45.5- Lead
- 8,825
- Total
- 19,399
- vs nation
- R+49.9
- Turnout
- 60.8%
ClintonDemocratic22.6%3,904TrumpRepublican71.9%12,442JohnsonLibertarian3.9%673
R+49.4- Lead
- 8,538
- Total
- 17,298
- vs nation
- R+51.4
- Turnout
- 53.6%
ObamaDemocratic34.7%5,661RomneyRepublican63.3%10,348JohnsonLibertarian1.7%270
R+28.7- Lead
- 4,687
- Total
- 16,335
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic36.1%6,379McCainRepublican62.3%10,998OtherAll other candidates1.6%290
R+26.1- Lead
- 4,619
- Total
- 17,667
- vs nation
- R+33.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic33.8%6,134BushRepublican64.6%11,745OtherAll other candidates1.6%290
R+30.9- Lead
- 5,611
- Total
- 18,169
- vs nation
- R+28.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.0%5,999BushRepublican61.3%10,809NaderGreen3.1%548
R+27.3- Lead
- 4,810
- Total
- 17,633
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.2%5,735DoleRepublican47.3%7,477PerotReform15.2%2,411
R+11.0- Lead
- 1,742
- Total
- 15,821
- vs nation
- R+19.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,7532024 5-year
- Population density
- 67 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 593 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,1102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.3 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Susquehanna County, PA · twin score 83.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 59.6%19,041 participants ÷ 31,932 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.5 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off vs state
- -13.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 49.8%–51.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19,041 | 31,932 ± 251 | 59.6% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 16,673 | 31,847 ± 222 | 52.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 19,404 | 31,906 ± 258 | 60.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 13,535 | 31,980 ± 219 | 42.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 17,501 | 32,646 ± 231 | 53.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 16,335 | 32,897 | 49.7% | Derived | — | |
| 17,667 | 32,517 | 54.3% | Derived | — | |
| 18,169 | 32,137 extrapolated | 56.5% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 40 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 19,041 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0100001361210100001 | 211 | 479 | 0 | 690 | 30.6% | 69.4% | R+38.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1100001361211100001 | 133 | 545 | 0 | 678 | 19.6% | 80.4% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct 0300001361210300001 | 134 | 536 | 0 | 670 | 20.0% | 80.0% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct 0300002361210300002 | 155 | 495 | 0 | 650 | 23.8% | 76.2% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct 1200001361211200001 | 173 | 476 | 0 | 649 | 26.7% | 73.3% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct 0900001361210900001 | 141 | 504 | 0 | 645 | 21.9% | 78.1% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct 0300003361210300003 | 123 | 510 | 0 | 633 | 19.4% | 80.6% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct 0100004361210100004 | 173 | 431 | 0 | 604 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct 1500001361211500001 | 202 | 399 | 0 | 601 | 33.6% | 66.4% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct 0500001361210500001 | 133 | 464 | 0 | 597 | 22.3% | 77.7% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct 1400002361211400002 | 123 | 462 | 0 | 585 | 21.0% | 79.0% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct 0600001361210600001 | 125 | 459 | 0 | 584 | 21.4% | 78.6% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct 0200004361210200004 | 117 | 460 | 0 | 577 | 20.3% | 79.7% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct 0400002361210400002 | 179 | 372 | 0 | 551 | 32.5% | 67.5% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct 0900002361210900002 | 104 | 447 | 0 | 551 | 18.9% | 81.1% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct 0200003361210200003 | 126 | 419 | 0 | 545 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct 1500005361211500005 | 202 | 329 | 0 | 531 | 38.0% | 62.0% | R+23.9 |
| Precinct 1000001361211000001 | 120 | 406 | 0 | 526 | 22.8% | 77.2% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct 1200004361211200004 | 191 | 335 | 0 | 526 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct 1200003361211200003 | 183 | 306 | 0 | 489 | 37.4% | 62.6% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct 1300001361211300001 | 96 | 392 | 0 | 488 | 19.7% | 80.3% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct 1500003361211500003 | 134 | 340 | 0 | 474 | 28.3% | 71.7% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct 0400001361210400001 | 133 | 332 | 0 | 465 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct 0200001361210200001 | 121 | 337 | 0 | 458 | 26.4% | 73.6% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct 1400003361211400003 | 79 | 347 | 0 | 426 | 18.5% | 81.5% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct 1600001361211600001 | 94 | 331 | 0 | 425 | 22.1% | 77.9% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct 0100003361210100003 | 105 | 317 | 0 | 422 | 24.9% | 75.1% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct 1500002361211500002 | 128 | 278 | 0 | 406 | 31.5% | 68.5% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct 1500004361211500004 | 155 | 248 | 0 | 403 | 38.5% | 61.5% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct 0100002361210100002 | 77 | 312 | 0 | 389 | 19.8% | 80.2% | R+60.4 |
| Precinct 0400003361210400003 | 122 | 253 | 0 | 375 | 32.5% | 67.5% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 0200002361210200002 | 80 | 264 | 0 | 344 | 23.3% | 76.7% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct 1400001361211400001 | 90 | 238 | 0 | 328 | 27.4% | 72.6% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct 1200002361211200002 | 110 | 188 | 0 | 298 | 36.9% | 63.1% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct 0700001361210700001 | 56 | 208 | 0 | 264 | 21.2% | 78.8% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct 0700004361210700004 | 65 | 181 | 0 | 246 | 26.4% | 73.6% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct 0700002361210700002 | 61 | 184 | 0 | 245 | 24.9% | 75.1% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct 0700003361210700003 | 65 | 177 | 0 | 242 | 26.9% | 73.1% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct 1000002361211000002 | 49 | 188 | 0 | 237 | 20.7% | 79.3% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct 0800001361210800001 | 61 | 163 | 0 | 224 | 27.2% | 72.8% | R+45.5 |
presidential history
Party record book
Wyoming County, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.2%
8,866 votes · D+18.5
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · 37.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
78.6%
12,499 votes · R+57.3
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 75.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
8,866votes
59.2% of the vote · D+18.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,379 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,112votes
74.1% of the vote · R+48.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,898 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
−4.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.5 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −10.0 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+63.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.3 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +53.9 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RGeorge BorrelloState Senate · 57
RAndrea BaileyState House · 133
RDave DiPietroState House · 147
Seats representing Wyoming County, NY. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.1%4,251 | 74.9%12,668 | 16,919 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+31.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+48.2
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Republican than the rolls.
26,096 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−75 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,790 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,616 in average income, against $70,416 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+10.6 on average — 38 points more Democratic-leaning than Wyoming County, NY itself (R+48.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Erie County, NY213D+9.6
- Genesee County, NY109R+33.9
- Livingston County, NY68R+21.4
- Cattaraugus County, NY60R+32.7
- Monroe County, NY40D+19.0
- Allegany County, NY27R+43.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Erie County, NY188
- Genesee County, NY146
- Cattaraugus County, NY66
- Livingston County, NY65
- Monroe County, NY63
- Allegany County, NY31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −326 |
| 2012 | −183 |
| 2013 | −334 |
| 2014 | −268 |
| 2015 | −216 |
| 2016 | −529 |
| 2017 | −146 |
| 2018 | −225 |
| 2019 | −147 |
| 2021 | −83 |
| 2022 | −237 |
| 2023 | −64 |
| 2024 | +43 |
| 2025 | −75 |
Wyoming County's small-farm landscape and shrinking population anchor a voting pattern that delivered an R+48.2 margin in 2024, making it an outlier even within a state that leans heavily Democratic statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.3 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.2 points.
A population of 39,753, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,110 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Susquehanna County and Orleans County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Susquehanna County
Pennsylvania
83.0twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated% White≠ Polish ancestry
Orleans County
New York
83.0twin score
% EvangelicalPolish ancestrycollege share≠ Italian ancestry
Clearfield County
Pennsylvania
81.1twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% White≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wyoming County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36121/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Wyoming County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Wyoming County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wyoming County, New York voted Republican by 48.2 points (R+48.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,041 votes cast, 4,929 went Democratic and 14,112 went Republican.
When did Wyoming County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wyoming County, New York voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Wyoming County, New York?
Wyoming County, New York has a population of 39,753 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wyoming County, New York?
Median household income in Wyoming County, New York is $69,110 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Wyoming County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wyoming County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 33 went Republican.